Accuracy Track Record for the 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election

Political Contest Horary AstroProbability* and the 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election

State-By-State Accuracy Track Record for the U.S. Presidential General Election on November 8, 2016:

FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver William Stickevers, Political Contest Horary AstroProbability
90% correct 92% correct
51 projections 51 projections
46 correct  47 correct 
5 incorrect red-x 4 incorrect red-x

FiveThirtyEight Projection Map
(as of November 7, 2016)

Five Thirty Eight Nate Silver Projection Map for the 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election

Political Contest Horary AstroProbability Projection Map
(as of November 6, 2016)

Who will win the presidency?
Political Contest Horary AstroProbability [as of Nov. 3, 2016]:
Trump 53%


2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Final Results

Below are projections for the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election as of November 7, 2016.

*Battleground States

FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver Political Contest Horary AstroProbability
Alabama Trump  Trump  
Alaska Trump  Trump  
Arizona Trump   Trump  
Arkansas Trump   Trump  
California Clinton   Clinton  
Colorado* Clinton 77.5%   Clinton 50%  
Connecticut Clinton   Clinton  
Delaware Clinton   Clinton  
District of Columbia Clinton   Clinton  
Florida* Clinton 55.1%   red-x Trump 53%  
Georgia Trump   Trump  
Hawaii Clinton   Clinton  
Idaho Trump   Trump  
Illinois Clinton   Clinton  
Indiana Trump   Trump  
Iowa* Trump 69.8%   Trump 53%  
Kansas Trump   Trump  
Kentucky Trump   Trump  
Louisiana Trump   Trump  
Maine Clinton   Clinton  
Maryland Clinton   Clinton  
Massachusetts Clinton   Clinton  
Michigan* Clinton 78.9%  red-x Trump 50%  
Minnesota* Clinton 85.0%   Trump 50%  red-x
Mississippi Trump   Trump  
Missouri Trump   Trump  
Montana Trump   Trump  
Nebraska Trump   Trump  
Nevada* Clinton 58.3%   Trump 52%  red-x
New Hampshire Clinton   Trump  red-x
New Jersey Clinton   Clinton  
New Mexico Clinton   Clinton  
New York Clinton   Clinton  
North Carolina* Clinton 55.5%  red-x Trump 55%  
North Dakota Trump   Trump  
Ohio* Trump 64.6%   Trump 53%  
Oklahoma Trump   Trump  
Oregon Clinton   Clinton  
Pennsylvania* Clinton 77.0%  red-x Trump 52%  
Rhode Island Clinton   Clinton  
South Carolina Trump   Trump  
South Dakota Trump   Trump  
Tennessee Trump   Trump  
Texas Trump   Trump  
Utah Trump   Trump  
Vermont Clinton   Clinton  
Virginia* Clinton 85.5%   Clinton 50%  
Washington Clinton   Clinton  
West Virginia Trump   Trump  
Wisconsin* Clinton 83.5%  red-x Clinton 51%  red-x
Wyoming Trump   Trump