WILLIAM STICKEVERS

Below are the past projections for the 2018 U.S. Midterm Election – HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES

CURRENT PROJECTIONS

HOUSE CONTROL

218 Seats Needed for Majority Control

as of November 3, 2018:

	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability as of Sep 13
House Control	DEM 85.4%	DEM 68%	n/a	DEM Lean	n/a	DEM 53%

as of October 27, 2018:

	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability as of Sep 13
House Control	DEM 84.5%	DEM 65%	n/a	DEM Lean	n/a	DEM 53%

as of October 25, 2018:

	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability as of Sep 13
House Control	DEM 83.7%	DEM 66%	n/a	DEM Lean	n/a	DEM 53%

as of October 13, 2018:

	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability as of Sep 13
House Control	DEM 78.4%	DEM 68%		DEM Lean		DEM 53%

as of October 6, 2018:

	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability as of Sep 13
House Control	DEM 73.6%	DEM 69%		DEM Lean		DEM 53%

as of September 29, 2018:

	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability as of Sep 13
House Control	DEM 80.4%	DEM 72%		DEM Lean		DEM 53%

as of September 22, 2018:

	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability
House Control	DEM 80.9%	DEM 72%		DEM Lean		DEM 53%

as of September 13, 2018:

	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability
House Control	DEM 83.1%	DEM 72%		DEM Lean		DEM 53%

as of September 13, 2018:

	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability
House Control	DEM 83.1%	DEM 72%		DEM Lean		DEM 53%

as of September 9, 2018:

	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability
House Control	DEM 76.3%	DEM 69%		DEM Lean

as of September 7, 2018:

	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability
House Control	DEM – 76.3%	DEM – 69%		DEM – Lean

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House of Representatives Elections

as of October 27, 2018:

State, District *incumbent	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability as of Nov 1
Alaska (AK), At Large Galvin-D vs Young-R	REP 65.4%	REP 58%		REP Lean	50/50	REP 80%
Arizona (AZ), 1st O’Halleran*-D vs Rogers-R	DEM 88.3%		DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 80%
Arizona (AZ), 2nd Kirkpatrick-D vs Peterson-R	DEM 96.4%	DEM 92%	DEM Likely	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 90%
Arizona (AZ), 6th Malik-D vs Schweikert-R	REP 90.9%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 90%
Arizona (AZ), 8th Tipirneni-D vs Lesko*-R	REP 77.5%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 80%
Arkansas (AR), 2nd Tucker-D vs Hill*-R	REP 85.9%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Likely	REP 70%
California (CA), 4th Morse-D vs McClintock*-R	REP 84.8%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 85%
California (CA), 10th Harder-D vs Denham*-R	DEM 76.8%	DEM 63%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 52%
California (CA), 21st Cox-D vs Valadao*-R	REP 79.5%	REP 89%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Likely	REP 75%
California (CA), 22nd Janz-D vs Nunes*-R	REP 95.4%	REP 85%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 60%
California (CA), 24th Carbajal*-D vs Fareed-R	DEM 98.4%			DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM 85%
California (CA), 25th Hill-D vs Knight*-R	DEM 62.9%	DEM 51%	50/50	DEM Lean	50/50	REP 52%
California (CA), 39th Cisneros-D vs Kim-R	DEM 57.0%	REP 53%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
California (CA), 45th Porter-D vs Walters*-R	DEM 61.3%	DEM 56%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 52%
California (CA), 48th Rouda-D vs Rohrabacher*-R	DEM 56.5%	DEM 50%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
California (CA), 49th Levin-D vs Harkey-R	DEM 95.9%	DEM 89%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 50%
California (CA), 50th Campa-Najjar-D vs Hunter*-R	REP 78.1%	REP 76%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 80%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Colorado (CO), 3rd Bush-D vs Tipton*-R	REP 83.5%	REP 87%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 75%
Colorado (CO), 6th Crow-D vs Coffman*-R	DEM 87.9%	DEM 85%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Connecticut (CT), 5th Hayes-D vs Santos-R	DEM 97.3%	DEM 95%		DEM Likely		DEM 60%
Florida (FL), 6th Soderberg-D vs Waltz-R	REP 74.5%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Likely	REP 65%
Florida (FL), 15th Carlson-D vs Spano-R	REP 57.9%	REP 64%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50	REP 55%
Florida (FL), 16th Shapiro-D vs Buchanan*-R	REP 86.1%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 80%
Florida (FL), 18th Baer-D vs Mast*-R	REP 91.0%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 65%
Florida (FL), 25th Flores-D vs Diaz-Balart*-R	REP 72.5%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 80%
Florida (FL), 26th Mucarsel-Powell-D vs Curbelo*-R	DEM 54.8%	50/50	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Florida (FL), 27th Shalala-D vs Salazar-R	DEM 84.4%	DEM 64%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 51%
Georgia (GA), 6th McBath-D vs Handel*-R	REP 61.2%	DEM 54%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 60%
Georgia (GA), 7th Bourdeaux-D vs Woodall*-R	REP 87.7%	REP 75%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 55%
Illinois (IL), 6th Casten-D vs Roskam*-R	REP 52.1%	DEM 66%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Illinois (IL), 12th Kelly-D vs Bost*-R	REP 72.4%	REP 88%	50/50	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 52%
Illinois (IL), 13th Londrigan-D vs Davis*-R	REP 72.4%	REP 70%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 75%
Illinois (IL), 14th Underwood-D vs Hultgren*-R	REP 61.1%	DEM 56%	REP Lean	50/50	REP Lean	REP 75%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Indiana (IN), 9th Watson-D vs Hollingsworth*-R	REP 82.7%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 85%
Iowa (IA), 1st Finkenauer-D vs Blum*-R	DEM 95.3%	DEM 87%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 65%
Iowa (IA), 3rd Axne-D vs Young*-R	DEM 69.4%	DEM 62%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Iowa (IA), 4th Scholten-D vs King*-R	REP 85.9%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 85%
Kansas (KS), 2nd Davis-D vs Watkins-R	DEM 61.8%	REP 53%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 60%
Kansas (KS), 3rd Davids-D vs Yoder*-R	DEM 84.5%	DEM 72%		DEM Lean	DEM Lean	REP 50%
Kentucky (KT), 6th McGrath-D vs Barr*-R	DEM 51.4%	REP 56%	50/50	50/50	REP Lean	REP 55%
Maine (ME), 2nd Golden-D vs Poliquin*-R	DEM 62.8%	DEM 52%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
Michigan (MI), 1st Morgan-D vs Bergman*-R	REP 92.4%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 80%
Michigan (MI), 6th Longjohn-D vs Upton*-R	REP 82.4%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 55%
Michigan (MI), 7th Driskell-D vs Walberg*-R	REP 58.9%	REP 81%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 70%
Michigan (MI), 8th Slotkin-D vs Bishop*-R	DEM 57.9%	REP 56%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 55%
Michigan (MI), 11th Stevens-D vs Epstein-R	DEM 78.3%	DEM 83%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	50/50	DEM 65%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Minnesota (MN), 1st Feehan-D vs Hagedorn-R	DEM 55.0%	50/50	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 65%
Minnesota (MN), 2nd Craig-D vs Lewis*-R	DEM 85.6%	DEM 81%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 70%
Minnesota (MN), 3rd Phillips-D vs Paulsen*-R	DEM 84.1%	DEM 78%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Minnesota (MN), 7th Peterson*-D vs Hughes-R	DEM 93.2%	DEM 82%		DEM Likely	50/50	DEM 75%
Minnesota (MN), 8th Radinovich-D vs Stauber-R	REP 81.1%	REP 86%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 55%
Missouri (MO), 2nd VanOstran-D vs Wagner*-R	REP 83.8%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 80%
Montana (MT) – AL Williams-D vs Gianforte*-R	REP 63.4%	REP 67%	REP Likely	REP Lean	50/50	REP 80%
Nebraska (NE), 2nd Eastman-D vs Bacon*-R	REP 58.8%	REP 80%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 80%
Nevada (NV), 3rd Lee-D vs Tarkanian-R	DEM 74.6%	DEM 70%	DEM Lean	DEM Likely	50/50	DEM 60%
Nevada (NV), 4th Horsford-D vs Hardy-R	DEM 83.0%	DEM 83%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	50/50	DEM 60%
New Hampshire (NH), 1st Sullivan-D vs Sanborn-R	DEM 84.4%	DEM 65%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	50/50	DEM 75%
New Jersey (NJ), 3rd Kim-D vs MacArthur*-R	DEM 54.2%	DEM 53%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
New Jersey (NJ), 4th Welle-D vs Smith-R	REP 93.2%			REP Likely		REP 65%
New Jersey (NJ), 5th Gottheimer*-D vs McCann-R	DEM 98.7%			DEM Likely	DEM Lean	DEM 65%
New Jersey (NJ), 7th Malinowski-D vs Lance*-R	DEM 77.3%	DEM 74%	50/50	50/50	DEM Lean	DEM 53%
New Jersey (NJ), 11th Sherrill-D vs Webber-R	DEM 84.5%	DEM 87%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 55%
New Mexico (NM), 2nd Small-D vs Herrell-R	REP 57.2%	REP 58%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50	REP 55%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
New York (NY), 1st Gershon-D vs Zeldin*-R	REP 93.3%	REP 90%	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP 80%
New York (NY), 2nd Shirley-D vs King-R	REP 72.6%			REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 80%
New York (NY), 11th Rose-D vs Donovan*-R	REP 76.5%	REP 72%	REP Lean	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP 58%
New York (NY), 19th Delgado-D vs Faso*-R	DEM 64.5%	DEM 63%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 51%
New York (NY), 22nd Brindisi-D vs Tenney*-R	DEM 50.7%	REP 52%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 60%
New York (NY), 24th Balter-D vs Katko*-R	REP 81.9%	REP 93%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Likely	REP 85%
New York (NY), 27th McMurray-D vs Collins*-R	REP 75.8%	REP 75%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 53%
North Carolina (NC), 2nd Coleman-D vs Holding-R	REP 85.0%		REP Lean	50/50	REP Lean	REP 55%
North Carolina (NC), 8th McNeill-D vs Hudson*-R	REP 87.8%		REP		REP Likely	REP 90%
North Carolina (NC), 9th McCready-D vs Harris-R	REP 53.7%	DEM 57%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
North Carolina (NC), 13th Manning-D vs Budd*-R	REP 67.8%	REP 69%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 65%
Ohio (OH), 1st Pureval-D vs Chabot*-R	REP 83.4%	REP 87%	REP Lean	50/50	REP Lean	REP 52%
Ohio (OH), 7th Harbaugh-D vs Gibbs*-R	REP 92.6%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 85%
Ohio (OH), 12th O’Connor-D vs Balderson*-R	REP 65.8%	REP 60%	50/50	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 75%
Ohio (OH), 14th Rader-D vs Joyce*-R	REP 84.4%		REP Lean	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 80%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Oklahoma (OK), 5th Horn-D vs Russell-R	REP 86.4%			REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 80%
Pennsylvania (PA), 1st Wallace-D vs Fitzpatrick*-R	REP 58.1%	REP 51%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Pennsylvania (PA), 7th Wild-D vs Nothstein-R	DEM 95.0%		DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Pennsylvania (PA), 8th Cartwright*-D vs Chrin-R	DEM 93.1%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM 75%
Pennsylvania (PA), 10th Scott-D vs Perry*-R	REP 68.0%		REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 70%
Pennsylvania (PA), 17th Lamb-D vs Rothfus*-R	DEM 95.5%	DEM 96%	DEM Lean	DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM 60%
South Carolina (SC), 1st Cunningham-D vs Arrington-R	REP 91.2%		REP Lean	REP Likely		REP 75%
Texas (TX), 2nd Litton-D vs Crenshaw-R	REP 89.6%			REP Likely		REP 60%
Texas (TX), 6th Sanchez-D vs Wright-R	REP 94.6%	REP 93%		REP Likely		REP 75%
Texas (TX), 7th Fletcher-D vs Culberson*-R	DEM 51.4%	REP 57%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 60%
Texas (TX), 21st Kopser-D vs Roy-R	REP 85.2%	REP 95%	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 88%
Texas (TX), 22nd Kulkarni-D vs Olson-R	REP 80.5%			REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 80%
Texas (TX), 23rd Jones-D vs Hurd*-R	REP 78.0%	REP 85%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 60%
Texas (TX), 24th McDowell-D vs Marchant-R	REP 96.7%			REP Likely		REP 80%
Texas (TX), 32nd Allred-D vs Sessions*-R	REP 74.2%	REP 58%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 53%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Utah (UT), 4th McAdams-D vs Love*-R	REP 61.7%	DEM 61%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50	REP 85%
Virginia (VA), 2nd Luria-D vs Taylor*-R	REP 71.6%	REP 72%	50/50	50/50	REP Lean	REP 80%
Virginia (VA), 5th Cockburn-D vs Riggleman-R	REP 54.7%	REP 65%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 52%
Virginia (VA), 7th Spanberger-D vs Brat*-R	REP 55.5%	REP 60%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Virginia (VA), 10th Wexton-D vs Comstock*-R	DEM 88.9%	DEM 87%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Washington (WA), 3rd Long-D vs Herrera Beutler*-R	REP 74.6%	REP 73%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 65%
Washington (WA), 5th Brown-D vs Rodgers*-R	REP 76.6%	REP 74%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 80%
Washington (WA), 8th Schrier-D vs Rossi-R	DEM 66.1%	REP 56%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 51%
Wisconsin (WI), 1st Bryce-D vs Steil-R	REP 78.4%	REP 84%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 75%
Wisconsin (WI), 6th Kohl-D vs Grothman-R	REP 73.8%		REP Lean	REP Lean		REP 58%
West Virginia (WV), 3rd Ojeda-D vs Miller-R	REP 92.7%	REP 79%	50/50	50/50	REP Lean	REP 80%

as of October 27, 2018:

State, District *incumbent	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability as of Nov 1
Alaska (AK), At Large Galvin-D vs Young-R	REP 70.7%			REP Lean	REP Likely	REP 80%
Arizona (AZ), 1st O’Halleran*-D vs Rogers-R	DEM 87.6%		DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 80%
Arizona (AZ), 2nd Kirkpatrick-D vs Peterson-R	DEM 96.2%	DEM 92%	DEM Likely	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 90%
Arizona (AZ), 6th Malik-D vs Schweikert-R	REP 90.5%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 90%
Arizona (AZ), 8th Tipirneni-D vs Lesko*-R	REP 77.4%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 80%
Arkansas (AR), 2nd Tucker-D vs Hill*-R	REP 85.7%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 70%
California (CA), 4th Morse-D vs McClintock*-R	REP 84.6%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 85%
California (CA), 10th Harder-D vs Denham*-R	DEM 76.6%	DEM 67%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 52%
California (CA), 21st Cox-D vs Valadao*-R	REP 79.9%	REP 85%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 75%
California (CA), 22nd Janz-D vs Nunes*-R	REP 95.1%	REP 91%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 60%
California (CA), 24th Carbajal*-D vs Fareed-R	DEM 98.2%			DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM 85%
California (CA), 25th Hill-D vs Knight*-R	DEM 79.6%	REP 51%	50/50	DEM Lean	50/50	REP 52%
California (CA), 39th Cisneros-D vs Kim-R	DEM 57.7%	DEM 54%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
California (CA), 45th Porter-D vs Walters*-R	DEM 63.1%	DEM 57%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 52%
California (CA), 48th Rouda-D vs Rohrabacher*-R	DEM 63.6%	REP 55%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
California (CA), 49th Levin-D vs Harkey-R	DEM 97.4%	DEM 81%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 50%
California (CA), 50th Campa-Najjar-D vs Hunter*-R	REP 85.3%	REP 81%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 80%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Colorado (CO), 3rd Bush-D vs Tipton*-R	REP 56.0%			REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 75%
Colorado (CO), 6th Crow-D vs Coffman*-R	DEM 87.5%	DEM 85%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Connecticut (CT), 5th Hayes-D vs Santos-R	DEM 97.0%	DEM 95%		DEM Likely		DEM 60%
Florida (FL), 6th Soderberg-D vs Waltz-R	REP 73.6%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Likely	REP 65%
Florida (FL), 15th Carlson-D vs Spano-R	REP 59.2%	REP 59%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50	REP 55%
Florida (FL), 16th Shapiro-D vs Buchanan*-R	REP 85.6%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 80%
Florida (FL), 18th Baer-D vs Mast*-R	REP 85.9%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Likely	REP 65%
Florida (FL), 25th Flores-D vs Diaz-Balart*-R	REP 72.7%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 80%
Florida (FL), 26th Mucarsel-Powell-D vs Curbelo*-R	DEM 55.6%	DEM 51%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Florida (FL), 27th Shalala-D vs Salazar-R	DEM 78.9%	DEM 58%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 51%
Georgia (GA), 6th McBath-D vs Handel*-R	REP 74.3%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 60%
Georgia (GA), 7th Bourdeaux-D vs Woodall*-R	REP 86.6%	REP 88%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Likely	REP 55%
Illinois (IL), 6th Casten-D vs Roskam*-R	REP 51.3%	DEM 64%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Illinois (IL), 12th Kelly-D vs Bost*-R	REP 71.6%	REP 75%	50/50	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 52%
Illinois (IL), 13th Londrigan-D vs Davis*-R	REP 71.6%	REP 75%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 75%
Illinois (IL), 14th Underwood-D vs Hultgren*-R	REP 60.9%		REP Lean	50/50	REP Lean	REP 75%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Indiana (IN), 9th Watson-D vs Hollingsworth*-R	REP 76.7%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 85%
Iowa (IA), 1st Finkenauer-D vs Blum*-R	DEM 96.7%	DEM 78%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 65%
Iowa (IA), 3rd Axne-D vs Young*-R	DEM 68.2%	DEM 52%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Iowa (IA), 4th Scholten-D vs King*-R	REP 88.4%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 85%
Kansas (KS), 2nd Davis-D vs Watkins-R	REP 50.7%	REP 52%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 60%
Kansas (KS), 3rd Davids-D vs Yoder*-R	DEM 78.4%	DEM 81%	50/50	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	REP 50%
Kentucky (KT), 6th McGrath-D vs Barr*-R	DEM 51.4%	REP 65%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
Maine (ME), 2nd Golden-D vs Poliquin*-R	DEM 61.2%	REP 60%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
Michigan (MI), 1st Morgan-D vs Bergman*-R	REP 85.7%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 80%
Michigan (MI), 6th Longjohn-D vs Upton*-R	REP 86.5%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 55%
Michigan (MI), 7th Driskell-D vs Walberg*-R	REP 59.7%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 70%
Michigan (MI), 8th Slotkin-D vs Bishop*-R	DEM 50.0%	REP 64%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 55%
Michigan (MI), 11th Stevens-D vs Epstein-R	DEM 78.5%	DEM 68%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	50/50	DEM 65%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Minnesota (MN), 1st Feehan-D vs Hagedorn-R	DEM 53.3%	DEM 55%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 65%
Minnesota (MN), 2nd Craig-D vs Lewis*-R	DEM 84.1%	DEM 79%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 70%
Minnesota (MN), 3rd Phillips-D vs Paulsen*-R	DEM 83.2%	DEM 80%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Minnesota (MN), 7th Peterson*-D vs Hughes-R	DEM 92.6%	DEM 86%		DEM Likely	DEM Lean	DEM 75%
Minnesota (MN), 8th Radinovich-D vs Stauber-R	REP 80.5%	REP 85%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 55%
Missouri (MO), 2nd VanOstran-D vs Wagner*-R	REP 86.0%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 80%
Montana (MT) – AL Williams-D vs Gianforte*-R	REP 72.5%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 80%
Nebraska (NE), 2nd Eastman-D vs Bacon*-R	REP 62.3%	REP 82%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 80%
Nevada (NV), 3rd Lee-D vs Tarkanian-R	DEM 72.6%	DEM 72%	DEM Lean	DEM Likely	50/50	DEM 60%
Nevada (NV), 4th Horsford-D vs Hardy-R	DEM 81.9%	DEM 83%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
New Hampshire (NH), 1st Sullivan-D vs Sanborn-R	DEM 89.1%	DEM 92%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 75%
New Jersey (NJ), 3rd Kim-D vs MacArthur*-R	DEM 54.9%	DEM 57%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
New Jersey (NJ), 4th Welle-D vs Smith-R	REP 93.0%			REP Likely		REP 65%
New Jersey (NJ), 5th Gottheimer*-D vs McCann-R	DEM 98.4%			DEM Likely	DEM Lean	DEM 65%
New Jersey (NJ), 7th Malinowski-D vs Lance*-R	DEM 62.8%	DEM 58%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 53%
New Jersey (NJ), 11th Sherrill-D vs Webber-R	DEM 84.4%	DEM 85%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 55%
New Mexico (NM), 2nd Small-D vs Herrell-R	REP 55.7%	REP 60%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50	REP 55%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
New York (NY), 1st Gershon-D vs Zeldin*-R	REP 85.9%	REP 81%	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP 80%
New York (NY), 2nd Shirley-D vs King-R	REP 73.1%			REP Likely		REP 80%
New York (NY), 11th Rose-D vs Donovan*-R	REP 76.3%		REP Lean	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP 58%
New York (NY), 19th Delgado-D vs Faso*-R	DEM 54.7%	DEM 51%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 51%
New York (NY), 22nd Brindisi-D vs Tenney*-R	DEM 56.1%	DEM 51%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 60%
New York (NY), 24th Balter-D vs Katko*-R	REP 72.9%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Likely	REP 85%
New York (NY), 27th McMurray-D vs Collins*-R	REP 66.6%	REP 61%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 53%
North Carolina (NC), 2nd Coleman-D vs Holding-R	REP 60.3%		REP Lean	50/50	REP Lean	REP 55%
North Carolina (NC), 8th McNeill-D vs Hudson*-R	REP 87.8%		REP		REP Likely	REP 90%
North Carolina (NC), 9th McCready-D vs Harris-R	REP 53.8%	REP 69%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
North Carolina (NC), 13th Manning-D vs Budd*-R	REP 67.2%	REP 77%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 65%
Ohio (OH), 1st Pureval-D vs Chabot*-R	REP 82.6%	REP 85%	REP Lean	50/50	REP Lean	REP 52%
Ohio (OH), 7th Harbaugh-D vs Gibbs*-R	REP 92.6%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 85%
Ohio (OH), 12th O’Connor-D vs Balderson*-R	REP 64.9%	REP 80%	50/50	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 75%
Ohio (OH), 14th Rader-D vs Joyce*-R	REP 84.7%		REP Lean	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 80%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Oklahoma (OK), 5th Horn-D vs Russell-R	REP 82.0%			REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 80%
Pennsylvania (PA), 1st Wallace-D vs Fitzpatrick*-R	DEM 55.5%	DEM 53%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Pennsylvania (PA), 7th Wild-D vs Nothstein-R	DEM 95.2%		DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Pennsylvania (PA), 8th Cartwright*-D vs Chrin-R	DEM 93.9%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM 75%
Pennsylvania (PA), 10th Scott-D vs Perry*-R	REP 64.2%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	DEM 51%
Pennsylvania (PA), 17th Lamb-D vs Rothfus*-R	DEM 95.1%	DEM 88%	DEM Lean	DEM Likely	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
South Carolina (SC), 1st Cunningham-D vs Arrington-R	REP 90.9%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 75%
Texas (TX), 2nd Litton-D vs Crenshaw-R	REP 89.1%			REP Likely		REP 60%
Texas (TX), 6th Sanchez-D vs Wright-R	REP 94.1%	REP 93%		REP Likely		REP 75%
Texas (TX), 7th Fletcher-D vs Culberson*-R	DEM 51.9%	REP 69%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 60%
Texas (TX), 21st Kopser-D vs Roy-R	REP 85.7%	REP 95%	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 88%
Texas (TX), 22nd Kulkarni-D vs Olson-R	REP 80.4%			REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 80%
Texas (TX), 23rd Jones-D vs Hurd*-R	REP 77.4%	REP 83%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 60%
Texas (TX), 24th McDowell-D vs Marchant-R	REP 95.6%			REP Likely		REP 80%
Texas (TX), 32nd Allred-D vs Sessions*-R	REP 69.7%	REP 61%	REP Lean	50/50	50/50	REP 53%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Utah (UT), 4th McAdams-D vs Love*-R	REP 54.1%		REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 85%
Virginia (VA), 2nd Luria-D vs Taylor*-R	REP 70.2%	REP 80%	50/50	50/50	REP Lean	REP 80%
Virginia (VA), 5th Cockburn-D vs Riggleman-R	REP 53.8%	REP 75%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 52%
Virginia (VA), 7th Spanberger-D vs Brat*-R	REP 59.9%	REP 69%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Virginia (VA), 10th Wexton-D vs Comstock*-R	DEM 88.7%	DEM 81%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Washington (WA), 3rd Long-D vs Herrera Beutler*-R	REP 74.0%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 65%
Washington (WA), 5th Brown-D vs Rodgers*-R	REP 76.3%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 80%
Washington (WA), 8th Schrier-D vs Rossi-R	DEM 50.4%	REP 54%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 51%
Wisconsin (WI), 1st Bryce-D vs Steil-R	REP 78.0%	REP 74%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 75%
Wisconsin (WI), 6th Kohl-D vs Grothman-R	REP 78.2%		REP Lean	REP Lean		REP 58%
West Virginia (WV), 3rd Ojeda-D vs Miller-R	REP 88.2%	REP 67%	50/50	50/50	REP Lean	REP 80%

as of October 25, 2018:

State, District *incumbent	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability as of Oct 26
Alaska (AK), At Large Galvin-D vs Young-R	REP 70.5%			REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 80%
Arizona (AZ), 1st O’Halleran*-D vs Rogers-R	DEM 88.3%		DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 80%
Arizona (AZ), 2nd Kirkpatrick-D vs Peterson-R	DEM 96.2%	DEM 89%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 90%
Arizona (AZ), 6th Malik-D vs Schweikert-R	REP 90.4%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 90%
Arizona (AZ), 8th Tipirneni-D vs Lesko*-R	REP 76.6%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 80%
Arkansas (AR), 2nd Tucker-D vs Hill*-R	REP 86.0%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 70%
California (CA), 4th Morse-D vs McClintock*-R	REP 84.6%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 85%
California (CA), 10th Harder-D vs Denham*-R	DEM 83.7%	DEM 68%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 52%
California (CA), 21st Cox-D vs Valadao*-R	REP 79.6%	REP 85%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 75%
California (CA), 22nd Janz-D vs Nunes*-R	REP 95.1%	REP 90%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 60%
California (CA), 24th Carbajal*-D vs Fareed-R	DEM 98.0%			DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM 85%
California (CA), 25th Hill-D vs Knight*-R	DEM 71.7%	DEM 59%	50/50	DEM Lean	50/50	REP 52%
California (CA), 39th Cisneros-D vs Kim-R	DEM 57.9%	REP 57%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
California (CA), 45th Porter-D vs Walters*-R	DEM 63.9%	DEM 58%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 52%
California (CA), 48th Rouda-D vs Rohrabacher*-R	DEM 63.5%	DEM 54%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
California (CA), 49th Levin-D vs Harkey-R	DEM 97.5%	DEM 86%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 50%
California (CA), 50th Campa-Najjar-D vs Hunter*-R	REP 85.6%	REP 71%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 80%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Colorado (CO), 3rd Bush-D vs Tipton*-R	REP 56.6%			REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 75%
Colorado (CO), 6th Crow-D vs Coffman*-R	DEM 87.2%	DEM 75%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Connecticut (CT), 5th Hayes-D vs Santos-R	DEM 97.0%	DEM 95%		DEM Likely		DEM 60%
Florida (FL), 6th Soderberg-D vs Waltz-R	REP 72.8%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 65%
Florida (FL), 15th Carlson-D vs Spano-R	REP 58.5%	REP 58%	REP Likely	REP Likely	50/50	REP 55%
Florida (FL), 16th Shapiro-D vs Buchanan*-R	REP 84.7%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 80%
Florida (FL), 18th Baer-D vs Mast*-R	REP 86.6%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Likely	REP 65%
Florida (FL), 25th Flores-D vs Diaz-Balart*-R	REP 72.8%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 80%
Florida (FL), 26th Mucarsel-Powell-D vs Curbelo*-R	DEM 55.3%	REP 60%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50	REP 52%
Florida (FL), 27th Shalala-D vs Salazar-R	DEM 79.4%	DEM 59%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 53%
Georgia (GA), 6th McBath-D vs Handel*-R	REP 76.8%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 60%
Georgia (GA), 7th Bourdeaux-D vs Woodall*-R	REP 86.5%	REP 79%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Likely	REP 55%
Illinois (IL), 6th Casten-D vs Roskam*-R	REP 50.2%	DEM 62%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Illinois (IL), 12th Kelly-D vs Bost*-R	REP 71.3%	REP 82%	50/50	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 52%
Illinois (IL), 13th Londrigan-D vs Davis*-R	REP 71.8%	REP 65%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 75%
Illinois (IL), 14th Underwood-D vs Hultgren*-R	REP 61.6%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 75%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Indiana (IN), 9th Watson-D vs Hollingsworth*-R	REP 76.8%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 85%
Iowa (IA), 1st Finkenauer-D vs Blum*-R	DEM 96.7%	DEM 77%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 65%
Iowa (IA), 3rd Axne-D vs Young*-R	DEM 60.8%	REP 53%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Iowa (IA), 4th Scholten-D vs King*-R	REP 88.6%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 85%
Kansas (KS), 2nd Davis-D vs Watkins-R	DEM 51.2%	REP 58%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 60%
Kansas (KS), 3rd Davids-D vs Yoder*-R	DEM 77.2%	DEM 83%	50/50	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	REP 50%
Kentucky (KT), 6th McGrath-D vs Barr*-R	DEM 51.7%	REP 61%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
Maine (ME), 2nd Golden-D vs Poliquin*-R	DEM 60.9%	REP 54%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
Michigan (MI), 1st Morgan-D vs Bergman*-R	REP 85.4%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 80%
Michigan (MI), 6th Longjohn-D vs Upton*-R	REP 86.9%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 55%
Michigan (MI), 7th Driskell-D vs Walberg*-R	REP 59.2%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 70%
Michigan (MI), 8th Slotkin-D vs Bishop*-R	DEM 50.1%	REP 49%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 55%
Michigan (MI), 11th Stevens-D vs Epstein-R	DEM 78.6%	DEM 69%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	50/50	DEM 65%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Minnesota (MN), 1st Feehan-D vs Hagedorn-R	DEM 54.0%	REP 58%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 65%
Minnesota (MN), 2nd Craig-D vs Lewis*-R	DEM 84.2%	DEM 72%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 70%
Minnesota (MN), 3rd Phillips-D vs Paulsen*-R	DEM 83.1%	DEM 77%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Minnesota (MN), 7th Peterson*-D vs Hughes-R	DEM 92.7%	DEM 79%	DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Lean	DEM 75%
Minnesota (MN), 8th Radinovich-D vs Stauber-R	REP 80.5%	REP 83%	50/50	50/50	REP Lean	REP 55%
Missouri (MO), 2nd VanOstran-D vs Wagner*-R	REP 86.6%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 80%
Montana (MT) – AL Williams-D vs Gianforte*-R	REP 69.8%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 80%
Nebraska (NE), 2nd Eastman-D vs Bacon*-R	REP 62.6%	REP 80%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 80%
Nevada (NV), 3rd Lee-D vs Tarkanian-R	DEM 71.7%	DEM 80%	DEM Lean	DEM Likely	50/50	DEM 60%
Nevada (NV), 4th Horsford-D vs Hardy-R	DEM 81.5%	DEM 73%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
New Hampshire (NH), 1st Sullivan-D vs Sanborn-R	DEM 88.8%	DEM 82%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 75%
New Jersey (NJ), 3rd Kim-D vs MacArthur*-R	DEM 53.3%	DEM 51%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
New Jersey (NJ), 4th Welle-D vs Smith-R	REP 92.3%			REP Likely		REP 65%
New Jersey (NJ), 5th Gottheimer*-D vs McCann-R	DEM 95.8%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Lean	DEM 65%
New Jersey (NJ), 7th Malinowski-D vs Lance*-R	DEM 63.2%	DEM 51%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 53%
New Jersey (NJ), 11th Sherrill-D vs Webber-R	DEM 84.5%	DEM 84%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 55%
New Mexico (NM), 2nd Small-D vs Herrell-R	REP 54.3%	REP 60%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 55%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
New York (NY), 1st Gershon-D vs Zeldin*-R	REP 85.6%	REP 85%	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP 80%
New York (NY), 2nd Shirley-D vs King-R	REP 75.0%			REP Likely		REP 80%
New York (NY), 11th Rose-D vs Donovan*-R	REP 80.5%		REP Lean	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP 58%
New York (NY), 19th Delgado-D vs Faso*-R	DEM 54.7%	REP 54%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 51%
New York (NY), 22nd Brindisi-D vs Tenney*-R	DEM 56.4%	DEM 54%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 60%
New York (NY), 24th Balter-D vs Katko*-R	REP 73.4%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Likely	REP 85%
New York (NY), 27th McMurray-D vs Collins*-R	REP 73.8%	REP 78%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 53%
North Carolina (NC), 2nd Coleman-D vs Holding-R	REP 63.5%		REP Lean	50/50	REP Lean	REP 55%
North Carolina (NC), 8th McNeill-D vs Hudson*-R	REP 87.3%		REP	REP	REP Likely	REP 90%
North Carolina (NC), 9th McCready-D vs Harris-R	REP 52.3%	REP 60%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
North Carolina (NC), 13th Manning-D vs Budd*-R	REP 66.1%	REP 70%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 65%
Ohio (OH), 1st Pureval-D vs Chabot*-R	REP 82.0%	REP 85%	50/50	50/50	REP Lean	REP 52%
Ohio (OH), 7th Harbaugh-D vs Gibbs*-R	REP 92.8%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 85%
Ohio (OH), 12th O’Connor-D vs Balderson*-R	REP 65.5%	REP 66%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 75%
Ohio (OH), 14th Rader-D vs Joyce*-R	REP 84.3%		REP Lean	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 80%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Oklahoma (OK), 5th Horn-D vs Russell-R	REP 82.0%			REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 80%
Pennsylvania (PA), 1st Wallace-D vs Fitzpatrick*-R	DEM 55.2%	DEM 54%	REP Lean	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Pennsylvania (PA), 7th Wild-D vs Nothstein-R	DEM 95.2%		DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Pennsylvania (PA), 8th Cartwright*-D vs Chrin-R	DEM 94.0%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM 75%
Pennsylvania (PA), 10th Scott-D vs Perry*-R	REP 69.2%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	DEM 51%
Pennsylvania (PA), 17th Lamb-D vs Rothfus*-R	DEM 94.7%	DEM 96%	DEM Lean	DEM Likely	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
South Carolina (SC), 1st Cunningham-D vs Arrington-R	REP 90.6%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 75%
Texas (TX), 2nd Litton-D vs Crenshaw-R	REP 88.9%			REP Likely		REP 60%
Texas (TX), 6th Sanchez-D vs Wright-R	REP 94.3%	REP 93%		REP Likely		REP 75%
Texas (TX), 7th Fletcher-D vs Culberson*-R	REP 51.6%	REP 72%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 60%
Texas (TX), 21st Kopser-D vs Roy-R	REP 85.4%	REP 85%	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 88%
Texas (TX), 22nd Kulkarni-D vs Olson-R	REP 81.4%			REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 80%
Texas (TX), 23rd Jones-D vs Hurd*-R	REP 77.5%	REP 82%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 60%
Texas (TX), 24th McDowell-D vs Marchant-R	REP 95.5%			REP Likely		REP 80%
Texas (TX), 32nd Allred-D vs Sessions*-R	REP 69.0%	REP 61%	REP Lean	50/50	50/50	REP 53%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Utah (UT), 4th McAdams-D vs Love*-R	REP 59.6%		REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 85%
Virginia (VA), 2nd Luria-D vs Taylor*-R	REP 69.9%	REP 73%	50/50	50/50	REP Lean	REP 80%
Virginia (VA), 5th Cockburn-D vs Riggleman-R	REP 50.5%	REP 47%	REP Likely	REP Likely	50/50	REP 52%
Virginia (VA), 7th Spanberger-D vs Brat*-R	REP 59.3%	REP 69%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Virginia (VA), 10th Wexton-D vs Comstock*-R	DEM 88.8%	DEM 81%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Washington (WA), 3rd Long-D vs Herrera Beutler*-R	REP 74.9%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 65%
Washington (WA), 5th Brown-D vs Rodgers*-R	REP 76.6%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 80%
Washington (WA), 8th Schrier-D vs Rossi-R	REP 50.6%	REP 59%	50/50	DEM Lean	50/50	REP 51%
Wisconsin (WI), 1st Bryce-D vs Steil-R	REP 77.3%	REP 74%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 75%
Wisconsin (WI), 6th Kohl-D vs Grothman-R	REP 76.7%		REP Lean	REP Lean		REP 58%
West Virginia (WV), 3rd Ojeda-D vs Miller-R	REP 88.1%	REP 65%	50/50	50/50	REP Lean	REP 80%

