WILLIAM STICKEVERS

Below are the past projections for the 2018 U.S. Midterm Election – HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES

CURRENT PROJECTIONS

HOUSE CONTROL

218 Seats Needed for Majority Control

as of November 3, 2018:

	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability as of Sep 13
House Control	DEM 85.4%	DEM 68%	n/a	DEM Lean	n/a	DEM 53%

as of October 27, 2018:

	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability as of Sep 13
House Control	DEM 84.5%	DEM 65%	n/a	DEM Lean	n/a	DEM 53%

as of October 25, 2018:

	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability as of Sep 13
House Control	DEM 83.7%	DEM 66%	n/a	DEM Lean	n/a	DEM 53%

as of October 13, 2018:

	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability as of Sep 13
House Control	DEM 78.4%	DEM 68%		DEM Lean		DEM 53%

as of October 6, 2018:

	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability as of Sep 13
House Control	DEM 73.6%	DEM 69%		DEM Lean		DEM 53%

as of September 29, 2018:

	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability as of Sep 13
House Control	DEM 80.4%	DEM 72%		DEM Lean		DEM 53%

as of September 22, 2018:

	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability
House Control	DEM 80.9%	DEM 72%		DEM Lean		DEM 53%

as of September 13, 2018:

	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability
House Control	DEM 83.1%	DEM 72%		DEM Lean		DEM 53%

as of September 13, 2018:

	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability
House Control	DEM 83.1%	DEM 72%		DEM Lean		DEM 53%

as of September 9, 2018:

	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability
House Control	DEM 76.3%	DEM 69%		DEM Lean

as of September 7, 2018:

	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability
House Control	DEM – 76.3%	DEM – 69%		DEM – Lean

---

---

House of Representatives Elections

as of October 27, 2018:

