ASTROLOGY AND POLITICS: U.S. PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION PREDICTIONS 2020 – DEMOCRATIC PRIMARIES

See 2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Predictions here

Overview

This page lists the predictions for the winner of each state election for the 2020 U.S. Democratic Primary Race and Presidential Election:

  • Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight
  • PredictIt
  • Political Contest Horary AstroProbability generated by a team of political contest horary astrologers led by mundane astrologer William Stickevers

Political Contest Horary AstroProbability*

Each horary question will be focused on a specific race, as well as the winner of the election.

These pages will be updated as predictions are made leading up to the November 3rd General Election.

*AstroProbability: a composite set of mundane astrology forecasting methods.
Margin of Error is +/- 1.9% with a 95% level of confidence.

Political Contest Horary Team:

  • William Stickevers, Team Leader (2008, 2010, 2012, 2014, 2016, 2018, 2020)
  • Joyce Lambert (2016, 2018, 2020)
  • Alan L. Lin (2018, 2020)
  • J. Brown (2020)

Read about the Political Contest Horary Dream Team Astrologers 2020.

Projections for the Democratic primaries and caucuses. 

UPDATED APRIL 7, 2020 at 10:06pm PT
Track record of projections posted on Twitter @wstickevers #2020ElectionAstroProbability

FiveThirtyEightPredictItWilliam Stickevers
AstroProbability
FEB 3IOWA
as of Feb 3		Sanders 41%Sanders 71%Sanders 75%
FEB 11NEW HAMPSHIRE
as of Feb 8		✅ Sanders 72%✅ Sanders 67%✅ Sanders 70%
FEB 22NEVADA
as of Feb 17		✅ Sanders 62%✅ Sanders 80% ✅ Sanders 80%
FEB 29SOUTH CAROLINA
as of Feb 26		✅ Biden 73%✅ Biden 82%✅ Biden 90%
MAR 3ALABAMA
as of Mar 1		✅ Biden 78%✅ Biden 95%✅ Biden 90%
AMERICAN SAMOASanders 50%
as of Mar 1
❌ Biden 36%
as of Mar 3		n/a❌ Sanders 55%
as of Mar 1
ARKANSAS
as of Mar 1		✅ Biden 40%✅ Biden 75%✅ Biden 80%
CALIFORNIA
as of Mar 1		✅ Sanders 92%✅ Sanders 96%✅ Sanders 90%
COLORADO
as of Mar 1		✅ Sanders 88%✅ Sanders 94%✅ Sanders 85%
MAINESanders 74%
as of Mar 1
❌ Sanders 68%
as of Mar 2		Sanders 91%
as of Mar 1
❌ Sanders 85%
as of Mar 2		❌ Sanders 80%
as of Mar 1
MASSACHUSETTSSanders 66%
as of Mar 1
❌ Sanders 51%
as of Mar 2		Sanders 72%
as of Mar 1
❌ Sanders 75%
as of Mar 2		❌ Sanders 75%
as of Mar 1
MINNESOTA
Klobuchar dropped out of race on Mar 2		Klobuchar 55%
as of Mar 1
❌ Sanders 53%
as of Mar 3		Klobuchar 59%
as of Mar 1
❌ Sanders 81%
as of Mar 2		❌ Sanders 51%
as of Mar 1
NORTH CAROLINA
as of Mar 1		✅ Biden 79%✅ Biden 80%✅ Biden 80%
OKLAHOMA
as of Mar 1		✅ Biden 48%✅ Biden 60%✅ Biden 65%
TENNESSEE
as of Mar 2		✅ Biden 63%✅ Biden 89%✅ Biden 90%
TEXASBiden 48%
as of Mar 1
✅ Biden 55%
as of Mar 2		Sanders 73%
as of Mar 1
❌ Sanders 58%
as of Mar 2		❌ Sanders 60%
as of Mar 1
UTAH
as of Mar 1		 ✅ Sanders 91%✅ Sanders 93%✅ Sanders 90%
VERMONT
as of Mar 1		✅ Sanders >99%✅ Sanders 99%✅ Sanders 90%
VIRGINIA
as of Mar 1		✅ Biden 50%✅ Biden 72%✅ Biden 80%
as of Mar 1Prediction: Biden will win
the most delegates in the
Southern States on Super Tuesday,
March 3rd.
MAR 10
as of Mar 8		IDAHOSanders 50%
as of March 8
✅ Biden 81%
as of March 10		✅ Biden 55%
as of March 8		❌ Sanders 55%
as of March 8
MICHIGAN✅ Biden 77%✅ Biden 88%✅ Biden 85%
MISSISSIPPI✅ Biden 97%✅ Biden 99%✅ Biden 95%
MISSOURI✅ Biden 90%✅ Biden 96%✅ Biden 90%
NORTH DAKOTABiden 59%
as of March 8
❌ Biden 93%
as of March 10		❌ Biden 68%
as of March 8		❌ Biden 70%
as of March 8
WASHINGTON
as of March 9		✅ Biden 63%✅ Biden 70%✅ Biden 60%
DEMOCRATS ABROAD✅ Sanders 54%✅ Sanders 91%✅ Sanders 90%
MAR 14
as of Mar 8		NORTHERN MARIANAS❌ Biden 80%n/a✅ Sanders 85%
MAR 17
as of Mar 16		ARIZONA✅ Biden 98%✅ Biden 97%✅ Biden 80%
FLORIDA✅ Biden >99%✅ Biden 99%✅ Biden 90%
ILLINOIS✅ Biden >99%✅ Biden 98%✅ Biden 85%
OHIO – POSTPONED (Jun 2)✅ Biden 99%✅ Biden 89%✅ Biden 85%
MAR 29 PUERTO RICO✅ Biden 87%✅ Biden 85%
APR 4ALASKA✅ Biden 61%✅ Biden 80%
HAWAII✅ Biden 65%✅ Biden 93%✅ Biden 75%
WYOMING✅ Biden 73%✅ Biden 97%✅ Biden 85%
APR 7WISCONSIN✅ Biden 90%n/a✅ Biden 90%
APR 28CONNECTICUT
DELAWARE
MARYLAND
NEW YORK
PENNSYLVANIA
RHODE ISLAND
MAY 2GUAM
KANSAS
MAY 5INDIANA
MAY 12NEBRASKA
WEST VIRGINIA
MAY 19GEORGIA
KENTUCKY
OREGON
JUN 2DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
LOUISIANA
MONTANA
NEW JERSEY
NEW MEXICO
OHIO
SOUTH DAKOTA
JUN 6VIRGIN ISLANDS
JUN 13-16DEMOCRATIC CONVENTION