ASTROLOGY AND POLITICS: 2020 U.S. PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION PREDICTIONS

Political Contest Horary AstroProbability*
and the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election

Updated October 19, 2020 at 6:03pm PDT

Weekly Update Webinars and Q&A for the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election in the
Global Transformation Astrology (GTA) membership

Overview

This page lists the predictions for the Electoral College and Final Outcome of the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election, as well as predictions for the outcome of the swing states from:

Political Contest Horary AstroProbability*

Each horary question will be focused on a specific race, as well as the outcome of the election.

*AstroProbability: a composite set of mundane astrology forecasting methods.
Margin of Error is +/- 1.9% with a 95% level of confidence.

Political Contest Horary AstroProbability Accuracy Track Record 2008-2020:

462 predictions, 395 correct = 86% Accuracy Track Record

  • 2020 U.S. Democratic Primary Elections – 78% correct
  • 2018 U.S. Midterm “Closely Contested” House and Senate Elections – 81% correct
  • 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Outcome- Correct
  • 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Electoral College – 92% correct
  • 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Elections – 87% correct
  • 2014 U.S. Midterm “Too Close To Call” Elections – 83% correct
  • 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Electoral College – 88% correct
  • 2010 U.S. Midterm “Toss-Up” Senate and House Elections – 80% correct
  • 2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Outcome – Correct
  • 2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Electoral College – 96% correct
  • 2008 U.S. Democratic Primary Nomination – Correct
  • 2008 U.S. Democratic Primary “Too Close To Call” Elections – 60% correct

Political Contest Horary Team:

  • William Stickevers, Team Leader (2008, 2010, 2012, 2014, 2016, 2018, 2020)
  • Joyce Lambert (2016, 2018, 2020)
  • Alan L. Lin (2018, 2020)
  • J. Brown (2020)

Read about the Political Contest Horary Team Astrologers.


Projection Maps
for the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election:

Political Contest Horary AstroProbability Projection Map

as of October 18, 2020

Who will win the presidency?
Political Contest Horary AstroProbability:
Trump 80%

 

 

Political Contest Horary:
The consensus Electoral College Map forecast based on the political contest horary results of the key battleground states for September 28th augurs an extremely close set of state contest in November. Wisconsin and Nebraska 2nd District move from Toss-Up to Leans Republican; Arizona, Iowa, Ohio, and Main 2nd District move from Leans Republican to Likely Republican. Michigan and and Pennsylvania, move from lean Democrat to Toss-Up status.

Election bellwether states in the United States are states that vote in alignment with respect to the outcome of presidential elections. The strongest bellwether states are those which back the winning candidate in most elections.

  • Ohio – 2 misses (1944, 1960) from 1896 on (93.5%), perfect since 1964. A Must Win State for Trump in 2020.
  • Florida – 2 misses (1960, 1992) from 1928 on (91.3%). Must Win State for Trump in 2020.
  • Nevada – 3 misses (1908, 1976, 2016) from 1904 on (89.7%). A Must Win State for Biden.
  • Missouri – 3 misses (1956, 2008, 2012) from 1904 on (89.7%). A Must Win State for Trump in 2020.
  • New Mexico – 3 misses (1976, 2000, 2016) from 1912 on (88.9%). A Must Win State for Biden.
  • Tennessee – 3 misses (1960, 2008, 2012) from 1928 on (87.0%). A Must Win State for Trump.

Note: In elections since 2000, only two states remained 100 percent accurate in forecasting the winner: Florida, and Ohio.

Other Projection Maps – as of October 19, 2020:
FiveThirtyEight PredictIt Politico Real Clear Politics

Biden: 305 | Trump 233

Biden: 279 | Trump: 181
Toss-Ups: 80

Biden: 216 | Trump: 125
Toss-Ups: 197

See a Record of Previous 2020 Election Electoral College Projections

Final Outcome Prediction
for the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election:

Who will win the presidency?

as of October 19, 2020
FiveThirtyEightPredictItPoliticoPolitical Contest Horary AstroProbability
Biden 88%Biden 64%Biden – LeansTrump 80%

Electoral College State Projections
for the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election:

*Battleground States

As of October 19, 2020:
  FiveThirtyEight PredictIt Politico Real Clear Politics Political Contest Horary AstroProbability
Alabama Trump 98% Trump 95% Trump – Solid Trump – Solid Trump 95%
Alaska Trump 78% Trump 85% Trump – Likely Trump – Likely Trump 90%
Arizona* Biden 69% Biden 57% Toss-Up Toss-Up Trump 55%
Arkansas Trump 98% Trump 94% Trump -Solid Trump – Likely Trump 95%
California Biden >99% Biden 93% Biden – Solid Biden – Solid Biden 99%
Colorado* Biden 95% Biden 90% Biden – Likely Biden – Leans Biden 85%
Connecticut Biden >99% Biden 93% Biden – Solid Biden – Likely Biden 99%
Delaware Biden >99% Biden 94% Biden – Solid Biden – Solid Biden 99%
District of Columbia Biden >99% Biden 95% Biden – Solid Biden – Solid Biden 99%
Florida* Biden 72% Trump 52% Toss-Up Toss-Up Trump 57%
Georgia* Biden 51%  Trump 61% Trump – Lean Toss-Up Trump 75%
Hawaii Biden >99% Biden 94% Biden – Solid Biden – Solid Biden 99%
Idaho Trump >99% Trump 96% Trump – Solid Trump – Solid Trump 99%
Illinois Biden >99% Biden 94% Biden – Solid Biden – Likely Biden 99%
Indiana Trump 94% Trump 93% Trump – Solid Trump – Leans Trump 95%
Iowa* Trump 58% Trump 66% Toss-Up Toss-Up Trump 70%
Kansas Trump 92% Trump 91% Trump – Likely Trump – Solid Trump 95%
Kentucky Trump 99% Trump 95% Trump – Solid Trump – Solid Trump 95%
Louisiana Trump 94% Trump 93% Trump – Solid Trump – Likely Trump 95%
Maine* –
statewide
Biden 90%  Biden 88% Biden – Likely Biden – Leans Biden 80%
Maine –
1st district
Biden 98% Biden 93% Biden – Solid Biden – Likely Biden 80%
Maine –
2nd district
Biden 52% Trump 51% Toss-Up Toss-Up Trump 50% 
Maryland Biden >99% Biden 95% Biden – Solid Biden – Solid Biden 99%
Massachusetts Biden >99% Biden 95% Biden – Solid Biden – Solid Biden 99%
Michigan* Biden 92% Biden 70% Biden – Lean Toss-Up Trump 54%
Minnesota* Biden 93% Biden 77% Biden – Lean Toss-Up Biden 51%
Mississippi Trump 88% Trump 92% Trump – Solid Trump – Likely Trump 90%
Missouri Trump 91% Trump 92% Trump – Likely Trump – Leans Trump 95%
Montana Trump 89% Trump 90% Trump – Likely Trump – Leans Trump 90%
Nebraska –
statewide
Trump 99% Trump 95% Trump – Solid Trump – Solid Trump 95%
Nebraska –
1st district
Trump 94% Trump 90% Trump – Solid n/a Trump 95%
Nebraska –
2nd district
Biden 79% Biden 78% Biden – Lean Toss-Up Biden 65%
Nebraska –
3rd district
Trump >99% Trump 98% Trump – Solid n/a Trump 95%
Nevada* Biden 87% Biden 75% Biden – Lean Toss-Up Biden 50%
New Hampshire* Biden 87% Biden 78% Biden – Lean Biden – Leans Biden 51%
New Jersey Biden 99% Biden 93% Biden – Solid Biden – Likely Biden 95%
New Mexico* Biden 97% Biden 88% Biden – Likely Biden – Leans Biden 75%
New York Biden >99% Biden 93% Biden – Solid Biden – Solid Biden 95%
North Carolina* Biden 68% Biden 54% Toss-Up Toss-Up Trump 60%
North Dakota Trump 99% Trump 94% Trump – Solid Trump – Solid Trump 95%
Ohio* Trump 51% Trump 67% Trump – Lean Toss-Up Trump 65%
Oklahoma Trump >99% Trump 96% Trump – Solid Trump – Solid Trump 95%
Oregon Biden 97% Biden 92% Biden – Likely Biden – Leans Biden 90%
Pennsylvania* Biden 88% Biden 67% Biden – Lean Toss-Up 50/50 Toss-Up
Rhode Island Biden >99% Biden 93% Biden – Solid Biden – Likely Biden 95%
South Carolina Trump 89% Trump 89% Trump – Solid Trump – Leans Trump 90%
South Dakota Trump 97% Trump 93% Trump – Solid Trump – Solid Trump 95%
Tennessee Trump 96% Trump 94% Trump – Solid Trump – Solid Trump 95%
Texas Trump 69% Trump 74% Trump – Lean Toss-Up Trump 85%
Utah Trump 96% Trump 93% Trump – Likely Trump – Likely Trump 95%
Vermont Biden >99% Biden 95% Biden – Solid Biden – Solid Biden 95%
Virginia* Biden >99% Biden 91% Biden – Likely Biden – Leans Biden 70%
Washington Biden >99% Biden 94% Biden – Solid Biden – Likely Biden 95%
West Virginia Trump 99% Trump 96% Trump – Solid Trump – Solid Trump 95%
Wisconsin* Biden 88% Biden 67% Biden – Lean Toss-Up Trump 52%
Wyoming Trump >99% Trump 96% Trump – Solid Trump – Solid Trump 95%

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William Stickevers is an astrological consultant, hypnotist, life coach, and business strategist, advising clients from 28 countries for over three decades with strategy and insight to live a more fulfilled life according to their soul’s code and calling.

A trends forecaster, William’s annual global forecasts are backed by a deep study of economies, geopolitics, archetypal cosmology, and modern astrological forecasting techniques. William’s predictions for the outcome of the U.S. Midterm and Presidential Elections are well documented on his blog.

In his Global Transformation Astrology (GTA) membership, William gives two webinars with Q&A every month with research and analysis of real-world economies, finance, and geopolitics with an archetypal and traditional and modern mundane astrological perspective. Plus a monthly Ask Me Anything session.

William has been a guest on Coast to Coast AM with George Noory, The Unexplained with Howard Hughes, Beyond Reality Radio with Jason Hawes and JV Johnson, The Jerry Wills Show, and Alan Steinfeld’s New Realities. An international speaker, William has lectured at the New York Open Center, Edgar Cayce’s Association for Research and Enlightenment (A.R.E.), two Funai Media events in Tokyo, Japan, the United Astrology Conference (2018), for the National Center for Geocosmic Research (NYC, Long Island, New Jersey, San Francisco chapters), American Federation of Astrologers (Los Angeles), the Astrological Society of Connecticut, the San Francisco Astrological Society, and in Europe (Munich, Germany, and Bucharest) and Japan (Tokyo, Osaka, Yokohama).

More information on Consultations and Forecast Webinars are at his website  www.williamstickevers.com.