State, District *incumbent	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability as of Nov 1
Alaska (AK), At Large Galvin-D vs Young-R	REP 65.4%	REP 58%		REP Lean	50/50	REP 80%
Arizona (AZ), 1st O’Halleran*-D vs Rogers-R	DEM 88.3%		DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 80%
Arizona (AZ), 2nd Kirkpatrick-D vs Peterson-R	DEM 96.4%	DEM 92%	DEM Likely	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 90%
Arizona (AZ), 6th Malik-D vs Schweikert-R	REP 90.9%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 90%
Arizona (AZ), 8th Tipirneni-D vs Lesko*-R	REP 77.5%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 80%
Arkansas (AR), 2nd Tucker-D vs Hill*-R	REP 85.9%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Likely	REP 70%
California (CA), 4th Morse-D vs McClintock*-R	REP 84.8%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 85%
California (CA), 10th Harder-D vs Denham*-R	DEM 76.8%	DEM 63%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 52%
California (CA), 21st Cox-D vs Valadao*-R	REP 79.5%	REP 89%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Likely	REP 75%
California (CA), 22nd Janz-D vs Nunes*-R	REP 95.4%	REP 85%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 60%
California (CA), 24th Carbajal*-D vs Fareed-R	DEM 98.4%			DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM 85%
California (CA), 25th Hill-D vs Knight*-R	DEM 62.9%	DEM 51%	50/50	DEM Lean	50/50	REP 52%
California (CA), 39th Cisneros-D vs Kim-R	DEM 57.0%	REP 53%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
California (CA), 45th Porter-D vs Walters*-R	DEM 61.3%	DEM 56%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 52%
California (CA), 48th Rouda-D vs Rohrabacher*-R	DEM 56.5%	DEM 50%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
California (CA), 49th Levin-D vs Harkey-R	DEM 95.9%	DEM 89%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 50%
California (CA), 50th Campa-Najjar-D vs Hunter*-R	REP 78.1%	REP 76%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 80%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Colorado (CO), 3rd Bush-D vs Tipton*-R	REP 83.5%	REP 87%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 75%
Colorado (CO), 6th Crow-D vs Coffman*-R	DEM 87.9%	DEM 85%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Connecticut (CT), 5th Hayes-D vs Santos-R	DEM 97.3%	DEM 95%		DEM Likely		DEM 60%
Florida (FL), 6th Soderberg-D vs Waltz-R	REP 74.5%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Likely	REP 65%
Florida (FL), 15th Carlson-D vs Spano-R	REP 57.9%	REP 64%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50	REP 55%
Florida (FL), 16th Shapiro-D vs Buchanan*-R	REP 86.1%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 80%
Florida (FL), 18th Baer-D vs Mast*-R	REP 91.0%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 65%
Florida (FL), 25th Flores-D vs Diaz-Balart*-R	REP 72.5%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 80%
Florida (FL), 26th Mucarsel-Powell-D vs Curbelo*-R	DEM 54.8%	50/50	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Florida (FL), 27th Shalala-D vs Salazar-R	DEM 84.4%	DEM 64%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 51%
Georgia (GA), 6th McBath-D vs Handel*-R	REP 61.2%	DEM 54%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 60%
Georgia (GA), 7th Bourdeaux-D vs Woodall*-R	REP 87.7%	REP 75%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 55%
Illinois (IL), 6th Casten-D vs Roskam*-R	REP 52.1%	DEM 66%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Illinois (IL), 12th Kelly-D vs Bost*-R	REP 72.4%	REP 88%	50/50	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 52%
Illinois (IL), 13th Londrigan-D vs Davis*-R	REP 72.4%	REP 70%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 75%
Illinois (IL), 14th Underwood-D vs Hultgren*-R	REP 61.1%	DEM 56%	REP Lean	50/50	REP Lean	REP 75%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Indiana (IN), 9th Watson-D vs Hollingsworth*-R	REP 82.7%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 85%