as of October 13, 2018:

State, District *incumbent	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability as of Oct 11
Alaska (AK), At Large Galvin-D vs Young-R	REP 74.8%			REP Likely		REP 80%
Arizona (AZ), 1st O’Halleran*-D vs Rogers-R	DEM 84.8%		DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 80%
Arizona (AZ), 2nd Kirkpatrick-D vs Peterson-R	DEM 95.7%	DEM 89%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 90%
Arizona (AZ), 6th Malik-D vs Schweikert-R	REP 91.9%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 90%
Arizona (AZ), 8th Tipirneni-D vs Lesko*-R	REP 73.7%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 80%
Arkansas (AR), 2nd Tucker-D vs Hill*-R	REP 82.7%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 70%
California (CA), 4th Morse-D vs McClintock*-R	REP 85.5%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 85%
California (CA), 10th Harder-D vs Denham*-R	DEM 71.8%	DEM 65%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
California (CA), 21st Cox-D vs Valadao*-R	REP 80.2%	REP 93%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 75%
California (CA), 22nd Janz-D vs Nunes*-R	REP 97.0%	REP 91%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 60%
California (CA), 24th Carbajal*-D vs Fareed-R	DEM 98.0%			DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM 85%
California (CA), 25th Hill-D vs Knight*-R	DEM 69.6%	DEM 57%	50/50	DEM Lean	50/50	REP 52%
California (CA), 39th Cisneros-D vs Kim-R	REP 53.3%	REP 55%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
California (CA), 45th Porter-D vs Walters*-R	DEM 69.1%	DEM 65%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 52%
California (CA), 48th Rouda-D vs Rohrabacher*-R	DEM 58.1%	DEM 55%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
California (CA), 49th Levin-D vs Harkey-R	DEM 94.3%	DEM 82%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 50%
California (CA), 50th Campa-Najjar-D vs Hunter*-R	REP 87.2%	REP 80%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 80%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Colorado (CO), 3rd Bush-D vs Tipton*-R	REP 62.2%			REP Likely		REP 75%
Colorado (CO), 6th Crow-D vs Coffman*-R	DEM 83.8%	DEM 80%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Connecticut (CT), 5th Hayes-D vs Santos-R	DEM 97.8%	DEM 93%		DEM Likely		DEM 60%
Florida (FL), 6th Soderberg-D vs Waltz-R	REP 73.6%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 65%
Florida (FL), 15th Carlson-D vs Spano-R	REP 67.2%	REP 80%	REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 55%
Florida (FL), 16th Shapiro-D vs Buchanan*-R	REP 87.8%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 80%
Florida (FL), 18th Baer-D vs Mast*-R	REP 88.5%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Likely	REP 65%
Florida (FL), 25th Flores-D vs Diaz-Balart*-R	REP 73.6%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 80%
Florida (FL), 26th Mucarsel-Powell-D vs Curbelo*-R	REP 51.2%	REP 60%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50	REP 52%
Florida (FL), 27th Shalala-D vs Salazar-R	DEM 76.5%	50/50	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 53%
Georgia (GA), 6th McBath-D vs Handel*-R	REP 87.8%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 60%
Georgia (GA), 7th Bourdeaux-D vs Woodall*-R	REP 69.1%	REP 60%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Likely	REP 55%
Illinois (IL), 6th Casten-D vs Roskam*-R	REP 66.3%	DEM 62%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Illinois (IL), 12th Kelly-D vs Bost*-R	REP 60.6%	REP 63%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50	REP 52%
Illinois (IL), 13th Londrigan-D vs Davis*-R	REP 75.3%	REP 80%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 75%
Illinois (IL), 14th Underwood-D vs Hultgren*-R	REP 68.5%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 75%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Indiana (IN), 9th Watson-D vs Hollingsworth*-R	REP 80.1%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 85%
Iowa (IA), 1st Finkenauer-D vs Blum*-R	DEM 96.1%	DEM 88%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 65%
Iowa (IA), 3rd Axne-D vs Young*-R	DEM 56.7%	DEM 51%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Iowa (IA), 4th Scholten-D vs King*-R	REP 89.5%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 85%
Kansas (KS), 2nd Davis-D vs Watkins-R	DEM 50.5%	DEM 51%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 60%
Kansas (KS), 3rd Davids-D vs Yoder*-R	DEM 53.8%	DEM 71%	50/50	DEM Lean	50/50	REP 50%
Kentucky (KT), 6th McGrath-D vs Barr*-R	REP 53.1%	REP 64%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
Maine (ME), 2nd Golden-D vs Poliquin*-R	REP 62.1%	REP 55%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
Michigan (MI), 1st Morgan-D vs Bergman*-R	REP 83.4%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 80%
Michigan (MI), 6th Longjohn-D vs Upton*-R	REP 87.5%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 55%
Michigan (MI), 7th Driskell-D vs Walberg*-R	REP 63.0%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 70%
Michigan (MI), 8th Slotkin-D vs Bishop*-R	DEM 51.0%	DEM 59%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 55%
Michigan (MI), 11th Stevens-D vs Epstein-R	DEM 78.7%	DEM 68%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 65%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Minnesota (MN), 1st Feehan-D vs Hagedorn-R	REP 66.5%	REP 70%	50/50	50/50	REP Lean	REP 65%
Minnesota (MN), 2nd Craig-D vs Lewis*-R	DEM 84.0%	DEM 74%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 70%
Minnesota (MN), 3rd Phillips-D vs Paulsen*-R	DEM 82.8%	DEM 83%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Minnesota (MN), 7th Peterson*-D vs Hughes-R	DEM 92.4%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Lean	DEM 75%
Minnesota (MN), 8th Radinovich-D vs Stauber-R	REP 83.5%	REP 70%	50/50	50/50	REP Lean	REP 55%
Missouri (MO), 2nd VanOstran-D vs Wagner*-R	REP 88.8%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 80%
Montana (MT) – AL Williams-D vs Gianforte*-R	REP 72.9%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP 80%
Nebraska (NE), 2nd Eastman-D vs Bacon*-R	REP 67.0%	REP 75%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 80%
Nevada (NV), 3rd Lee-D vs Tarkanian-R	DEM 71.2%	DEM 80%	DEM Lean	DEM Likely	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Nevada (NV), 4th Horsford-D vs Hardy-R	DEM 81.1%	DEM 64%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
New Hampshire (NH), 1st Sullivan-D vs Sanborn-R	DEM 88.5%	DEM 84%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 75%
New Jersey (NJ), 3rd Kim-D vs MacArthur*-R	DEM 61.2%	DEM 58%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 53%
New Jersey (NJ), 4th Welle-D vs Smith-R	REP 94.7%			REP Likely		REP 65%
New Jersey (NJ), 5th Gottheimer*-D vs McCann-R	DEM 96.0%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Lean	DEM 65%
New Jersey (NJ), 7th Malinowski-D vs Lance*-R	DEM 61.8%	DEM 55%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 53%
New Jersey (NJ), 11th Sherrill-D vs Webber-R	DEM 76.8%	DEM 79%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	50/50	DEM 55%
New Mexico (NM), 2nd Small-D vs Herrell-R	REP 61.8%	REP 55%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 55%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
New York (NY), 1st Gershon-D vs Zeldin*-R	REP 87.1%	REP 89%	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP 80%
New York (NY), 2nd Shirley-D vs King-R	REP 83.1%			REP Likely		REP 80%
New York (NY), 11th Rose-D vs Donovan*-R	REP 77.2%		REP Lean	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP 58%
New York (NY), 19th Delgado-D vs Faso*-R	DEM 52.3%	REP 49%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 51%
New York (NY), 22nd Brindisi-D vs Tenney*-R	DEM 66.3%	DEM 70%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 60%
New York (NY), 24th Balter-D vs Katko*-R	REP 85.6%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Likely	REP 85%
New York (NY), 27th McMurray-D vs Collins*-R	REP 88.8%	REP 74%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 53%
North Carolina (NC), 2nd Coleman-D vs Holding-R	REP 64.0%		REP Lean	50/50	REP Lean	REP 55%
North Carolina (NC), 8th McNeill-D vs Hudson*-R	REP 87.6%		REP	REP	REP Likely	REP 90%
North Carolina (NC), 9th McCready-D vs Harris-R	DEM 50.1%	50/50	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
North Carolina (NC), 13th Manning-D vs Budd*-R	REP 60.7%	REP 77%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 65%
Ohio (OH), 1st Pureval-D vs Chabot*-R	REP 78.1%	REP 87%	50/50	50/50	REP Lean	REP 52%
Ohio (OH), 7th Harbaugh-D vs Gibbs*-R	REP 91.6%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP	REP 85%
Ohio (OH), 12th O’Connor-D vs Balderson*-R	REP 68.9%	REP 68%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 75%
Ohio (OH), 14th Rader-D vs Joyce*-R	REP 83.4%		REP Lean	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 80%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Oklahoma (OK), 5th Horn-D vs Russell-R	REP 84.8%			REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 80%
Pennsylvania (PA), 1st Wallace-D vs Fitzpatrick*-R	REP 53.0%	DEM 53%	REP Lean	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Pennsylvania (PA), 7th Wild-D vs Nothstein-R	DEM 96.9%		DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Pennsylvania (PA), 8th Cartwright*-D vs Chrin-R	DEM 87.4%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM 75%
Pennsylvania (PA), 10th Scott-D vs Perry*-R	REP 75.6%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	DEM 51%
Pennsylvania (PA), 17th Lamb-D vs Rothfus*-R	DEM 90.6%	DEM 93%	DEM Lean	DEM Likely	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
South Carolina (SC), 1st Cunningham-D vs Arrington-R	REP 89.8%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 75%
Texas (TX), 2nd Litton-D vs Crenshaw-R	REP 92.5%			REP Likely		REP 60%
Texas (TX), 6th Sanchez-D vs Wright-R	REP 94.6%	REP 93%		REP Likely		REP 75%
Texas (TX), 7th Fletcher-D vs Culberson*-R	REP 52.6%	REP 63%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 60%
Texas (TX), 21st Kopser-D vs Roy-R	REP 86.1%	REP 85%	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 88%
Texas (TX), 22nd Kulkarni-D vs Olson-R	REP 87.4%			REP Likely		REP 80%
Texas (TX), 23rd Jones-D vs Hurd*-R	REP 66.6%	REP 87%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 60%
Texas (TX), 24th McDowell-D vs Marchant-R	REP 96.2%			REP Likely		REP 80%
Texas (TX), 32nd Allred-D vs Sessions*-R	REP 69.5%	REP 70%	REP Lean	50/50	50/50	REP 53%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Utah (UT), 4th McAdams-D vs Love*-R	REP 61.2%		REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 85%
Virginia (VA), 2nd Luria-D vs Taylor*-R	REP 74.6%	REP 78%	50/50	50/50	REP Lean	REP 80%
Virginia (VA), 5th Cockburn-D vs Riggleman-R	DEM 50.7%		REP Likely	REP Likely	50/50	DEM 50%
Virginia (VA), 7th Spanberger-D vs Brat*-R	REP 64.4%	REP 58%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Virginia (VA), 10th Wexton-D vs Comstock*-R	DEM 85.8%	DEM 86%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Washington (WA), 3rd Long-D vs Herrera Beutler*-R	REP 76.2%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 65%
Washington (WA), 5th Brown-D vs Rodgers*-R	REP 80.1%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 80%
Washington (WA), 8th Schrier-D vs Rossi-R	REP 56.0%	REP 55%	50/50	DEM Lean	50/50	REP 51%
Wisconsin (WI), 1st Bryce-D vs Steil-R	REP 80.4%	REP 79%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 75%
Wisconsin (WI), 6th Kohl-D vs Grothman-R	REP 74.3%		REP Lean	REP Lean		REP 58%
West Virginia (WV), 3rd Ojeda-D vs Miller-R	REP 90.6%	REP 77%	50/50	50/50	REP Lean	REP 80%

as of October 6 / October 8, 2018:

State, District *incumbent	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability as of Oct 8
Alaska (AK), At Large Galvin-D vs Young-R	REP 75.8%			REP Likely
Arizona (AZ), 1st O’Halleran*-D vs Rogers-R	DEM 88.4%		DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
Arizona (AZ), 2nd Kirkpatrick-D vs Peterson-R	DEM 94.6%	DEM 90%	DEM Lean	50/50	DEM Lean	REP 53%
Arizona (AZ), 6th Malik-D vs Schweikert-R	REP 85.7%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Arizona (AZ), 8th Tipirneni-D vs Lesko*-R	REP 75.7%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Arkansas (AR), 2nd Tucker-D vs Hill*-R	REP 84.0%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 70%
California (CA), 4th Morse-D vs McClintock*-R	REP 86.7d%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
California (CA), 7th Bera*-D vs Grant-R	DEM 98.8%		DEM Likely	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
California (CA), 10th Harder-D vs Denham*-R	DEM 69.8%	REP 56%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
California (CA), 21st Cox-D vs Valadao*-R	REP 81.2%	REP 85%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean
California (CA), 22nd Janz-D vs Nunes*-R	REP 97.1%			REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 60%
California (CA), 24th Carbajal*-D vs Fareed-R	DEM 97.8%			DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM 85%
California (CA), 25th Hill-D vs Knight*-R	DEM 66.0%	REP 53%	50/50	DEM Lean	50/50	REP 52%
California (CA), 39th Cisneros-D vs Kim-R	REP 53.3%	REP 64%	50/50	50/50	REP Lean	REP 52%
California (CA), 45th Porter-D vs Walters*-R	DEM 66.7%	DEM 56%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 52%
California (CA), 48th Rouda-D vs Rohrabacher*-R	DEM 54.3%	DEM 95%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
California (CA), 49th Levin-D vs Harkey-R	DEM 92.9%	DEM 83%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 50%
California (CA), 50th Campa-Najjar-D vs Hunter*-R	REP 88.5%	REP 68%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Colorado (CO), 3rd Bush-D vs Tipton*-R	REP 65.3%			REP Likely		REP 75%
Colorado (CO), 6th Crow-D vs Coffman*-R	DEM 81.3%	DEM 81%	DEM Lean	50/50	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Connecticut (CT), 5th Hayes-D vs Santos-R	DEM 97.4%	DEM 93%		DEM Likely		DEM 60%
Florida (FL), 6th Soderberg-D vs Waltz-R	REP 78.7%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 65%
Florida (FL), 7th Murphy*-D vs Miller-R	DEM 92.7%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
Florida (FL), 15th Carlson-D vs Spano-R	REP 71.5%	REP 75%	REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 55%
Florida (FL), 16th Shapiro-D vs Buchanan*-R	REP 89.4%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 80%
Florida (FL), 18th Baer-D vs Mast*-R	REP 89.3%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Florida (FL), 25th Flores-D vs Diaz-Balart*-R	REP 75.0%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 80%
Florida (FL), 26th Mucarsel-Powell-D vs Curbelo*-R	REP 53.4%	REP 62%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50	REP 52%
Florida (FL), 27th Shalala-D vs Salazar-R	DEM 83.4%	DEM 69%	50/50	50/50	DEM Lean	REP 53%
Georgia (GA), 6th McBath-D vs Handel*-R	REP 88.8%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 60%
Georgia (GA), 7th Bourdeaux-D vs Woodall*-R	REP 72.8%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Likely	REP 55%
Illinois (IL), 6th Casten-D vs Roskam*-R	REP 70.9%	REP 56%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Illinois (IL), 12th Kelly-D vs Bost*-R	REP 63.5%	REP 59%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50	REP 52%
Illinois (IL), 13th Londrigan-D vs Davis*-R	REP 72.6%	REP 76%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 75%
Illinois (IL), 14th Underwood-D vs Hultgren*-R	REP 67.2%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Indiana (IN), 2nd Hall-D vs Walorski*-R	REP 95.3%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Indiana (IN), 9th Watson-D vs Hollingsworth*-R	REP 82.1%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Iowa (IA), 1st Finkenauer-D vs Blum*-R	DEM 96.9%	DEM 83%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 65%
Iowa (IA), 3rd Axne-D vs Young*-R	REP 53.1%	REP 68%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 50%
Iowa (IA), 4th Scholten-D vs King*-R	REP 90.7%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Kansas (KS), 2nd Davis-D vs Watkins-R	REP 53.4%	DEM 57%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 60%
Kansas (KS), 3rd Davids-D vs Yoder*-R	DEM 50.5%	DEM 63%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 50%
Kansas (KS), 4th Thompson-D vs Estes-R	REP 98.6%			REP Likely
Kentucky (KT), 6th McGrath-D vs Barr*-R	REP 57.9%	REP 46%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
Maine (ME), 2nd Golden-D vs Poliquin*-R	REP 65.4%		50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
Michigan (MI), 1st Morgan-D vs Bergman*-R	REP 85.2%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Michigan (MI), 6th Longjohn-D vs Upton*-R	REP 88.3%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Lean
Michigan (MI), 7th Driskell-D vs Walberg*-R	REP 66.0%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Lean
Michigan (MI), 8th Slotkin-D vs Bishop*-R	REP 53.0%	REP 48%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 55%
Michigan (MI), 11th Stevens-D vs Epstein-R	DEM 73.7%	DEM 69%	DEM Lean	50/50	50/50	DEM 65%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Minnesota (MN), 1st Feehan-D vs Hagedorn-R	REP 69.0%	REP 63%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 65%
Minnesota (MN), 2nd Craig-D vs Lewis*-R	DEM 82.2%	DEM 75%	DEM Lean	50/50	50/50	DEM 70%
Minnesota (MN), 3rd Phillips-D vs Paulsen*-R	DEM 81.1%	DEM 82%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Minnesota (MN), 7th Peterson*-D vs Hughes-R	DEM 86.6%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Lean	DEM 75%
Minnesota (MN), 8th Radinovich-D vs Stauber-R	REP 61.3%	REP 60%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50	REP 55%
Missouri (MO), 2nd VanOstran-D vs Wagner*-R	REP 89.8%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 80%
Montana (MT) – AL Williams-D vs Gianforte*-R	REP 79.8%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP 80%
Nebraska (NE), 2nd Eastman-D vs Bacon*-R	REP 67.7%	REP 72%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 80%
Nevada (NV), 3rd Lee-D vs Tarkanian-R	DEM 67.9%	DEM 79%	DEM Lean	DEM Likely	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Nevada (NV), 4th Horsford-D vs Hardy-R	DEM 85.1%	DEM 75%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
New Hampshire (NH), 1st Sullivan-D vs Sanborn-R	DEM 87.4%	DEM 80%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
New Jersey (NJ), 2nd Drew-D vs Grossman-R	DEM 97.2%	DEM 92%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely
New Jersey (NJ), 3rd Kim-D vs MacArthur*-R	DEM 64.2%	DEM 55%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 53%
New Jersey (NJ), 4th Welle-D vs Smith-R	REP 95.6%			REP Likely
New Jersey (NJ), 5th Gottheimer*-D vs McCann-R	DEM 95.1%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
New Jersey (NJ), 7th Malinowski-D vs Lance*-R	DEM 57.6%	DEM 61%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 53%
New Jersey (NJ), 11th Sherrill-D vs Webber-R	DEM 75.7%	DEM 75%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 55%
New Mexico (NM), 2nd Small-D vs Herrell-R	REP 64.9%	REP 59%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 55%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
New York (NY), 1st Gershon-D vs Zeldin*-R	REP 86.0%	REP 73%	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Lean
New York (NY), 2nd Shirley-D vs King-R	REP 84.5%			REP Likely
New York (NY), 11th Rose-D vs Donovan*-R	REP 79.1%		REP Lean	REP Likely	REP Lean
New York (NY), 19th Delgado-D vs Faso*-R	REP 51.8%	DEM 52%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 52%
New York (NY), 21st Cobb-D vs Stefanik-R	REP 95.2%			REP Likely
New York (NY), 22nd Brindisi-D vs Tenney*-R	DEM 62.6%	DEM 80%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 60%
New York (NY), 23rd -D vs -R	REP 97.0%
New York (NY), 24th Balter-D vs Katko*-R	REP 87.5%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
New York (NY), 27th McMurray-D vs Collins*-R	REP 94.8%	REP 72%	REP Likely	REP Lean	50/50	REP 53%
North Carolina (NC), 2nd Coleman-D vs Holding-R	REP 66.2%		REP Lean	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
North Carolina (NC), 8th McNeill-D vs Hudson*-R	REP 89.0%		REP	REP	REP Likely
North Carolina (NC), 9th McCready-D vs Harris-R	REP 57.8%	50/50	50/50	DEM Lean	50/50	REP 55%
North Carolina (NC), 13th Manning-D vs Budd*-R	REP 60.6%	REP 65%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
Ohio (OH), 1st Pureval-D vs Chabot*-R	REP 80.8%	REP 70%	50/50	50/50	REP Lean	REP 52%
Ohio (OH), 7th Harbaugh-D vs Gibbs-R	REP 92.5%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Ohio (OH), 12th O’Connor-D vs Balderson*-R	REP 70.6%	REP 64%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50
Ohio (OH), 14th Rader-D vs Joyce*-R	REP 85.1%		REP Lean	REP Likely	REP Likely
Ohio (OH), 15th Neal-D vs Stivers-R	REP 98.4%			REP Likely
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Oklahoma (OK), 5th Horn-D vs Russell-R	REP 85.8%			REP Likely	REP Likely
Pennsylvania (PA), 1st Wallace-D vs Fitzpatrick*-R	REP 82.4%	REP 57%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 52%
Pennsylvania (PA), 6th Houlahan-D vs McCauley-R	DEM 98.4%	DEM 95%	DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
Pennsylvania (PA), 7th Wild-D vs Nothstein-R	DEM 93.1%		DEM Lean	DEM Lean	50/50	DEM 60%
Pennsylvania (PA), 8th Cartwright*-D vs Chrin-R	DEM 86.0%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
Pennsylvania (PA), 10th Scott-D vs Perry*-R	REP 77.4%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	DEM 51%
Pennsylvania (PA), 16th DiNocola-D vs Kelly*-R	REP 96.6%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 50%
Pennsylvania (PA), 17th Lamb-D vs Rothfus*-R	DEM 87.8%	DEM 94%	DEM Lean	DEM Likely	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
South Carolina (SC), 1st Cunningham-D vs Arrington-R	REP 91.0%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 75%
Texas (TX), 2nd Litton-D vs Crenshaw-R	REP 93.3%			REP Likely
Texas (TX), 6th Sanchez-D vs Wright-R	REP 95.0%	REP 93%		REP Likely
Texas (TX), 7th Fletcher-D vs Culberson*-R	REP 56.3%	REP 61%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 60%
Texas (TX), 21st Kopser-D vs Roy-R	REP 88.1%	REP 89%	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Texas (TX), 22nd Kulkarni-D vs Olson-R	REP 88.6%			REP Likely
Texas (TX), 23rd Jones-D vs Hurd*-R	REP 68.3%	REP 75%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 60%
Texas (TX), 24th McDowell-D vs Marchant-R	REP 96.7%			REP Likely
Texas (TX), 31st Hegar-D vs Carter-R	REP 93.6%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Texas (TX), 32nd Allred-D vs Sessions*-R	REP 71.3%	REP 61%	REP Lean	50/50	50/50
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Utah (UT), 4th McAdams-D vs Love*-R	REP 71.3%		REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 85%
Virginia (VA), 2nd Luria-D vs Taylor*-R	REP 78.4%	REP 70%	50/50	50/50	REP Lean	REP 80%
Virginia (VA), 5th Cockburn-D vs Riggleman-R	REP 52.5%		REP Likely	REP Likely	50/50	DEM 50%
Virginia (VA), 7th Spanberger-D vs Brat*-R	REP 67.9%	REP 51%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Virginia (VA), 10th Wexton-D vs Comstock*-R	DEM 77.0%	DEM 83%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Washington (WA), 3rd Long-D vs Herrera Beutler*-R	REP 86.7%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 65%
Washington (WA), 5th Brown-D vs Rodgers*-R	REP 82.4%		REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 80%
Washington (WA), 8th Schrier-D vs Rossi-R	DEM 53.3%	DEM 58%	50/50	DEM Lean	50/50	REP 51%
Wisconsin (WI), 1st Bryce-D vs Steil-R	REP 82.9%	REP 80%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 75%
Wisconsin (WI), 6th Kohl-D vs Grothman-R	REP 77.1%		REP Lean	REP Lean		REP 58%
West Virginia (WV), 3rd Ojeda-D vs Miller-R	REP 91.5%	REP 68%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 80%

as of September 29 / October 5, 2018:

State, District *incumbent	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability as of Oct 5
Alaska (AK), At Large Galvin-D vs Young-R	REP 72.2%			REP Likely
Arizona (AZ), 1st O’Halleran*-D vs Rogers-R	DEM 97.7%		DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
Arizona (AZ), 2nd Kirkpatrick-D vs Peterson-R	DEM 95.2%	DEM 82%	DEM Lean	50/50	DEM Lean	REP 53%
Arizona (AZ), 6th Malik-D vs Schweikert-R	REP 82.9%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Arizona (AZ), 8th Tipirneni-D vs Lesko*-R	REP 72.3%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Arkansas (AR), 2nd Tucker-D vs Hill*-R	REP 80.6%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 70%
California (CA), 4th Morse-D vs McClintock*-R	REP 85.0%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
California (CA), 7th Bera*-D vs Grant-R	DEM 98.9%		DEM Likely	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
California (CA), 10th Harder-D vs Denham*-R	DEM 68.5%	DEM 60%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
California (CA), 21st Cox-D vs Valadao*-R	REP 79.8%	REP 88%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean
California (CA), 22nd Janz-D vs Nunes*-R	REP 97.1%			REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 60%
California (CA), 24th Carbajal*-D vs Fareed-R	DEM 98.0%			DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM 85%
California (CA), 25th Hill-D vs Knight*-R	DEM 69.7%	DEM 57%	50/50	DEM Lean	50/50	REP 51%
California (CA), 39th Cisneros-D vs Kim-R	REP 65.1%	REP 67%	50/50	50/50	REP Lean	REP 52%
California (CA), 45th Porter-D vs Walters*-R	DEM 69.55%	DEM 59%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 52%
California (CA), 48th Rouda-D vs Rohrabacher*-R	DEM 63.3%	DEM 82%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
California (CA), 49th Levin-D vs Harkey-R	DEM 91.7%	DEM 81%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 50%
California (CA), 50th Campa-Najjar-D vs Hunter*-R	REP 89.4%	REP 59%	REP Likely	REP Lean	50/50
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Colorado (CO), 3rd Bush-D vs Tipton*-R	REP 60.8%			REP Likely
Colorado (CO), 6th Crow-D vs Coffman*-R	DEM 81.7%		DEM Lean	50/50	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Connecticut (CT), 5th Hayes-D vs Santos-R	DEM 97.8%			DEM Likely		DEM 60%
Florida (FL), 6th Soderberg-D vs Watlz-R	REP 73.2%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 65%
Florida (FL), 7th Murphy*-D vs Miller-R	DEM 94.3%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
Florida (FL), 15th Carlson-D vs Spano-R	REP 66.8%	REP 70%	REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 55%
Florida (FL), 16th Shapiro-D vs Buchanan*-R	REP 85.3%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 80%
Florida (FL), 18th Baer-D vs Mast*-R	REP 87.9%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Florida (FL), 25th Flores-D vs Diaz-Balart*-R	REP 72.0%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Florida (FL), 26th Mucarsel-Powell-D vs Curbelo*-R	REP 53.9%	REP 71%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50	REP 52%
Florida (FL), 27th Shalala-D vs Salazar-R	DEM 84.9%	DEM 71%		50/50	DEM Lean	REP 53%
Georgia (GA), 6th McBath-D vs Handel*-R	REP 86.5%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 60%
Georgia (GA), 7th Bourdeaux-D vs Woodall*-R	REP 69.0%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Likely	REP 55%
Illinois (IL), 6th Casten-D vs Roskam*-R	REP 68.5%	REP 57%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Illinois (IL), 12th Kelly-D vs Bost*-R	REP 58.1%	REP 53%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50	REP 52%
Illinois (IL), 13th Londrigan-D vs Davis*-R	REP 68.2%	REP 71%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean
Illinois (IL), 14th Underwood-D vs Hultgren*-R	REP 63.7%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Indiana (IN), 2nd Hall-D vs Walorski*-R	REP 94.0%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Indiana (IN), 9th Watson-D vs Hollingsworth*-R	REP 78.4%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Iowa (IA), 1st Finkenauer-D vs Blum*-R	DEM 97.2%	DEM 74%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 65%
Iowa (IA), 3rd Axne-D vs Young*-R	REP 51.3%	REP 61%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 50%
Iowa (IA), 4th Scholten-D vs King*-R	REP 88.5%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Kansas (KS), 2nd Davis-D vs Watkins-R	REP 51.3%	REP 58%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 60%
Kansas (KS), 3rd Davids-D vs Yoder*-R	DEM 50.2%	DEM 70%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 50%
Kansas (KS), 4th Thompson-D vs Estes-R	REP 89.6%			REP Likely
Kentucky (KT), 6th McGrath-D vs Barr*-R	REP 58.2%	REP 63%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
Maine (ME), 2nd Golden-D vs Poliquin*-R	REP 62.1%		50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
Michigan (MI), 1st Morgan-D vs Bergman*-R	REP 82.2%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Michigan (MI), 6th Longjohn-D vs Upton*-R	REP 86.5%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Lean
Michigan (MI), 7th Driskell-D vs Walberg*-R	REP 60.8%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Lean
Michigan (MI), 8th Slotkin-D vs Bishop*-R	DEM 59.7%	REP 60%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 55%
Michigan (MI), 11th Stevens-D vs Epstein-R	DEM 71.4%	DEM 67%	DEM Lean	50/50	50/50	DEM 65%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Minnesota (MN), 1st Feehan-D vs Hagedorn-R	REP 64.5%	REP 63%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 65%
Minnesota (MN), 2nd Craig-D vs Lewis*-R	DEM 73.9%	DEM 66%	DEM Lean	50/50	50/50	DEM 70%
Minnesota (MN), 3rd Phillips-D vs Paulsen*-R	DEM 84.4%	DEM 76%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Minnesota (MN), 7th Peterson*-D vs Hughes-R	DEM 88.9%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
Minnesota (MN), 8th Radinovich-D vs Stauber-R	REP 55.1%	REP 55%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50	REP 55%
Missouri (MO), 2nd VanOstran-D vs Wagner*-R	REP 87.9%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 80%
Montana (MT) – AL Williams-D vs Gianforte*-R	REP 76.6%		REP Likely	REP Likely	50/50	REP 80%
Nebraska (NE), 2nd Eastman-D vs Bacon*-R	REP 62.4%	REP 75%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
Nevada (NV), 3rd Lee-D vs Tarkanian-R	DEM 72.7%	DEM 79%	DEM Lean	DEM Likely	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Nevada (NV), 4th Horsford-D vs Hardy-R	DEM 87.6%	DEM 90%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
New Hampshire (NH), 1st Sullivan-D vs Sanborn-R	DEM 93.0%	DEM 82%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
New Jersey (NJ), 2nd Drew-D vs Grossman-R	DEM 97.5%	DEM 95%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely
New Jersey (NJ), 3rd Kim-D vs MacArthur*-R	DEM 66.8%	REP 65%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 53%
New Jersey (NJ), 4th Welle-D vs Smith-R	REP 93.8%			REP Likely
New Jersey (NJ), 5th Gottheimer*-D vs McCann-R	DEM 95.8%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
New Jersey (NJ), 7th Malinowski-D vs Lance*-R	DEM 60.1%	DEM 65%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 53%
New Jersey (NJ), 11th Sherrill-D vs Webber-R	DEM 76.6%	DEM 82%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 55%
New Mexico (NM), 2nd Small-D vs Herrell-R	REP 65.2%		REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 55%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
New York (NY), 1st Gershon-D vs Zeldin*-R	REP 87.1%	REP 78%	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Lean
New York (NY), 2nd Shirley-D vs King-R	REP 81.2%			REP Likely
New York (NY), 11th Rose-D vs Donovan*-R	REP 75.5%		REP Lean	REP Likely	REP Lean
New York (NY), 19th Delgado-D vs Faso*-R	DEM 51.9%	DEM 51%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 52%
New York (NY), 21st Cobb-D vs Stefanik-R	REP 93.8%
New York (NY), 22nd Brindisi-D vs Tenney*-R	DEM 67.2%	DEM 74%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 60%
New York (NY), 23rd -D vs -R	REP 96.3%			REP Likely
New York (NY), 24th Balter-D vs Katko*-R	REP 84.6%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
New York (NY), 27th McMurray-D vs Collins*-R	REP 93.4%		REP Likely	REP Lean	50/50	REP 53%
North Carolina (NC), 2nd Coleman-D vs Holding-R	REP 61.9%		REP Lean	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
North Carolina (NC), 8th McNeill-D vs Hudson*-R	REP 86.0%		REP Solid	REP Solid	REP Likely
North Carolina (NC), 9th McCready-D vs Harris-R	DEM 64.6%	DEM 56%	50/50	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	REP 55%
North Carolina (NC), 13th Manning-D vs Budd*-R	REP 50.2%	REP 64%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
Ohio (OH), 1st Pureval-D vs Chabot*-R	REP 54.4%	REP 64%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Ohio (OH), 7th Harbaugh-D vs Gibbs-R	REP 90.5%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Ohio (OH), 12th O’Connor-D vs Balderson*-R	REP 65.5%	REP 61%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50
Ohio (OH), 14th Rader-D vs Joyce*-R	REP 82.1%		REP Lean	REP Likely	REP Likely
Ohio (OH), 15th Neal-D vs Stivers-R	REP 97.6%			REP Likely
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Oklahoma (OK), 5th Horn-D vs Russell-R	REP 80.9%			REP Likely	REP Likely
Pennsylvania (PA), 1st Wallace-D vs Fitzpatrick*-R	REP 74.0%	REP 63%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 52%
Pennsylvania (PA), 6th Houlahan-D vs McCauley-R	DEM 98.7%	DEM 85%	DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
Pennsylvania (PA), 7th Wild-D vs Nothstein-R	DEM 94.0%		DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Pennsylvania (PA), 8th Cartwright*-D vs Chrin-R	DEM 88.2%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
Pennsylvania (PA), 10th Scott-D vs Perry*-R	REP 77.3%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	DEM 51%
Pennsylvania (PA), 16th DiNocola-D vs Kelly*-R	REP 95.7%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 50%
Pennsylvania (PA), 17th Lamb-D vs Rothfus*-R	DEM 89.5%	DEM 91%	DEM Lean	DEM Likely	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
South Carolina (SC), 1st Cunningham-D vs Arrington-R	REP 87.8%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 75%
Texas (TX), 2nd Litton-D vs Crenshaw-R	REP 91.1%			REP Likely
Texas (TX), 6th Sanchez-D vs Wright-R	REP 92.9%	REP 93%		REP Likely
Texas (TX), 7th Fletcher-D vs Culberson*-R	REP 52.2%	REP 51%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 60%
Texas (TX), 21st Kopser-D vs Roy-R	REP 80.3%	REP 86%	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Texas (TX), 22nd Kulkarni-D vs Olson-R	REP 86.1%			REP Likely
Texas (TX), 23rd Jones-D vs Hurd*-R	REP 51.8%	REP 69%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	DEM 50%
Texas (TX), 24th McDowell-D vs Marchant-R	REP 95.9%			REP Likely
Texas (TX), 31st Hegar-D vs Carter-R	REP 80.9%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Texas (TX), 32nd Allred-D vs Sessions*-R	REP 73.7%	REP 60%	REP Lean	50/50	50/50
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Utah (UT), 4th McAdams-D vs Love*-R	REP 82.7%		REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 85%
Virginia (VA), 2nd Luria-D vs Taylor*-R	REP 73.9%	REP 60%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
Virginia (VA), 5th Cockburn-D vs Riggleman-R	DEM 54.4%		REP Likely	REP Likely	50/50	DEM 50%
Virginia (VA), 7th Spanberger-D vs Brat*-R	REP 65.6%	REP 51%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Virginia (VA), 10th Wexton-D vs Comstock*-R	DEM 79.0%	DEM 82%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Washington (WA), 3rd Long-D vs Herrera Beutler*-R	REP 83.7%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 65%
Washington (WA), 5th Brown-D vs Rodgers*-R	REP 75.2%		REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 80%
Washington (WA), 8th Schrier-D vs Rossi-R	DEM 56.7%	DEM 60%	50/50	DEM Lean	50/50	DEM 50%
Wisconsin (WI), 1st Bryce-D vs Steil-R	REP 79.8%	REP 79%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 75%
Wisconsin (WI), 6th Kohl-D vs Grothman-R	REP 73.0%		REP Lean	REP Lean		REP 58%
West Virginia (WV), 3rd Ojeda-D vs Miller-R	REP 90.4%	REP 65%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 80%

as of September 29 / October 3, 2018:

State, District *incumbent	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability as of Oct 3
Alaska (AK), At Large Galvin-D vs Young-R	REP 72.2%			REP Likely
Arizona (AZ), 1st O’Halleran*-D vs Rogers-R	DEM 97.7%		DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
Arizona (AZ), 2nd Kirkpatrick-D vs Peterson-R	DEM 95.2%	DEM 82%	DEM Lean	50/50	DEM Lean	REP 53%
Arizona (AZ), 6th Malik-D vs Schweikert-R	REP 82.9%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Arizona (AZ), 8th Tipirneni-D vs Lesko*-R	REP 72.3%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Arkansas (AR), 2nd Tucker-D vs Hill*-R	REP 80.6%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 70%
California (CA), 4th Morse-D vs McClintock*-R	REP 85.0%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
California (CA), 7th Bera*-D vs Grant-R	DEM 98.9%		DEM Likely	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
California (CA), 10th Harder-D vs Denham*-R	DEM 68.5%	DEM 60%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
California (CA), 21st Cox-D vs Valadao*-R	REP 79.8%	REP 88%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean
California (CA), 22nd Janz-D vs Nunes*-R	REP 97.1%			REP Likely	REP Likely
California (CA), 24th Carbajal*-D vs Fareed-R	DEM 98.0%			DEM Likely	DEM Likely
California (CA), 25th Hill-D vs Knight*-R	DEM 69.7%	DEM 57%	50/50	DEM Lean	50/50	REP 51%
California (CA), 39th Cisneros-D vs Kim-R	REP 65.1%	REP 67%	50/50	50/50	REP Lean	REP 54%
California (CA), 45th Porter-D vs Walters*-R	DEM 69.55%	DEM 59%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 52%
California (CA), 48th Rouda-D vs Rohrabacher*-R	DEM 63.3%	DEM 82%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 51%
California (CA), 49th Levin-D vs Harkey-R	DEM 91.7%	DEM 81%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 50%
California (CA), 50th Campa-Najjar-D vs Hunter*-R	REP 89.4%	REP 59%	REP Likely	REP Lean	50/50
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Colorado (CO), 3rd Bush-D vs Tipton*-R	REP 60.8%			REP Likely
Colorado (CO), 6th Crow-D vs Coffman*-R	DEM 81.7%		DEM Lean	50/50	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Connecticut (CT), 5th Hayes-D vs Santos-R	DEM 97.8%			DEM Likely
Florida (FL), 6th Soderberg-D vs Watlz-R	REP 73.2%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Florida (FL), 7th Murphy*-D vs Miller-R	DEM 94.3%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
Florida (FL), 15th Carlson-D vs Spano-R	REP 66.8%	REP 70%	REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 55%
Florida (FL), 16th Shapiro-D vs Buchanan*-R	REP 85.3%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 80%
Florida (FL), 18th Baer-D vs Mast*-R	REP 87.9%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Florida (FL), 25th Flores-D vs Diaz-Balart*-R	REP 72.0%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Florida (FL), 26th Mucarsel-Powell-D vs Curbelo*-R	REP 53.9%	REP 71%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50	REP 52%
Florida (FL), 27th Shalala-D vs Salazar-R	DEM 84.9%	DEM 71%		50/50	DEM Lean	REP 53%
Georgia (GA), 6th McBath-D vs Handel*-R	REP 86.5%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 60%
Georgia (GA), 7th Bourdeaux-D vs Woodall*-R	REP 69.0%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Likely
Illinois (IL), 6th Casten-D vs Roskam*-R	REP 68.5%	REP 57%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Illinois (IL), 12th Kelly-D vs Bost*-R	REP 58.1%	REP 53%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50	REP 52%
Illinois (IL), 13th Londrigan-D vs Davis*-R	REP 68.2%	REP 71%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean
Illinois (IL), 14th Underwood-D vs Hultgren*-R	REP 63.7%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Indiana (IN), 2nd Hall-D vs Walorski*-R	REP 94.0%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Indiana (IN), 9th Watson-D vs Hollingsworth*-R	REP 78.4%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Iowa (IA), 1st Finkenauer-D vs Blum*-R	DEM 97.2%	DEM 74%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 65%
Iowa (IA), 3rd Axne-D vs Young*-R	REP 51.3%	REP 61%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 50%
Iowa (IA), 4th Scholten-D vs King*-R	REP 88.5%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Kansas (KS), 2nd Davis-D vs Watkins-R	REP 51.3%	REP 58%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 51%
Kansas (KS), 3rd Davids-D vs Yoder*-R	DEM 50.2%	DEM 70%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 50%
Kansas (KS), 4th Thompson-D vs Estes-R	REP 89.6%			REP Likely
Kentucky (KT), 6th McGrath-D vs Barr*-R	REP 58.2%	REP 63%	50/50	50/50	50/50
Maine (ME), 2nd Golden-D vs Poliquin*-R	REP 62.1%		50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
Michigan (MI), 1st Morgan-D vs Bergman*-R	REP 82.2%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Michigan (MI), 6th Longjohn-D vs Upton*-R	REP 86.5%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Lean
Michigan (MI), 7th Driskell-D vs Walberg*-R	REP 60.8%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Lean
Michigan (MI), 8th Slotkin-D vs Bishop*-R	DEM 59.7%	REP 60%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 55%
Michigan (MI), 11th Stevens-D vs Epstein-R	DEM 71.4%	DEM 67%	DEM Lean	50/50	50/50	DEM 65%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Minnesota (MN), 1st Feehan-D vs Hagedorn-R	REP 64.5%	REP 63%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 65%
Minnesota (MN), 2nd Craig-D vs Lewis*-R	DEM 73.9%	DEM 66%	DEM Lean	50/50	50/50	DEM 70%
Minnesota (MN), 3rd Phillips-D vs Paulsen*-R	DEM 84.4%	DEM 76%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Minnesota (MN), 7th Peterson*-D vs Hughes-R	DEM 88.9%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
Minnesota (MN), 8th Radinovich-D vs Stauber-R	REP 55.1%	REP 55%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50	REP 55%
Missouri (MO), 2nd VanOstran-D vs Wagner*-R	REP 87.9%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 80%
Montana (MT) – AL Williams-D vs Gianforte*-R	REP 76.6%		REP Likely	REP Likely	50/50	REP 80%
Nebraska (NE), 2nd Eastman-D vs Bacon*-R	REP 62.4%	REP 75%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
Nevada (NV), 3rd Lee-D vs Tarkanian-R	DEM 72.7%	DEM 79%	DEM Lean	DEM Likely	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Nevada (NV), 4th Horsford-D vs Hardy-R	DEM 87.6%	DEM 90%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
New Hampshire (NH), 1st Sullivan-D vs Sanborn-R	DEM 93.0%	DEM 82%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
New Jersey (NJ), 2nd Drew-D vs Grossman-R	DEM 97.5%	DEM 95%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely
New Jersey (NJ), 3rd Kim-D vs MacArthur*-R	DEM 66.8%	REP 65%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 53%
New Jersey (NJ), 4th Welle-D vs Smith-R	REP 93.8%			REP Likely
New Jersey (NJ), 5th Gottheimer*-D vs McCann-R	DEM 95.8%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
New Jersey (NJ), 7th Malinowski-D vs Lance*-R	DEM 60.1%	DEM 65%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 53%
New Jersey (NJ), 11th Sherrill-D vs Webber-R	DEM 76.6%	DEM 82%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 55%
New Mexico (NM), 2nd Small-D vs Herrell-R	REP 65.2%		REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 55%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
New York (NY), 1st Gershon-D vs Zeldin*-R	REP 87.1%	REP 78%	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Lean
New York (NY), 2nd Shirley-D vs King-R	REP 81.2%			REP Likely
New York (NY), 11th Rose-D vs Donovan*-R	REP 75.5%		REP Lean	REP Likely	REP Lean
New York (NY), 19th Delgado-D vs Faso*-R	DEM 51.9%	DEM 51%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 52%
New York (NY), 21st Cobb-D vs Stefanik-R	REP 93.8%
New York (NY), 22nd Brindisi-D vs Tenney*-R	DEM 67.2%	DEM 74%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 60%
New York (NY), 23rd -D vs -R	REP 96.3%			REP Likely
New York (NY), 24th Balter-D vs Katko*-R	REP 84.6%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
New York (NY), 27th McMurray-D vs Collins*-R	REP 93.4%		REP Likely	REP Lean	50/50	REP 53%
North Carolina (NC), 2nd Coleman-D vs Holding-R	REP 61.9%		REP Lean	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
North Carolina (NC), 8th McNeill-D vs Hudson*-R	REP 86.0%		REP Solid	REP Solid	REP Likely
North Carolina (NC), 9th McCready-D vs Harris-R	DEM 64.6%	DEM 56%	50/50	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
North Carolina (NC), 13th Manning-D vs Budd*-R	REP 50.2%	REP 64%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
Ohio (OH), 1st Pureval-D vs Chabot*-R	REP 54.4%	REP 64%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Ohio (OH), 7th Harbaugh-D vs Gibbs-R	REP 90.5%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Ohio (OH), 12th O’Connor-D vs Balderson*-R	REP 65.5%	REP 61%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50
Ohio (OH), 14th Rader-D vs Joyce*-R	REP 82.1%		REP Lean	REP Likely	REP Likely
Ohio (OH), 15th Neal-D vs Stivers-R	REP 97.6%			REP Likely
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Oklahoma (OK), 5th Horn-D vs Russell-R	REP 80.9%			REP Likely	REP Likely
Pennsylvania (PA), 1st Wallace-D vs Fitzpatrick*-R	REP 74.0%	REP 63%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 52%
Pennsylvania (PA), 6th Houlahan-D vs McCauley-R	DEM 98.7%	DEM 85%	DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
Pennsylvania (PA), 7th Wild-D vs Nothstein-R	DEM 94.0%		DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Pennsylvania (PA), 8th Cartwright*-D vs Chrin-R	DEM 88.2%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
Pennsylvania (PA), 10th Scott-D vs Perry*-R	REP 77.3%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
Pennsylvania (PA), 16th DiNocola-D vs Kelly*-R	REP 95.7%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP 50%
Pennsylvania (PA), 17th Lamb-D vs Rothfus*-R	DEM 89.5%	DEM 91%	DEM Lean	DEM Likely	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
South Carolina (SC), 1st Cunningham-D vs Arrington-R	REP 87.8%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Texas (TX), 2nd Litton-D vs Crenshaw-R	REP 91.1%			REP Likely
Texas (TX), 6th Sanchez-D vs Wright-R	REP 92.9%	REP 93%		REP Likely
Texas (TX), 7th Fletcher-D vs Culberson*-R	REP 52.2%	REP 51%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 60%
Texas (TX), 21st Kopser-D vs Roy-R	REP 80.3%	REP 86%	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Texas (TX), 22nd Kulkarni-D vs Olson-R	REP 86.1%			REP Likely
Texas (TX), 23rd Jones-D vs Hurd*-R	REP 51.8%	REP 69%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	DEM 50%
Texas (TX), 24th McDowell-D vs Marchant-R	REP 95.9%			REP Likely
Texas (TX), 31st Hegar-D vs Carter-R	REP 80.9%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Texas (TX), 32nd Allred-D vs Sessions*-R	REP 73.7%	REP 60%	REP Lean	50/50	50/50
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Utah (UT), 4th McAdams-D vs Love*-R	REP 82.7%		REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 85%
Virginia (VA), 2nd Luria-D vs Taylor*-R	REP 73.9%	REP 60%	50/50	50/50	50/50
Virginia (VA), 5th Cockburn-D vs Riggleman-R	DEM 54.4%		REP Likely	REP Likely	50/50	DEM 50%
Virginia (VA), 7th Spanberger-D vs Brat*-R	REP 65.6%	REP 51%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Virginia (VA), 10th Wexton-D vs Comstock*-R	DEM 79.0%	DEM 82%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Washington (WA), 3rd Long-D vs Herrera Beutler*-R	REP 83.7%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 65%
Washington (WA), 5th Brown-D vs Rodgers*-R	REP 75.2%		REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 80%
Washington (WA), 8th Schrier-D vs Rossi-R	DEM 56.7%	DEM 60%	50/50	DEM Lean	50/50	DEM 50%
Wisconsin (WI), 1st Bryce-D vs Steil-R	REP 79.8%	REP 79%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 60%
Wisconsin (WI), 6th Kohl-D vs Grothman-R	REP 73.0%		REP Lean	REP Lean
West Virginia (WV), 3rd Ojeda-D vs Miller-R	REP 90.4%	REP 65%	50/50	50/50	50/50

