ASTROLOGY AND POLITICS: 2020 U.S. PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION PREDICTIONS

Political Contest Horary AstroProbability*
and the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election

Final Update November 3, 2020 at 2:59pm PST

Weekly Update Webinars and Q&A for the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election in the
Global Transformation Astrology (GTA) membership

Overview

This page lists the predictions for the Electoral College and Final Outcome of the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election, as well as predictions for the outcome of the swing states from:

Political Contest Horary AstroProbability*

Each horary question will be focused on a specific race, as well as the outcome of the election.

*AstroProbability: a composite set of mundane astrology forecasting methods.
Margin of Error is +/- 1.9% with a 95% level of confidence.

Political Contest Horary AstroProbability Accuracy Track Record 2008-2020:

462 predictions, 395 correct = 86% Accuracy Track Record

  • 2020 U.S. Democratic Primary Elections – 78% correct
  • 2018 U.S. Midterm “Closely Contested” House and Senate Elections – 81% correct
  • 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Outcome- Correct
  • 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Electoral College – 92% correct
  • 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Elections – 87% correct
  • 2014 U.S. Midterm “Too Close To Call” Elections – 83% correct
  • 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Electoral College – 88% correct
  • 2010 U.S. Midterm “Toss-Up” Senate and House Elections – 80% correct
  • 2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Outcome – Correct
  • 2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Electoral College – 96% correct
  • 2008 U.S. Democratic Primary Nomination – Correct
  • 2008 U.S. Democratic Primary “Too Close To Call” Elections – 60% correct

Political Contest Horary Team:

  • William Stickevers, Team Leader (2008, 2010, 2012, 2014, 2016, 2018, 2020)
  • Joyce Lambert (2016, 2018, 2020)
  • Alan L. Lin (2018, 2020)
  • J. Brown (2020)

Read about the Political Contest Horary Team Astrologers.


Projection Maps
for the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election:

Political Contest Horary AstroProbability Projection Map

as of November 3, 2020 at 2:59pm PST:

Who will win the presidency?
Political Contest Horary AstroProbability:
Trump 88%

Political Contest Horary:
FINAL: The consensus Electoral College Map forecast based on the Political Contest Horary inquires of the key battleground states on November 3rd augurs an extremely close set of state contests on November 3rd. Nevada, Nebraska 2nd District, and Nevada move from Toss-Up to Leans Republican; Arizona, Iowa, Ohio, and Maine 2nd District move from Leans Republican to Likely Republican. Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania move from Toss-Up to Lean Republican. Minnesota and Nevada move from lean Democrat to Toss-Up. Oregon, New Hampshire, Connecticut, Rhode Island, and Virginia move from Likely Democrat to Lean Democrat.

Election bellwether states in the United States are states that vote in alignment with respect to the outcome of presidential elections. The strongest bellwether states are those which back the winning candidate in most elections.

  • Ohio – 2 misses (1944, 1960) from 1896 on (93.5%), perfect since 1964. A Must Win State for Trump in 2020.
  • Florida – 2 misses (1960, 1992) from 1928 on (91.3%). Must Win State for Trump in 2020.
  • Nevada – 3 misses (1908, 1976, 2016) from 1904 on (89.7%). A Must Win State for Biden.
  • Missouri – 3 misses (1956, 2008, 2012) from 1904 on (89.7%). A Must Win State for Trump in 2020.
  • New Mexico – 3 misses (1976, 2000, 2016) from 1912 on (88.9%). A Must Win State for Biden.
  • Tennessee – 3 misses (1960, 2008, 2012) from 1928 on (87.0%). A Must Win State for Trump.

Note: In elections since 2000, only two states remained 100 percent accurate in forecasting the winner: Florida, and Ohio.

See a Record of Previous 2020 Election Electoral College Projections

Other Projection Maps – as of October 30, 2020:
FiveThirtyEight PredictIt Politico Real Clear Politics

Biden: 305 | Trump 233

Biden: 279 | Trump: 181
Toss-Ups: 80

Biden: 216 | Trump: 125
Toss-Ups: 197

See a Record of Previous 2020 Election Electoral College Projections

Final Outcome Prediction
for the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election:

Who will win the presidency?

as of November 3, 2020 at 2:59pm PST
FiveThirtyEightPredictItPoliticoPolitical Contest Horary AstroProbability
Biden 89%Biden 68%Biden – LeansTrump 51% [as of Dec 30 2020]
Trump 88% [as of Nov 3 2020]

Electoral College State Projections
for the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election:

*Battleground States

As of November 3, 2020 at 2:59pm PST:
  FiveThirtyEight PredictIt Politico Real Clear Politics Political Contest Horary AstroProbability
[as of Oct 18, 2020]
Alabama ✅ Trump 98% ✅ Trump 98% ✅ Trump – Solid ✅ Trump – Solid ✅ Trump 95%
Alaska ✅ Trump 85% ✅ Trump 91% ✅ Trump – Lean ✅ Trump – Likely ✅ Trump 90%
Arizona* Biden 68% Biden 62% Toss-Up Toss-Up Trump 55%
Arkansas ✅ Trump 99% ✅ Trump 99% ✅ Trump -Solid ✅ Trump – Likely ✅ Trump 95%
California ✅ Biden >99% ✅ Biden 95% ✅ Biden – Solid ✅ Biden – Solid ✅ Biden 99%
Colorado* ✅ Biden 97% ✅ Biden 90% ✅ Biden – Likely ✅ Biden – Leans ✅ Biden 85%
Connecticut ✅ Biden >99% ✅ Biden 95% ✅ Biden – Solid ✅ Biden – Likely ✅ Biden 99%
Delaware ✅ Biden >99% ✅ Biden 97% ✅ Biden – Solid ✅ Biden – Solid ✅ Biden 99%
District of Columbia ✅ Biden >99% ✅ Biden 97% ✅ Biden – Solid ✅ Biden – Solid ✅ Biden 99%
Florida* ❌ Biden 69% ✅ Trump 60% Toss-Up Toss-Up ✅ Trump 57%
Georgia* Biden 58%  Trump 57% Toss-Up Toss-Up Trump 75%
Hawaii ✅ Biden >99% ✅ Biden 95% ✅ Biden – Solid ✅ Biden – Solid ✅ Biden 99%
Idaho ✅ Trump >99% ✅ Trump 99% ✅ Trump – Solid ✅ Trump – Solid ✅ Trump 99%
Illinois ✅ Biden >99% ✅ Biden 95% ✅ Biden – Solid ✅ Biden – Likely ✅ Biden 99%
Indiana ✅ Trump 96% ✅ Trump 95% ✅ Trump – Likely ✅ Trump – Leans ✅ Trump 95%
Iowa* ✅ Trump 60% ✅ Trump 76% Toss-Up Toss-Up ✅ Trump 70%
Kansas ✅ Trump 99% ✅ Trump 96% ✅ Trump – Likely ✅ Trump – Likely ✅ Trump 95%
Kentucky ✅ Trump 99% ✅ Trump 98% ✅ Trump – Solid ✅ Trump – Solid ✅ Trump 95%
Louisiana ✅ Trump 97% ✅ Trump 98% ✅ Trump – Solid ✅ Trump – Likely ✅ Trump 95%
Maine* –
statewide
✅ Biden 90%  ✅ Biden 94% ✅ Biden – Likely ✅ Biden – Leans ✅ Biden 80%
Maine –
1st district
✅ Biden 97% ✅ Biden 97% ✅ Biden – Solid ✅ Biden – Likely ✅ Biden 80%
Maine –
2nd district
❌ Biden 57% ❌ Biden 60% Toss-Up Toss-Up ✅ Trump 50% 
Maryland ✅ Biden >99% ✅ Biden 94% ✅ Biden – Solid ✅ Biden – Solid ✅ Biden 99%
Massachusetts ✅ Biden >99% ✅ Biden 96% ✅ Biden – Solid ✅ Biden – Solid ✅ Biden 99%
Michigan* Biden 95% Biden 76% Biden – Lean Toss-Up Trump 54%
Minnesota* ✅ Biden 96% ✅ Biden 78% ✅ Biden – Lean Toss-Up ✅ Biden 51%
Mississippi ✅ Trump 92% ✅ Trump 97% ✅ Trump – Solid ✅ Trump – Likely ✅ Trump 90%
Missouri ✅ Trump 94% ✅ Trump 93% ✅ Trump – Likely ✅ Trump – Leans ✅ Trump 95%
Montana ✅ Trump 82% ✅ Trump 90% ✅ Trump – Likely ✅ Trump – Leans ✅ Trump 90%
Nebraska –
statewide
✅ Trump >99% ✅ Trump 99% ✅ Trump – Solid ✅ Trump – Solid ✅ Trump 95%
Nebraska –
1st district
✅ Trump 96% ✅ Trump 98% ✅ Trump – Solid n/a ✅ Trump 95%
Nebraska –
2nd district
✅ Biden 72% ✅ Biden 78% ✅ Biden – Lean Toss-Up ❌ Trump 53%
[as of Oct 30, 2020]
Nebraska –
3rd district
✅ Trump >99% ✅ Trump 98% ✅ Trump – Solid n/a ✅ Trump 95%
Nevada* Biden 88% Biden 76% Biden – Lean Toss-Up Trump 51%
[as of Nov 3, 2020]
New Hampshire* ✅ Biden 89% ✅ Biden 80% ✅ Biden – Lean ✅ Biden – Leans ✅ Biden 51%
New Jersey ✅ Biden >99% ✅ Biden 95% ✅ Biden – Solid ✅ Biden – Likely ✅ Biden 95%
New Mexico* ✅ Biden 98% ✅ Biden 90% ✅ Biden – Likely ✅ Biden – Leans ✅ Biden 75%
New York ✅ Biden >99% ✅ Biden 94% ✅ Biden – Solid ✅ Biden – Solid ✅ Biden 95%
North Carolina* ❌ Biden 64% ❌ Biden 57% Toss-Up Toss-Up ✅ Trump 60%
North Dakota ✅ Trump 98% ✅ Trump 98% ✅ Trump – Solid ✅ Trump – Solid ✅ Trump 95%
Ohio* ✅ Trump 55% ✅ Trump 73% Toss-Up Toss-Up ✅ Trump 65%
Oklahoma ✅ Trump >99% ✅ Trump 99% ✅ Trump – Solid ✅ Trump – Solid ✅ Trump 95%
Oregon ✅ Biden 98% ✅ Biden 94% ✅ Biden – Likely ✅ Biden – Leans ✅ Biden 90%
Pennsylvania* Biden 84% Biden 69% Biden – Lean Toss-Up Trump 53%
[as of Oct 28, 2020]
Rhode Island ✅ Biden >99% ✅ Biden 94% ✅ Biden – Solid ✅ Biden – Likely ✅ Biden 95%
South Carolina ✅ Trump 90% ✅ Trump 94% ✅ Trump – Solid ✅ Trump – Leans ✅ Trump 90%
South Dakota ✅ Trump 95% ✅ Trump 99% ✅ Trump – Solid ✅ Trump – Solid ✅ Trump 95%
Tennessee ✅ Trump 97% ✅ Trump 97% ✅ Trump – Solid ✅ Trump – Solid ✅ Trump 95%
Texas ✅ Trump 62% ✅ Trump 70% ✅ Trump – Lean Toss-Up ✅ Trump 85%
Utah ✅ Trump 95% ✅ Trump 95% ✅ Trump – Likely ✅ Trump – Likely ✅ Trump 95%
Vermont ✅ Biden >99% ✅ Biden 97% ✅ Biden – Solid ✅ Biden – Solid ✅ Biden 95%
Virginia* ✅ Biden >99% ✅ Biden 91% ✅ Biden – Likely ✅ Biden – Leans ✅ Biden 70%
Washington ✅ Biden >99% ✅ Biden 95% ✅ Biden – Solid ✅ Biden – Likely ✅ Biden 95%
West Virginia ✅ Trump >99% ✅ Trump 98% ✅ Trump – Solid ✅ Trump – Solid ✅ Trump 95%
Wisconsin* Biden 94% Biden 78% Biden – Lean Toss-Up Trump 52%
Wyoming ✅ Trump >99% ✅ Trump 99% ✅ Trump – Solid ✅ Trump – Solid ✅ Trump 95%