Iowa (IA), 1st Finkenauer-D vs Blum*-R	DEM 95.3%	DEM 87%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 65%
Iowa (IA), 3rd Axne-D vs Young*-R	DEM 69.4%	DEM 62%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Iowa (IA), 4th Scholten-D vs King*-R	REP 85.9%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 85%
Kansas (KS), 2nd Davis-D vs Watkins-R	DEM 61.8%	REP 53%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 60%
Kansas (KS), 3rd Davids-D vs Yoder*-R	DEM 84.5%	DEM 72%		DEM Lean	DEM Lean	REP 50%
Kentucky (KT), 6th McGrath-D vs Barr*-R	DEM 51.4%	REP 56%	50/50	50/50	REP Lean	REP 55%
Maine (ME), 2nd Golden-D vs Poliquin*-R	DEM 62.8%	DEM 52%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
Michigan (MI), 1st Morgan-D vs Bergman*-R	REP 92.4%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 80%
Michigan (MI), 6th Longjohn-D vs Upton*-R	REP 82.4%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 55%
Michigan (MI), 7th Driskell-D vs Walberg*-R	REP 58.9%	REP 81%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 70%
Michigan (MI), 8th Slotkin-D vs Bishop*-R	DEM 57.9%	REP 56%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 55%
Michigan (MI), 11th Stevens-D vs Epstein-R	DEM 78.3%	DEM 83%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	50/50	DEM 65%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Minnesota (MN), 1st Feehan-D vs Hagedorn-R	DEM 55.0%	50/50	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 65%
Minnesota (MN), 2nd Craig-D vs Lewis*-R	DEM 85.6%	DEM 81%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 70%
Minnesota (MN), 3rd Phillips-D vs Paulsen*-R	DEM 84.1%	DEM 78%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Minnesota (MN), 7th Peterson*-D vs Hughes-R	DEM 93.2%	DEM 82%		DEM Likely	50/50	DEM 75%
Minnesota (MN), 8th Radinovich-D vs Stauber-R	REP 81.1%	REP 86%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 55%
Missouri (MO), 2nd VanOstran-D vs Wagner*-R	REP 83.8%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 80%
Montana (MT) – AL Williams-D vs Gianforte*-R	REP 63.4%	REP 67%	REP Likely	REP Lean	50/50	REP 80%
Nebraska (NE), 2nd Eastman-D vs Bacon*-R	REP 58.8%	REP 80%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 80%
Nevada (NV), 3rd Lee-D vs Tarkanian-R	DEM 74.6%	DEM 70%	DEM Lean	DEM Likely	50/50	DEM 60%
Nevada (NV), 4th Horsford-D vs Hardy-R	DEM 83.0%	DEM 83%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	50/50	DEM 60%
New Hampshire (NH), 1st Sullivan-D vs Sanborn-R	DEM 84.4%	DEM 65%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	50/50	DEM 75%
New Jersey (NJ), 3rd Kim-D vs MacArthur*-R	DEM 54.2%	DEM 53%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
New Jersey (NJ), 4th Welle-D vs Smith-R	REP 93.2%			REP Likely		REP 65%
New Jersey (NJ), 5th Gottheimer*-D vs McCann-R	DEM 98.7%			DEM Likely	DEM Lean	DEM 65%
New Jersey (NJ), 7th Malinowski-D vs Lance*-R	DEM 77.3%	DEM 74%	50/50	50/50	DEM Lean	DEM 53%
New Jersey (NJ), 11th Sherrill-D vs Webber-R	DEM 84.5%	DEM 87%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 55%
New Mexico (NM), 2nd Small-D vs Herrell-R	REP 57.2%	REP 58%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50	REP 55%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
New York (NY), 1st Gershon-D vs Zeldin*-R	REP 93.3%	REP 90%	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP 80%
New York (NY), 2nd Shirley-D vs King-R	REP 72.6%			REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 80%
New York (NY), 11th Rose-D vs Donovan*-R	REP 76.5%	REP 72%	REP Lean	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP 58%
New York (NY), 19th Delgado-D vs Faso*-R	DEM 64.5%	DEM 63%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 51%
New York (NY), 22nd Brindisi-D vs Tenney*-R	DEM 50.7%	REP 52%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 60%
