2008 U.S. Presidential Election
Predictions Track Record – 2008 Presidential Election
PREDICTIONS FOR THE 2008 “TOO CLOSE TO CALL” DEMOCRATIC PRIMARIES: Senator Obama vs. Senator Clinton
Below are projections for the 2008 U.S. Presidential Election.
*Battleground States
FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver |
William Stickevers’ Political Contest Horary |
|
100% accuracy | 96% accuracy | |
Alabama | McCain | McCain |
Alaska | McCain | McCain |
Arkansas | McCain | McCain |
California | Obama | Obama |
Colorado* | Obama | Obama |
Connecticut | Obama | Obama |
Delaware | Obama | Obama |
District of Columbia | Obama | Obama |
Florida* | Obama | McCain |
Georgia | McCain | McCain |
Hawaii | Obama | Obama |
Idaho | Obama | Obama |
Illinois | Obama | Obama |
Indiana* | Obama | Obama |
Iowa | Obama | Obama |
Kansas | McCain | McCain |
Kentucky | McCain | McCain |
Louisiana | McCain | McCain |
Maine | Obama | Obama |
Maryland | Obama | Obama |
Massachusetts | Obama | Obama |
Michigan* | Obama | Obama |
Minnesota | Obama | Obama |
Mississippi | McCain | McCain |
Missouri* | McCain | Obama |
Montana | McCain | McCain |
Nebraska | McCain | McCain |
Nevada* | Obama | Obama |
New Hampshire* | Obama | Obama |
New Jersey | Obama | Obama |
New Mexico* | Clinton | Obama |
New York | Clinton | Obama |
North Carolina* | Obama | Obama |
North Dakota | McCain | McCain |
Ohio* | Obama | Obama |
Oklahoma | McCain | McCain |
Oregon | Obama | Obama |
Pennsylvania* | Obama | Obama |
Rhode Island | Obama | Obama |
South Carolina | McCain | McCain |
South Dakota | McCain | McCain |
Tennessee | McCain | McCain |
Texas | McCain | McCain |
Utah | McCain | McCain |
Vermont | Obama | Obama |
Virginia* | Obama | Obama |
Washington | Obama | Obama |
West Virginia | McCain | McCain |
Wisconsin | Obama | Obama |
Wyoming | McCain | McCain |