Accuracy Track Record for the 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election
State-By-State Accuracy Track Record for the U.S. Presidential General Election on November 6, 2012:
| FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver | William Stickevers, Political Contest Horary AstroProbability |
| 100% correct | 88% correct |
| 51 projections | 51 projections |
51 correct  |
45 correct |
0 incorrect  |
6 incorrect |
FiveThirtyEight Projection Map
(as of November 6, 2012)
PREDICTION: Obama
Political Contest Horary AstroProbability Projection Map
(as of November 6, 2012, 11:15 AM EST)
Who will win the presidency?
Political Contest Horary AstroProbability [as of Nov. 6, 2012, 11:15 AM EST]:
PREDICTION: Romney 50%
2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Final Results
Source: 270towin.com
OBAMA – 65,446,032 (51%)
ROMNEY – 60,589,084 (49%)
Below are projections for the 2012 U.S. Presidential Election as of November 6, 2012.
*Battleground States
| FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver | Political Contest Horary AstroProbability | |
| Alabama | Romney |
Romney |
| Alaska | Romney |
Romney |
| Arkansas | Romney |
Romney |
| California | Obama |
Obama |
| Colorado* | Obama |
Romney |
| Connecticut | Obama |
Obama |
| Delaware | Obama |
Obama |
| District of Columbia | Obama |
Obama |
| Florida* | Obama |
Romney |
| Georgia | Romney |
Romney |
| Hawaii | Obama |
Obama |
| Idaho | Romney |
Romney |
| Illinois | Obama |
Obama |
| Indiana | Romney |
Romney |
| Iowa | Obama |
Romney |
| Kansas | Romney |
Romney |
| Kentucky | Romney |
Romney |
| Louisiana | Romney |
Romney |
| Maine | Obama |
Obama |
| Maryland | Obama |
Obama |
| Massachusetts | Obama |
Obama |
| Michigan | Obama |
Obama |
| Minnesota | Obama |
Obama |
| Mississippi | Romney |
Romney |
| Missouri | Romney |
Romney |
| Montana | Romney |
Romney |
| Nebraska | Romney |
Romney |
| Nevada* | Obama |
Obama |
| New Hampshire | Obama |
Romney |
| New Jersey | Obama |
Obama |
| New Mexico | Obama |
Obama |
| New York | Obama |
Obama |
| North Carolina* | Romney |
Romney |
| North Dakota | Romney |
Romney |
| Ohio* | Obama |
Romney |
| Oklahoma | Romney |
Romney |
| Oregon | Obama |
Obama |
| Pennsylvania* | Obama |
Obama |
| Rhode Island | Obama |
Obama |
| South Carolina | Romney |
Romney |
| South Dakota | Romney |
Romney |
| Tennessee | Romney |
Romney |
| Texas | Romney |
Romney |
| Utah | Romney |
Romney |
| Vermont | Obama |
Obama |
| Virginia* | Obama |
Romney |
| Washington | Obama |
Obama |
| West Virginia | Romney |
Romney |
| Wisconsin* | Obama |
Romney |
| Wyoming | Romney |
Romney |
WILLIAM STICKEVERS 