New York (NY), 24th Balter-D vs Katko*-R	REP 81.9%	REP 93%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Likely	REP 85%
New York (NY), 27th McMurray-D vs Collins*-R	REP 75.8%	REP 75%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 53%
North Carolina (NC), 2nd Coleman-D vs Holding-R	REP 85.0%		REP Lean	50/50	REP Lean	REP 55%
North Carolina (NC), 8th McNeill-D vs Hudson*-R	REP 87.8%		REP		REP Likely	REP 90%
North Carolina (NC), 9th McCready-D vs Harris-R	REP 53.7%	DEM 57%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
North Carolina (NC), 13th Manning-D vs Budd*-R	REP 67.8%	REP 69%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 65%
Ohio (OH), 1st Pureval-D vs Chabot*-R	REP 83.4%	REP 87%	REP Lean	50/50	REP Lean	REP 52%
Ohio (OH), 7th Harbaugh-D vs Gibbs*-R	REP 92.6%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 85%
Ohio (OH), 12th O’Connor-D vs Balderson*-R	REP 65.8%	REP 60%	50/50	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 75%
Ohio (OH), 14th Rader-D vs Joyce*-R	REP 84.4%		REP Lean	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 80%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Oklahoma (OK), 5th Horn-D vs Russell-R	REP 86.4%			REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 80%
Pennsylvania (PA), 1st Wallace-D vs Fitzpatrick*-R	REP 58.1%	REP 51%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Pennsylvania (PA), 7th Wild-D vs Nothstein-R	DEM 95.0%		DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Pennsylvania (PA), 8th Cartwright*-D vs Chrin-R	DEM 93.1%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM 75%
Pennsylvania (PA), 10th Scott-D vs Perry*-R	REP 68.0%		REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 70%
Pennsylvania (PA), 17th Lamb-D vs Rothfus*-R	DEM 95.5%	DEM 96%	DEM Lean	DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM 60%
South Carolina (SC), 1st Cunningham-D vs Arrington-R	REP 91.2%		REP Lean	REP Likely		REP 75%
Texas (TX), 2nd Litton-D vs Crenshaw-R	REP 89.6%			REP Likely		REP 60%
Texas (TX), 6th Sanchez-D vs Wright-R	REP 94.6%	REP 93%		REP Likely		REP 75%
Texas (TX), 7th Fletcher-D vs Culberson*-R	DEM 51.4%	REP 57%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 60%
Texas (TX), 21st Kopser-D vs Roy-R	REP 85.2%	REP 95%	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 88%
Texas (TX), 22nd Kulkarni-D vs Olson-R	REP 80.5%			REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 80%
Texas (TX), 23rd Jones-D vs Hurd*-R	REP 78.0%	REP 85%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 60%
Texas (TX), 24th McDowell-D vs Marchant-R	REP 96.7%			REP Likely		REP 80%
Texas (TX), 32nd Allred-D vs Sessions*-R	REP 74.2%	REP 58%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 53%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Utah (UT), 4th McAdams-D vs Love*-R	REP 61.7%	DEM 61%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50	REP 85%
Virginia (VA), 2nd Luria-D vs Taylor*-R	REP 71.6%	REP 72%	50/50	50/50	REP Lean	REP 80%
Virginia (VA), 5th Cockburn-D vs Riggleman-R	REP 54.7%	REP 65%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 52%
Virginia (VA), 7th Spanberger-D vs Brat*-R	REP 55.5%	REP 60%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Virginia (VA), 10th Wexton-D vs Comstock*-R	DEM 88.9%	DEM 87%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Washington (WA), 3rd Long-D vs Herrera Beutler*-R	REP 74.6%	REP 73%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 65%
Washington (WA), 5th Brown-D vs Rodgers*-R	REP 76.6%	REP 74%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 80%
Washington (WA), 8th Schrier-D vs Rossi-R	DEM 66.1%	REP 56%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 51%
Wisconsin (WI), 1st Bryce-D vs Steil-R	REP 78.4%	REP 84%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 75%
Wisconsin (WI), 6th Kohl-D vs Grothman-R	REP 73.8%		REP Lean	REP Lean		REP 58%
West Virginia (WV), 3rd Ojeda-D vs Miller-R	REP 92.7%	REP 79%	50/50	50/50	REP Lean	REP 80%