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William Stickevers is an astrological consultant, hypnotist, life coach, and business strategist, advising clients from 28 countries for over three decades with strategy and insight to live a more fulfilled life according to their soul’s code and calling.

A trends forecaster, William’s annual global forecasts are backed by a deep study of economies, geopolitics, archetypal cosmology, and modern astrological forecasting techniques. William’s predictions for the outcome of the U.S. Midterm and Presidential Elections are well documented on his blog.

In his Global Transformation Astrology (GTA) membership, William gives two webinars with Q&A every month with research and analysis of real-world economies, finance, and geopolitics with an archetypal and traditional and modern mundane astrological perspective. Plus a monthly Ask Me Anything session.

William has been a guest on Coast to Coast AM with George Noory, The Unexplained with Howard Hughes, Beyond Reality Radio with Jason Hawes and JV Johnson, The Jerry Wills Show, and Alan Steinfeld’s New Realities. An international speaker, William has lectured at the New York Open Center, Edgar Cayce’s Association for Research and Enlightenment (A.R.E.), two Funai Media events in Tokyo, Japan, the United Astrology Conference (2018), for the National Center for Geocosmic Research (NYC, Long Island, New Jersey, San Francisco chapters), American Federation of Astrologers (Los Angeles), the Astrological Society of Connecticut, the San Francisco Astrological Society, and in Europe (Munich, Germany, and Bucharest) and Japan (Tokyo, Osaka, Yokohama).

More information on Consultations and Forecast Webinars are at his website  www.williamstickevers.com.