as of October 27, 2018:

State, District *incumbent	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability as of Nov 1
Alaska (AK), At Large Galvin-D vs Young-R	REP 70.7%			REP Lean	REP Likely	REP 80%
Arizona (AZ), 1st O’Halleran*-D vs Rogers-R	DEM 87.6%		DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 80%
Arizona (AZ), 2nd Kirkpatrick-D vs Peterson-R	DEM 96.2%	DEM 92%	DEM Likely	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 90%
Arizona (AZ), 6th Malik-D vs Schweikert-R	REP 90.5%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 90%
Arizona (AZ), 8th Tipirneni-D vs Lesko*-R	REP 77.4%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 80%
Arkansas (AR), 2nd Tucker-D vs Hill*-R	REP 85.7%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 70%
California (CA), 4th Morse-D vs McClintock*-R	REP 84.6%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 85%
California (CA), 10th Harder-D vs Denham*-R	DEM 76.6%	DEM 67%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 52%
California (CA), 21st Cox-D vs Valadao*-R	REP 79.9%	REP 85%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 75%
California (CA), 22nd Janz-D vs Nunes*-R	REP 95.1%	REP 91%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 60%
California (CA), 24th Carbajal*-D vs Fareed-R	DEM 98.2%			DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM 85%
California (CA), 25th Hill-D vs Knight*-R	DEM 79.6%	REP 51%	50/50	DEM Lean	50/50	REP 52%
California (CA), 39th Cisneros-D vs Kim-R	DEM 57.7%	DEM 54%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
California (CA), 45th Porter-D vs Walters*-R	DEM 63.1%	DEM 57%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 52%
California (CA), 48th Rouda-D vs Rohrabacher*-R	DEM 63.6%	REP 55%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
California (CA), 49th Levin-D vs Harkey-R	DEM 97.4%	DEM 81%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 50%
California (CA), 50th Campa-Najjar-D vs Hunter*-R	REP 85.3%	REP 81%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 80%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Colorado (CO), 3rd Bush-D vs Tipton*-R	REP 56.0%			REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 75%
Colorado (CO), 6th Crow-D vs Coffman*-R	DEM 87.5%	DEM 85%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Connecticut (CT), 5th Hayes-D vs Santos-R	DEM 97.0%	DEM 95%		DEM Likely		DEM 60%
Florida (FL), 6th Soderberg-D vs Waltz-R	REP 73.6%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Likely	REP 65%
Florida (FL), 15th Carlson-D vs Spano-R	REP 59.2%	REP 59%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50	REP 55%
Florida (FL), 16th Shapiro-D vs Buchanan*-R	REP 85.6%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 80%
Florida (FL), 18th Baer-D vs Mast*-R	REP 85.9%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Likely	REP 65%
Florida (FL), 25th Flores-D vs Diaz-Balart*-R	REP 72.7%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 80%
Florida (FL), 26th Mucarsel-Powell-D vs Curbelo*-R	DEM 55.6%	DEM 51%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Florida (FL), 27th Shalala-D vs Salazar-R	DEM 78.9%	DEM 58%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 51%
Georgia (GA), 6th McBath-D vs Handel*-R	REP 74.3%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 60%
Georgia (GA), 7th Bourdeaux-D vs Woodall*-R	REP 86.6%	REP 88%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Likely	REP 55%
Illinois (IL), 6th Casten-D vs Roskam*-R	REP 51.3%	DEM 64%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Illinois (IL), 12th Kelly-D vs Bost*-R	REP 71.6%	REP 75%	50/50	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 52%
Illinois (IL), 13th Londrigan-D vs Davis*-R	REP 71.6%	REP 75%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 75%
Illinois (IL), 14th Underwood-D vs Hultgren*-R	REP 60.9%		REP Lean	50/50	REP Lean	REP 75%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Indiana (IN), 9th Watson-D vs Hollingsworth*-R	REP 76.7%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 85%
Iowa (IA), 1st Finkenauer-D vs Blum*-R	DEM 96.7%	DEM 78%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 65%
Iowa (IA), 3rd Axne-D vs Young*-R	DEM 68.2%	DEM 52%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Iowa (IA), 4th Scholten-D vs King*-R	REP 88.4%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 85%
Kansas (KS), 2nd Davis-D vs Watkins-R	REP 50.7%	REP 52%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 60%
Kansas (KS), 3rd Davids-D vs Yoder*-R	DEM 78.4%	DEM 81%	50/50	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	REP 50%
Kentucky (KT), 6th McGrath-D vs Barr*-R	DEM 51.4%	REP 65%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
Maine (ME), 2nd Golden-D vs Poliquin*-R	DEM 61.2%	REP 60%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
Michigan (MI), 1st Morgan-D vs Bergman*-R	REP 85.7%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 80%
Michigan (MI), 6th Longjohn-D vs Upton*-R	REP 86.5%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 55%
Michigan (MI), 7th Driskell-D vs Walberg*-R	REP 59.7%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 70%
Michigan (MI), 8th Slotkin-D vs Bishop*-R	DEM 50.0%	REP 64%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 55%
Michigan (MI), 11th Stevens-D vs Epstein-R	DEM 78.5%	DEM 68%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	50/50	DEM 65%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Minnesota (MN), 1st Feehan-D vs Hagedorn-R	DEM 53.3%	DEM 55%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 65%
Minnesota (MN), 2nd Craig-D vs Lewis*-R	DEM 84.1%	DEM 79%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 70%
Minnesota (MN), 3rd Phillips-D vs Paulsen*-R	DEM 83.2%	DEM 80%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Minnesota (MN), 7th Peterson*-D vs Hughes-R	DEM 92.6%	DEM 86%		DEM Likely	DEM Lean	DEM 75%
Minnesota (MN), 8th Radinovich-D vs Stauber-R	REP 80.5%	REP 85%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 55%
Missouri (MO), 2nd VanOstran-D vs Wagner*-R	REP 86.0%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 80%
Montana (MT) – AL Williams-D vs Gianforte*-R	REP 72.5%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 80%
Nebraska (NE), 2nd Eastman-D vs Bacon*-R	REP 62.3%	REP 82%	REP Lean	REP Lean