as of September 29, 2018:

State, District *incumbent	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability as of Sep 30
Alaska (AK), At Large Galvin-D vs Young-R	REP 72.2%			REP Likely
Arizona (AZ), 1st O’Halleran*-D vs Rogers-R	DEM 97.7%		DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
Arizona (AZ), 2nd Kirkpatrick-D vs Peterson-R	DEM 95.2%	DEM 82%	DEM Lean	50/50	DEM Lean	REP 53%
Arizona (AZ), 6th Malik-D vs Schweikert-R	REP 82.9%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Arizona (AZ), 8th Tipirneni-D vs Lesko*-R	REP 72.3%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Arkansas (AR), 2nd Tucker-D vs Hill*-R	REP 80.6%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
California (CA), 4th Morse-D vs McClintock*-R	REP 85.0%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
California (CA), 7th Bera*-D vs Grant-R	DEM 98.9%		DEM Likely	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
California (CA), 10th Harder-D vs Denham*-R	DEM 68.5%	DEM 60%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
California (CA), 21st Cox-D vs Valadao*-R	REP 79.8%	REP 88%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean
California (CA), 22nd Janz-D vs Nunes*-R	REP 97.1%			REP Likely	REP Likely
California (CA), 24th Carbajal*-D vs Fareed-R	DEM 98.0%			DEM Likely	DEM Likely
California (CA), 25th Hill-D vs Knight*-R	DEM 69.7%	DEM 57%	50/50	DEM Lean	50/50	REP 51%
California (CA), 39th Cisneros-D vs Kim-R	REP 65.1%	REP 67%	50/50	50/50	REP Lean	REP 54%
California (CA), 45th Porter-D vs Walters*-R	DEM 69.55%	DEM 59%	50/50	50/50	50/50
California (CA), 48th Rouda-D vs Rohrabacher*-R	DEM 63.3%	DEM 82%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 51%
California (CA), 49th Levin-D vs Harkey-R	DEM 91.7%	DEM 81%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 50%
California (CA), 50th Campa-Najjar-D vs Hunter*-R	REP 89.4%	REP 59%	REP Likely	REP Lean	50/50
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Colorado (CO), 3rd Bush-D vs Tipton*-R	REP 60.8%			REP Likely
Colorado (CO), 6th Crow-D vs Coffman*-R	DEM 81.7%		DEM Lean	50/50	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Connecticut (CT), 5th Hayes-D vs Santos-R	DEM 97.8%			DEM Likely
Florida (FL), 6th Soderberg-D vs Watlz-R	REP 73.2%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Florida (FL), 7th Murphy*-D vs Miller-R	DEM 94.3%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
Florida (FL), 15th Carlson-D vs Spano-R	REP 66.8%	REP 70%	REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 55%
Florida (FL), 16th Shapiro-D vs Buchanan*-R	REP 85.3%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 80%
Florida (FL), 18th Baer-D vs Mast*-R	REP 87.9%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Florida (FL), 25th Flores-D vs Diaz-Balart*-R	REP 72.0%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Florida (FL), 26th Mucarsel-Powell-D vs Curbelo*-R	REP 53.9%	REP 71%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50	REP 52%
Florida (FL), 27th Shalala-D vs Salazar-R	DEM 84.9%	DEM 71%		50/50	DEM Lean
Georgia (GA), 6th McBath-D vs Handel*-R	REP 86.5%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 60%
Georgia (GA), 7th Bourdeaux-D vs Woodall*-R	REP 69.0%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Likely
Illinois (IL), 6th Casten-D vs Roskam*-R	REP 68.5%	REP 57%	50/50	50/50	50/50
Illinois (IL), 12th Kelly-D vs Bost*-R	REP 58.1%	REP 53%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50
Illinois (IL), 13th Londrigan-D vs Davis*-R	REP 68.2%	REP 71%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean
Illinois (IL), 14th Underwood-D vs Hultgren*-R	REP 63.7%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Indiana (IN), 2nd Hall-D vs Walorski*-R	REP 94.0%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Indiana (IN), 9th Watson-D vs Hollingsworth*-R	REP 78.4%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Iowa (IA), 1st Finkenauer-D vs Blum*-R	DEM 97.2%	DEM 74%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 65%
Iowa (IA), 3rd Axne-D vs Young*-R	REP 51.3%	REP 61%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 50%
Iowa (IA), 4th Scholten-D vs King*-R	REP 88.5%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Kansas (KS), 2nd Davis-D vs Watkins-R	REP 51.3%	REP 58%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 51%
Kansas (KS), 3rd Davids-D vs Yoder*-R	DEM 50.2%	DEM 70%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 50%
Kansas (KS), 4th Thompson-D vs Estes-R	REP 89.6%			REP Likely
Kentucky (KT), 6th McGrath-D vs Barr*-R	REP 58.2%	REP 63%	50/50	50/50	50/50
Maine (ME), 2nd Golden-D vs Poliquin*-R	REP 62.1%		50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
Michigan (MI), 1st Morgan-D vs Bergman*-R	REP 82.2%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Michigan (MI), 6th Longjohn-D vs Upton*-R	REP 86.5%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Lean
Michigan (MI), 7th Driskell-D vs Walberg*-R	REP 60.8%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Lean
Michigan (MI), 8th Slotkin-D vs Bishop*-R	DEM 59.7%	REP 60%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 55%
Michigan (MI), 11th Stevens-D vs Epstein-R	DEM 71.4%	DEM 67%	DEM Lean	50/50	50/50	DEM 65%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Minnesota (MN), 1st Feehan-D vs Hagedorn-R	REP 64.5%	REP 63%	50/50	50/50	50/50
Minnesota (MN), 2nd Craig-D vs Lewis*-R	DEM 73.9%	DEM 66%	DEM Lean	50/50	50/50	DEM 70%
Minnesota (MN), 3rd Phillips-D vs Paulsen*-R	DEM 84.4%	DEM 76%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 60%
Minnesota (MN), 7th Peterson*-D vs Hughes-R	DEM 88.9%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
Minnesota (MN), 8th Radinovich-D vs Stauber-R	REP 55.1%	REP 55%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50	REP 58%
Missouri (MO), 2nd VanOstran-D vs Wagner*-R	REP 87.9%		REP Likely	REP Likely		REP 80%
Montana (MT) – AL Williams-D vs Gianforte*-R	REP 76.6%		REP Likely	REP Likely	50/50	REP 75%
Nebraska (NE), 2nd Eastman-D vs Bacon*-R	REP 62.4%	REP 75%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
Nevada (NV), 3rd Lee-D vs Tarkanian-R	DEM 72.7%	DEM 79%	DEM Lean	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
Nevada (NV), 4th Horsford-D vs Hardy-R	DEM 87.6%	DEM 90%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
New Hampshire (NH), 1st Sullivan-D vs Sanborn-R	DEM 93.0%	DEM 82%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
New Jersey (NJ), 2nd Drew-D vs Grossman-R	DEM 97.5%	DEM 95%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely
New Jersey (NJ), 3rd Kim-D vs MacArthur*-R	DEM 66.8%	REP 65%	50/50	50/50	50/50
New Jersey (NJ), 4th Welle-D vs Smith-R	REP 93.8%			REP Likely
New Jersey (NJ), 5th Gottheimer*-D vs McCann-R	DEM 95.8%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
New Jersey (NJ), 7th Malinowski-D vs Lance*-R	DEM 60.1%	DEM 65%	50/50	50/50	50/50
New Jersey (NJ), 11th Sherrill-D vs Webber-R	DEM 76.6%	DEM 82%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
New Mexico (NM), 2nd Small-D vs Herrell-R	REP 65.2%		REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 55%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
New York (NY), 1st Gershon-D vs Zeldin*-R	REP 87.1%	REP 78%	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Lean
New York (NY), 2nd Shirley-D vs King-R	REP 81.2%			REP Likely
New York (NY), 11th Rose-D vs Donovan*-R	REP 75.5%		REP Lean	REP Likely	REP Lean
New York (NY), 19th Delgado-D vs Faso*-R	DEM 51.9%	DEM 51%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 52%
New York (NY), 21st Cobb-D vs Stefanik-R	REP 93.8%
New York (NY), 22nd Brindisi-D vs Tenney*-R	DEM 67.2%	DEM 74%	50/50	50/50	50/50
New York (NY), 23rd -D vs -R	REP 96.3%			REP Likely
New York (NY), 24th Balter-D vs Katko*-R	REP 84.6%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
New York (NY), 27th McMurray-D vs Collins*-R	REP 93.4%		REP Likely	REP Lean	50/50	REP 53%
North Carolina (NC), 2nd Coleman-D vs Holding-R	REP 61.9%		REP Lean	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
North Carolina (NC), 8th McNeill-D vs Hudson*-R	REP 86.0%		REP Solid	REP Solid	REP Likely
North Carolina (NC), 9th McCready-D vs Harris-R	DEM 64.6%	DEM 56%	50/50	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
North Carolina (NC), 13th Manning-D vs Budd*-R	REP 50.2%	REP 64%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
Ohio (OH), 1st Pureval-D vs Chabot*-R	REP 54.4%	REP 64%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Ohio (OH), 7th Harbaugh-D vs Gibbs-R	REP 90.5%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Ohio (OH), 12th O’Connor-D vs Balderson*-R	REP 65.5%	REP 61%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50
Ohio (OH), 14th Rader-D vs Joyce*-R	REP 82.1%		REP Lean	REP Likely	REP Likely
Ohio (OH), 15th Neal-D vs Stivers-R	REP 97.6%			REP Likely
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Oklahoma (OK), 5th Horn-D vs Russell-R	REP 80.9%			REP Likely	REP Likely
Pennsylvania (PA), 1st Wallace-D vs Fitzpatrick*-R	REP 74.0%	REP 63%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 52%
Pennsylvania (PA), 6th Houlahan-D vs McCauley-R	DEM 98.7%	DEM 85%	DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
Pennsylvania (PA), 7th Wild-D vs Nothstein-R	DEM 94.0%		DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
Pennsylvania (PA), 8th Cartwright*-D vs Chrin-R	DEM 88.2%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
Pennsylvania (PA), 10th Scott-D vs Perry*-R	REP 77.3%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
Pennsylvania (PA), 16th DiNocola-D vs Kelly*-R	REP 95.7%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Pennsylvania (PA), 17th Lamb-D vs Rothfus*-R	DEM 89.5%	DEM 91%	DEM Lean	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
South Carolina (SC), 1st Cunningham-D vs Arrington-R	REP 87.8%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Texas (TX), 2nd Litton-D vs Crenshaw-R	REP 91.1%			REP Likely
Texas (TX), 6th Sanchez-D vs Wright-R	REP 92.9%	REP 93%		REP Likely
Texas (TX), 7th Fletcher-D vs Culberson*-R	REP 52.2%	REP 51%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 60%
Texas (TX), 21st Kopser-D vs Roy-R	REP 80.3%	REP 86%	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Texas (TX), 22nd Kulkarni-D vs Olson-R	REP 86.1%			REP Likely
Texas (TX), 23rd Jones-D vs Hurd*-R	REP 51.8%	REP 69%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	DEM 50%
Texas (TX), 24th McDowell-D vs Marchant-R	REP 95.9%			REP Likely
Texas (TX), 31st Hegar-D vs Carter-R	REP 80.9%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Texas (TX), 32nd Allred-D vs Sessions*-R	REP 73.7%	REP 60%	REP Lean	50/50	50/50
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Utah (UT), 4th McAdams-D vs Love*-R	REP 82.7%		REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 85%
Virginia (VA), 2nd Luria-D vs Taylor*-R	REP 73.9%	REP 60%	50/50	50/50	50/50
Virginia (VA), 5th Cockburn-D vs Riggleman-R	DEM 54.4%		REP Likely	REP Likely	50/50	DEM 50%
Virginia (VA), 7th Spanberger-D vs Brat*-R	REP 65.6%	REP 51%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Virginia (VA), 10th Wexton-D vs Comstock*-R	DEM 79.0%	DEM 82%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
Washington (WA), 3rd Long-D vs Herrera Beutler*-R	REP 83.7%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 65%
Washington (WA), 5th Brown-D vs Rodgers*-R	REP 75.2%		REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50
Washington (WA), 8th Schrier-D vs Rossi-R	DEM 56.7%	DEM 60%	50/50	DEM Lean	50/50	DEM 50%
Wisconsin (WI), 1st Bryce-D vs Steil-R	REP 79.8%	REP 79%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 60%
Wisconsin (WI), 6th Kohl-D vs Grothman-R	REP 73.0%		REP Lean	REP Lean
West Virginia (WV), 3rd Ojeda-D vs Miller-R	REP 90.4%	REP 65%	50/50	50/50	50/50

as of September 22 (28), 2018:

State, District *incumbent	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability as of Sep 28
Alaska, At Large Galvin-D vs Young-R	REP 72.1%			REP Likely
Arizona, 1st O’Halleran*-D vs Rogers-R	DEM 98.0%		DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
Arizona, 2nd Kirkpatrick-D vs Peterson-R	DEM 93.2%	DEM 85%	DEM Lean	50/50	DEM Lean	REP 53%
Arizona, 6th Malik-D vs Schweikert-R	REP 81.7%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Arizona, 8th Tipirneni-D vs Lesko*-R	REP 85.3%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Arizona, 9th Stanton-D vs Ferrara-R	DEM 99.3%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
Arkansas, 2nd Tucker-D vs Hill*-R	REP 79.8%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
California, 4th Morse-D vs McClintock*-R	REP 84.4%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
California, 7th Bera*-D vs Grant-R	DEM 99.0%		DEM Likely	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
California, 10th Harder-D vs Denham*-R	DEM 69.1%	DEM 58%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
California, 16th Costa*-D vs Heng-R	DEM 98.1%		DEM	DEM Likely
California, 21st Cox-D vs Valadao*-R	REP 63.1%	REP 76%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean
California, 22nd Janz-D vs Nunes*-R	REP 94.5%			REP Likely	REP Likely
California, 24th Carbajal*-D vs Fareed-R	DEM 97.8%			DEM Likely	DEM Likely
California, 25th Hill-D vs Knight*-R	DEM 69.7%	DEM 63%	50/50	DEM Lean	50/50	REP 51%
California, 39th Cisneros-D vs Kim-R	REP 64.3%	DEM 59%	50/50	50/50	REP Lean	REP 54%
California, 45th Porter-D vs Walters*-R	DEM 64.5%	DEM 70%	50/50	50/50	50/50
California, 48th Rouda-D vs Rohrabacher*-R	DEM 64.5%	DEM 71%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 51%
California, 49th Levin-D vs Harkey-R	DEM 90.6%	DEM 84%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 50%
California, 50th Campa-Najjar-D vs Hunter*-R	REP 83.0%	REP 59%	REP Likely	REP Lean	50/50
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Colorado, 3rd Bush-D vs Tipton*-R	REP 59.9%			REP Likely
Colorado, 6th Crow-D vs Coffman*-R	DEM 82.0%		50/50	50/50	DEM Lean
Connecticut, 5th Hayes-D vs Santos-R	DEM 97.7%			DEM Likely
Florida, 6th Soderberg-D vs Watlz-R	REP 72.7%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Florida, 7th Murphy*-D vs Miller-R	DEM 94.1%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
Florida, 13th Crist*-D vs Buck-R	DEM 99.8%		DEM	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
Florida, 15th Carlson-D vs Spano-R	REP 66.2%	REP 69%	REP Likely	REP Likely
Florida, 16th Shapiro-D vs Buchanan*-R	REP 84.6%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 80%
Florida, 18th Baer-D vs Mast*-R	REP 86.9%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Florida, 25th Flores-D vs Diaz-Balart*-R	REP 70.6%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Florida, 26th Mucarsel-Powell-D vs Curbelo*-R	REP 52.4%	REP 62%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50	REP 52%
Florida, 27th Shalala-D vs Salazar-R	DEM 85.2%	DEM 88%	DEM Lean	50/50	DEM Lean
Georgia, 6th McBath-D vs Handel*-R	REP 93.0%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 60%
Georgia, 7th Bourdeaux-D vs Woodall*-R	REP 67.3%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Likely
Illinois, 6th Casten-D vs Roskam*-R	REP 67.3%	REP 53%	REP Lean	50/50	50/50
Illinois, 12th Kelly-D vs Bost*-R	REP 56.6%	DEM 51%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50
Illinois, 13th Londrigan-D vs Davis*-R	REP 66.9%	REP 65%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean
Illinois, 14th Underwood-D vs Hultgren*-R	REP 62.5%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
Illinois, 17th Bustos-D vs Fawell-R	DEM 99.9%			DEM Likely
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Indiana, 2nd Hall-D vs Walorski*-R	REP 93.4%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Indiana, 9th Watson-D vs Hollingsworth*-R	REP 77.1%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Iowa, 1st Finkenauer-D vs Blum*-R	DEM 97.2%	DEM 74%	50/50	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 65%
Iowa, 2nd Loebsack*-D vs Peters-R	DEM 98.4%		DEM	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
Iowa, 3rd Axne-D vs Young*-R	REP 54.1%	DEM 59%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
Iowa, 4th Scholten-D vs King*-R	REP 88.1%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Kansas, 2nd Davis-D vs Watkins-R	DEM 50.3%		50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 51%
Kansas, 3rd Davids-D vs Yoder*-R	REP 50.3%		50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 50%
Kansas, 4th Thompson-D vs Estes-R	REP 81.3%			REP Likely
Kentucky, 6th McGrath-D vs Barr*-R	REP 60.5%		50/50	50/50	50/50
Maine, 2nd Golden-D vs Poliquin*-R	REP 60.6%		50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
Maryland, 6th Trone-D vs Hoeber-R	DEM 99.4%			DEM Likely
Massachusetts, 9th Keating-D vs Tedeschi-R	DEM 99.5%			DEM Likely
Michigan, 1st Morgan-D vs Bergman*-R	REP 81.6%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Michigan, 5th Kildee-D vs Wines-R	DEM 99.9%			DEM Likely
Michigan, 6th Longjohn-D vs Upton*-R	REP 85.8%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Lean
Michigan, 7th Driskell-D vs Walberg*-R	REP 60.7%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Lean
Michigan, 8th Slotkin-D vs Bishop*-R	REP 54.3%	REP 63%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 55%
Michigan, 11th Stevens-D vs Epstein-R	DEM 71.1%	DEM 66%	DEM Lean	50/50	50/50	DEM 65%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Minnesota, 1st Feehan-D vs Hagedorn-R	REP 63.7%	DEM 48%	50/50	50/50	50/50
Minnesota, 2nd Craig-D vs Lewis*-R	DEM 75.8%		50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 70%
Minnesota, 3rd Phillips-D vs Paulsen*-R	DEM 85.0%	DEM 73%	50/50	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
Minnesota, 7th Peterson*-D vs Hughes-R	DEM 89.4%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
Minnesota, 8th Radinovich-D vs Stauber-R	REP 53.8%	REP 54%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50	REP 58%
Missouri, 2nd -D vs -R						REP 80%
Montana – AL Williams-D vs Gianforte*-R	REP 72.9%		REP Likely	REP Likely	50/50	REP 75%
Nebraska, 2nd Eastman-D vs Bacon*-R	DEM 60.1%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
Nevada, 3rd Lee-D vs Tarkanian-R	DEM 73.0%	DEM 85%	DEM Lean	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
Nevada, 4th Horsford-D vs Hardy-R	DEM 87.1%	DEM 79%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
New Hampshire, 1st Sullivan-D vs Sanborn-R	DEM 84.1%	DEM 77%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
New Hampshire, 2nd Kuster-D vs Levenson-R	DEM 98.9%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
New Jersey, 2nd Drew-D vs Grossman-R	DEM 97.3%	DEM 94%	DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
New Jersey, 3rd Kim-D vs MacArthur*-R	REP 55.7%	REP 53%	50/50	50/50	50/50
New Jersey, 4th Welle-D vs Smith-R	REP 93.7%			REP Likely
New Jersey, 5th Gottheimer*-D vs McCann-R	DEM 95.7%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
New Jersey, 7th Malinowski-D vs Lance*-R	DEM 60.8%	DEM 68%	50/50	50/50	50/50
New Jersey, 11th Sherrill-D vs Webber-R	DEM 76.4%	DEM 80%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
New Mexico, 2nd Small-D vs Herrell-R	REP 65.1%		REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 55%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
New York, 1st Gershon-D vs Zeldin*-R	REP 87.2%	REP 83%	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Lean
New York, 2nd Shirley-D vs King-R	REP 80.8%			REP Likely
New York, 3rd Suozzi*-D vs DeBono-R	DEM 99.4%		DEM Solid	DEM	DEM Likely
New York, 11th Rose-D vs Donovan*-R	REP 74.9%		REP Lean	REP Likely	REP Lean
New York, 18th Maloney*-D vs O’Donnell-R	DEM 98.9%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
New York, 19th Delgado-D vs Faso*-R	DEM 52.7%	DEM 62%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 52%
New York, 21st Cobb-D vs Stefanik-R	REP 93.6%			REP Likely
New York, 22nd Brindisi-D vs Tenney*-R	DEM 67.9%	DEM 74%	50/50	50/50	50/50
New York, 23rd -D vs -R	REP 96.0%			REP Likely
New York, 24th Balter-D vs Katko*-R	REP 83.9%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
New York, 27th McMurray-D vs Collins*-R	REP 80.5%		REP	REP Lean	50/50
North Carolina, 2nd Coleman-D vs Holding-R	REP 66.6%		REP Likely	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
North Carolina, 8th McNeill-D vs Hudson*-R	REP 85.3%		REP Solid	REP Solid	REP Likely
North Carolina, 9th McCready-D vs Harris-R	DEM 64.8%	DEM 72%	50/50	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
North Carolina, 13th Manning-D vs Budd*-R	REP 50.1%	REP 58%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
Ohio, 1st Pureval-D vs Chabot*-R	DEM 57.9%	REP 60%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Ohio, 7th Harbaugh-D vs Gibbs-R	REP 89.6%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Ohio, 12th O’Connor-D vs Balderson*-R	REP 67.5%	REP 63%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50
Ohio, 14th Rader-D vs Joyce*-R	REP 81.5%		REP Lean	REP Likely	REP Likely
Ohio, 15th Neal-D vs Stivers-R	REP 97.5%			REP Likely
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Oklahoma, 5th Horn-D vs Russell-R	REP 80.2%			REP Likely	REP Likely
Oregon, 2nd McLeod-Skinner-D vs Walden-R	REP 99.8%			REP Likely
Oregon, 5th Schrader-D vs Callahan-R	DEM 99.8%			DEM	DEM Likely
Pennsylvania, 1st Wallace-D vs Fitzpatrick*-R	REP 74.0%	REP 55%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 52%
Pennsylvania, 5th Scanlon-D vs Kim-R	DEM 99.9%		DEM Likely	DEM	DEM Likely
Pennsylvania, 6th Houlahan-D vs McCauley-R	DEM 98.8%	DEM 94%	DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
Pennsylvania, 7th Wild-D vs Nothstein-R	DEM 93.3%		DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
Pennsylvania, 8th Cartwright*-D vs Chrin-R	DEM 88.0%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
Pennsylvania, 10th Scott-D vs Perry*-R	REP 75.8%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
Pennsylvania, 14th Boerio*-D vs Reschenthaler-R	REP 98.7%		REP	REP	REP Likely
Pennsylvania, 16th DiNocola-D vs Kelly*-R	REP 97.2%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Pennsylvania, 17th Lamb-D vs Rothfus*-R	DEM 98.2%	DEM 86%	DEM Lean	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
South Carolina, 1st Cunningham-D vs Arrington-R	REP 87.0%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Texas, 2nd Litton-D vs Crenshaw-R	REP 90.4%			REP Likely
Texas, 3rd Burch-D vs Taylor-R	REP 99.1%			REP Likely
Texas, 6th Sanchez-D vs Wright-R	REP 92.4%			REP Likely
Texas, 7th Fletcher-D vs Culberson*-R	REP 53.4%	REP 58%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 60%
Texas, 21st Kopser-D vs Roy-R	REP 79.3%	REP 80%	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Texas, 22nd Kulkarni-D vs Olson-R	REP 85.0%			REP Likely
Texas, 23rd Jones-D vs Hurd-R	DEM 50.1%	DEM 65%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	DEM 50%
Texas, 24th McDowell-D vs Marchant-R	REP 95.4%			REP Likely
Texas, 31st Hegar-D vs Carter-R	REP 79.4%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Texas, 32nd Allred-D vs Sessions-R	REP 82.5%	REP 53%	REP Lean	50/50	50/50
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Utah, 4th McAdams-D vs Love*-R	REP 80.5%		REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 85%
Virginia, 2nd Luria-D vs Taylor*-R	REP 63.6%	REP 58%	50/50	50/50	50/50
Virginia, 5th Cockburn-D vs Riggleman-R	DEM 54.4%		REP Likely	REP Likely	50/50	DEM 50%
Virginia, 7th Spanberger-D vs Brat*-R	REP 68.5%	REP 60%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Virginia, 10th Wexton-D vs Comstock*-R	DEM 78.5%	DEM 86%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
Washington, 3rd Long-D vs Herrera Beutler*-R	REP 83.2%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean
Washington, 5th Brown-D vs Rodgers*-R	REP 74.4%		REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50
Washington, 8th Schrier-D vs Rossi-R	DEM 55.1%	DEM 58%	50/50	DEM Lean	50/50	DEM 50%
Wisconsin, 1st Bryce-D vs Steil-R	REP 78.8%	REP 64%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 60%
Wisconsin, 3rd -D vs -R	DEM 99.6%				DEM Likely
Wisconsin, 6th Kohl-D vs Grothman-R	REP 72.2%		REP Lean	REP Lean
Wisconsin, 8th Liegeois-D vs Gallagher-R	REP 99.3%			REP Likely
West Virginia, 3rd Ojeda-D vs Miller-R	REP 89.9%	REP 72%	50/50	50/50	50/50

as of September 22 (25), 2018:

State, District *incumbent	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability as of Sep 25
Alaska, At Large Galvin-D vs Young-R	REP 72.1%			REP Likely
Arizona, 1st O’Halleran*-D vs Rogers-R	DEM 98.0%		DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
Arizona, 2nd Kirkpatrick-D vs Peterson-R	DEM 93.2%	DEM 85%	DEM Lean	50/50	DEM Lean	REP 53%
Arizona, 6th Malik-D vs Schweikert-R	REP 81.7%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Arizona, 8th Tipirneni-D vs Lesko*-R	REP 85.3%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Arizona, 9th Stanton-D vs Ferrara-R	DEM 99.3%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
Arkansas, 2nd Tucker-D vs Hill*-R	REP 79.8%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
California, 4th Morse-D vs McClintock*-R	REP 84.4%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
California, 7th Bera*-D vs Grant-R	DEM 99.0%		DEM Likely	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
California, 10th Harder-D vs Denham*-R	DEM 69.1%	DEM 58%	50/50	50/50	50/50
California, 16th Costa*-D vs Heng-R	DEM 98.1%		DEM	DEM Likely
California, 21st Cox-D vs Valadao*-R	REP 63.1%	REP 76%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean
California, 22nd Janz-D vs Nunes*-R	REP 94.5%			REP Likely	REP Likely
California, 24th Carbajal*-D vs Fareed-R	DEM 97.8%			DEM Likely	DEM Likely
California, 25th Hill-D vs Knight*-R	DEM 69.7%	DEM 63%	50/50	DEM Lean	50/50	REP 51%
California, 39th Cisneros-D vs Kim-R	REP 64.3%	DEM 59%	50/50	50/50	REP Lean	REP 54%
California, 45th Porter-D vs Walters*-R	DEM 64.5%	DEM 70%	50/50	50/50	50/50
California, 48th Rouda-D vs Rohrabacher*-R	DEM 64.5%	DEM 71%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 51%
California, 49th Levin-D vs Harkey-R	DEM 90.6%	DEM 84%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM 50%
California, 50th Campa-Najjar-D vs Hunter*-R	REP 83.0%	REP 59%	REP Likely	REP Lean	50/50
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Colorado, 3rd Bush-D vs Tipton*-R	REP 59.9%			REP Likely
Colorado, 6th Crow-D vs Coffman*-R	DEM 82.0%		50/50	50/50	DEM Lean
Connecticut, 5th Hayes-D vs Santos-R	DEM 97.7%			DEM Likely
Florida, 6th Soderberg-D vs Watlz-R	REP 72.7%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Florida, 7th Murphy*-D vs Miller-R	DEM 94.1%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
Florida, 13th Crist*-D vs Buck-R	DEM 99.8%		DEM	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
Florida, 15th Carlson-D vs Spano-R	REP 66.2%	REP 69%	REP Likely	REP Likely
Florida, 16th Shapiro-D vs Buchanan*-R	REP 84.6%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean
Florida, 18th Baer-D vs Mast*-R	REP 86.9%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Florida, 25th Flores-D vs Diaz-Balart*-R	REP 70.6%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Florida, 26th Mucarsel-Powell-D vs Curbelo*-R	REP 52.4%	REP 62%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50	REP 52%
Florida, 27th Shalala-D vs Salazar-R	DEM 85.2%	DEM 88%	DEM Lean	50/50	DEM Lean
Georgia, 6th McBath-D vs Handel*-R	REP 93.0%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP 60%
Georgia, 7th Bourdeaux-D vs Woodall*-R	REP 67.3%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Likely
Illinois, 6th Casten-D vs Roskam*-R	REP 67.3%	REP 53%	REP Lean	50/50	50/50
Illinois, 12th Kelly-D vs Bost*-R	REP 56.6%	DEM 51%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50
Illinois, 13th Londrigan-D vs Davis*-R	REP 66.9%	REP 65%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean
Illinois, 14th Underwood-D vs Hultgren*-R	REP 62.5%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
Illinois, 17th Bustos-D vs Fawell-R	DEM 99.9%			DEM Likely
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Indiana, 2nd Hall-D vs Walorski*-R	REP 93.4%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Indiana, 9th Watson-D vs Hollingsworth*-R	REP 77.1%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Iowa, 1st Finkenauer-D vs Blum*-R	DEM 97.2%	DEM 74%	50/50	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
Iowa, 2nd Loebsack*-D vs Peters-R	DEM 98.4%		DEM	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
Iowa, 3rd Axne-D vs Young*-R	REP 54.1%	DEM 59%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
Iowa, 4th Scholten-D vs King*-R	REP 88.1%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Kansas, 2nd Davis-D vs Watkins-R	DEM 50.3%		50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 51%
Kansas, 3rd Davids-D vs Yoder*-R	REP 50.3%		50/50	50/50	50/50
Kansas, 4th Thompson-D vs Estes-R	REP 81.3%			REP Likely
Kentucky, 6th McGrath-D vs Barr*-R	REP 60.5%		50/50	50/50	50/50
Maine, 2nd Golden-D vs Poliquin*-R	REP 60.6%		50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
Maryland, 6th Trone-D vs Hoeber-R	DEM 99.4%			DEM Likely
Massachusetts, 9th Keating-D vs Tedeschi-R	DEM 99.5%			DEM Likely
Michigan, 1st Morgan-D vs Bergman*-R	REP 81.6%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Michigan, 5th Kildee-D vs Wines-R	DEM 99.9%			DEM Likely
Michigan, 6th Longjohn-D vs Upton*-R	REP 85.8%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Lean
Michigan, 7th Driskell-D vs Walberg*-R	REP 60.7%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Lean
Michigan, 8th Slotkin-D vs Bishop*-R	REP 54.3%	REP 63%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 55%
Michigan, 11th Stevens-D vs Epstein-R	DEM 71.1%	DEM 66%	DEM Lean	50/50	50/50	DEM 65%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Minnesota, 1st Feehan-D vs Hagedorn-R	REP 63.7%	DEM 48%	50/50	50/50	50/50
Minnesota, 2nd Craig-D vs Lewis*-R	DEM 75.8%		50/50	50/50	50/50
Minnesota, 3rd Phillips-D vs Paulsen*-R	DEM 85.0%	DEM 73%	50/50	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
Minnesota, 7th Peterson*-D vs Hughes-R	DEM 89.4%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
Minnesota, 8th Radinovich-D vs Stauber-R	REP 53.8%	REP 54%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50	REP 58%
Missouri, 2nd -D vs -R						REP 80%
Montana – AL Williams-D vs Gianforte*-R	REP 72.9%		REP Likely	REP Likely	50/50	REP 75%
Nebraska, 2nd Eastman-D vs Bacon*-R	DEM 60.1%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
Nevada, 3rd Lee-D vs Tarkanian-R	DEM 73.0%	DEM 85%	DEM Lean	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
Nevada, 4th Horsford-D vs Hardy-R	DEM 87.1%	DEM 79%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
New Hampshire, 1st Sullivan-D vs Sanborn-R	DEM 84.1%	DEM 77%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
New Hampshire, 2nd Kuster-D vs Levenson-R	DEM 98.9%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
New Jersey, 2nd Drew-D vs Grossman-R	DEM 97.3%	DEM 94%	DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
New Jersey, 3rd Kim-D vs MacArthur*-R	REP 55.7%	REP 53%	50/50	50/50	50/50
New Jersey, 4th Welle-D vs Smith-R	REP 93.7%			REP Likely
New Jersey, 5th Gottheimer*-D vs McCann-R	DEM 95.7%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
New Jersey, 7th Malinowski-D vs Lance*-R	DEM 60.8%	DEM 68%	50/50	50/50	50/50
New Jersey, 11th Sherrill-D vs Webber-R	DEM 76.4%	DEM 80%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
New Mexico, 2nd Small-D vs Herrell-R	REP 65.1%		REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 55%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
New York, 1st Gershon-D vs Zeldin*-R	REP 87.2%	REP 83%	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Lean
New York, 2nd Shirley-D vs King-R	REP 80.8%			REP Likely
New York, 3rd Suozzi*-D vs DeBono-R	DEM 99.4%		DEM Solid	DEM	DEM Likely
New York, 11th Rose-D vs Donovan*-R	REP 74.9%		REP Lean	REP Likely	REP Lean
New York, 18th Maloney*-D vs O’Donnell-R	DEM 98.9%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
New York, 19th Delgado-D vs Faso*-R	DEM 52.7%	DEM 62%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 52%
New York, 21st Cobb-D vs Stefanik-R	REP 93.6%			REP Likely
New York, 22nd Brindisi-D vs Tenney*-R	DEM 67.9%	DEM 74%	50/50	50/50	50/50
New York, 23rd -D vs -R	REP 96.0%			REP Likely
New York, 24th Balter-D vs Katko*-R	REP 83.9%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
New York, 27th McMurray-D vs Collins*-R	REP 80.5%		REP	REP Lean	50/50
North Carolina, 2nd Coleman-D vs Holding-R	REP 66.6%		REP Likely	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
North Carolina, 8th McNeill-D vs Hudson*-R	REP 85.3%		REP Solid	REP Solid	REP Likely
North Carolina, 9th McCready-D vs Harris-R	DEM 64.8%	DEM 72%	50/50	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
North Carolina, 13th Manning-D vs Budd*-R	REP 50.1%	REP 58%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
Ohio, 1st Pureval-D vs Chabot*-R	DEM 57.9%	REP 60%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Ohio, 7th Harbaugh-D vs Gibbs-R	REP 89.6%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Ohio, 12th O’Connor-D vs Balderson*-R	REP 67.5%	REP 63%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50
Ohio, 14th Rader-D vs Joyce*-R	REP 81.5%		REP Lean	REP Likely	REP Likely
Ohio, 15th Neal-D vs Stivers-R	REP 97.5%			REP Likely
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Oklahoma, 5th Horn-D vs Russell-R	REP 80.2%			REP Likely	REP Likely
Oregon, 2nd McLeod-Skinner-D vs Walden-R	REP 99.8%			REP Likely
Oregon, 5th Schrader-D vs Callahan-R	DEM 99.8%			DEM	DEM Likely
Pennsylvania, 1st Wallace-D vs Fitzpatrick*-R	REP 74.0%	REP 55%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 52%
Pennsylvania, 5th Scanlon-D vs Kim-R	DEM 99.9%		DEM Likely	DEM	DEM Likely
Pennsylvania, 6th Houlahan-D vs McCauley-R	DEM 98.8%	DEM 94%	DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
Pennsylvania, 7th Wild-D vs Nothstein-R	DEM 93.3%		DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
Pennsylvania, 8th Cartwright*-D vs Chrin-R	DEM 88.0%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
Pennsylvania, 10th Scott-D vs Perry*-R	REP 75.8%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
Pennsylvania, 14th Boerio*-D vs Reschenthaler-R	REP 98.7%		REP	REP	REP Likely
Pennsylvania, 16th DiNocola-D vs Kelly*-R	REP 97.2%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Pennsylvania, 17th Lamb-D vs Rothfus*-R	DEM 98.2%	DEM 86%	DEM Lean	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
South Carolina, 1st Cunningham-D vs Arrington-R	REP 87.0%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Texas, 2nd Litton-D vs Crenshaw-R	REP 90.4%			REP Likely
Texas, 3rd Burch-D vs Taylor-R	REP 99.1%			REP Likely
Texas, 6th Sanchez-D vs Wright-R	REP 92.4%			REP Likely
Texas, 7th Fletcher-D vs Culberson*-R	REP 53.4%	REP 58%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 60%
Texas, 21st Kopser-D vs Roy-R	REP 79.3%	REP 80%	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Texas, 22nd Kulkarni-D vs Olson-R	REP 85.0%			REP Likely
Texas, 23rd Jones-D vs Hurd-R	DEM 50.1%	DEM 65%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	DEM 50%
Texas, 24th McDowell-D vs Marchant-R	REP 95.4%			REP Likely
Texas, 31st Hegar-D vs Carter-R	REP 79.4%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Texas, 32nd Allred-D vs Sessions-R	REP 82.5%	REP 53%	REP Lean	50/50	50/50
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Utah, 4th McAdams-D vs Love*-R	REP 80.5%		REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 85%
Virginia, 2nd Luria-D vs Taylor*-R	REP 63.6%	REP 58%	50/50	50/50	50/50
Virginia, 5th Cockburn-D vs Riggleman-R	DEM 54.4%		REP Likely	REP Likely	50/50
Virginia, 7th Spanberger-D vs Brat*-R	REP 68.5%	REP 60%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Virginia, 10th Wexton-D vs Comstock*-R	DEM 78.5%	DEM 86%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
Washington, 3rd Long-D vs Herrera Beutler*-R	REP 83.2%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean
Washington, 5th Brown-D vs Rodgers*-R	REP 74.4%		REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50
Washington, 8th Schrier-D vs Rossi-R	DEM 55.1%	DEM 58%	50/50	DEM Lean	50/50
Wisconsin, 1st Bryce-D vs Steil-R	REP 78.8%	REP 64%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 60%
Wisconsin, 3rd -D vs -R	DEM 99.6%				DEM Likely
Wisconsin, 6th Kohl-D vs Grothman-R	REP 72.2%		REP Lean	REP Lean
Wisconsin, 8th Liegeois-D vs Gallagher-R	REP 99.3%			REP Likely
West Virginia, 3rd Ojeda-D vs Miller-R	REP 89.9%	REP 72%	50/50	50/50	50/50

as of September 22, 2018:

State, District *incumbent	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability as of Sep 20
Alaska, At Large Galvin-D vs Young-R	REP 72.1%			REP Likely
Arizona, 1st O’Halleran*-D vs Rogers-R	DEM 98.0%		DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
Arizona, 2nd Kirkpatrick-D vs Peterson-R	DEM 93.2%		DEM Lean	50/50	DEM Lean
Arizona, 6th Malik-D vs Schweikert-R	REP 81.7%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Arizona, 8th Tipirneni-D vs Lesko*-R	REP 85.3%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Arizona, 9th Stanton-D vs Ferrara-R	DEM 99.3%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
Arkansas, 2nd Tucker-D vs Hill*-R	REP 79.8%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
California, 4th Morse-D vs McClintock*-R	REP 84.4%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
California, 7th Bera*-D vs Grant-R	DEM 99.0%		DEM Likely	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
California, 10th Harder-D vs Denham*-R	DEM 69.1%	DEM 58%	50/50	50/50	50/50
California, 16th Costa*-D vs Heng-R	DEM 98.1%		DEM	DEM Likely
California, 21st Cox-D vs Valadao*-R	REP 63.1%	REP 76%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean
California, 22nd Janz-D vs Nunes*-R	REP 94.5%			REP Likely	REP Likely
California, 24th Carbajal*-D vs Fareed-R	DEM 97.8%			DEM Likely	DEM Likely
California, 25th Hill-D vs Knight*-R	DEM 69.7%	DEM 63%	50/50	DEM Lean	50/50	REP 51%
California, 39th Cisneros-D vs Kim-R	REP 64.3%	DEM 59%	50/50	50/50	REP Lean	REP 54%
California, 45th Porter-D vs Walters*-R	DEM 64.5%	DEM 70%	50/50	50/50	50/50
California, 48th Rouda-D vs Rohrabacher*-R	DEM 64.5%	DEM 71%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 51%
California, 49th Levin-D vs Harkey-R	DEM 90.6%	DEM 84%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
California, 50th Campa-Najjar-D vs Hunter*-R	REP 83.0%	REP 59%	REP Likely	REP Lean	50/50
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Colorado, 3rd Bush-D vs Tipton*-R	REP 59.9%			REP Likely
Colorado, 6th Crow-D vs Coffman*-R	DEM 82.0%		50/50	50/50	DEM Lean
Connecticut, 5th Hayes-D vs Santos-R	DEM 97.7%			DEM Likely
Florida, 6th Soderberg-D vs Watlz-R	REP 72.7%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Florida, 7th Murphy*-D vs Miller-R	DEM 94.1%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
Florida, 13th Crist*-D vs Buck-R	DEM 99.8%		DEM	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
Florida, 15th Carlson-D vs Spano-R	REP 66.2%	REP 69%	REP Likely	REP Likely
Florida, 16th Shapiro-D vs Buchanan*-R	REP 84.6%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean
Florida, 18th Baer-D vs Mast*-R	REP 86.9%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Florida, 25th Flores-D vs Diaz-Balart*-R	REP 70.6%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Florida, 26th Mucarsel-Powell-D vs Curbelo*-R	REP 52.4%	REP 62%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50	REP 52%
Florida, 27th Shalala-D vs Salazar-R	DEM 85.2%	DEM 88%	DEM Lean	50/50	DEM Lean
Georgia, 6th McBath-D vs Handel*-R	REP 93.0%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean
Georgia, 7th Bourdeaux-D vs Woodall*-R	REP 67.3%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Likely
Illinois, 6th Casten-D vs Roskam*-R	REP 67.3%	REP 53%	REP Lean	50/50	50/50
Illinois, 12th Kelly-D vs Bost*-R	REP 56.6%	DEM 51%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50
Illinois, 13th Londrigan-D vs Davis*-R	REP 66.9%	REP 65%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean
Illinois, 14th Underwood-D vs Hultgren*-R	REP 62.5%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
Illinois, 17th Bustos-D vs Fawell-R	DEM 99.9%			DEM Likely
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Indiana, 2nd Hall-D vs Walorski*-R	REP 93.4%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Indiana, 9th Watson-D vs Hollingsworth*-R	REP 77.1%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Iowa, 1st Finkenauer-D vs Blum*-R	DEM 97.2%	DEM 74%	50/50	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
Iowa, 2nd Loebsack*-D vs Peters-R	DEM 98.4%		DEM	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
Iowa, 3rd Axne-D vs Young*-R	REP 54.1%	DEM 59%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
Iowa, 4th Scholten-D vs King*-R	REP 88.1%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Kansas, 2nd Davis-D vs Watkins-R	DEM 50.3%		50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 51%
Kansas, 3rd Davids-D vs Yoder*-R	REP 50.3%		50/50	50/50	50/50
Kansas, 4th Thompson-D vs Estes-R	REP 81.3%			REP Likely
Kentucky, 6th McGrath-D vs Barr*-R	REP 60.5%		50/50	50/50	50/50
Maine, 2nd Golden-D vs Poliquin*-R	REP 60.6%		50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
Maryland, 6th Trone-D vs Hoeber-R	DEM 99.4%			DEM Likely
Massachusetts, 9th Keating-D vs Tedeschi-R	DEM 99.5%			DEM Likely
Michigan, 1st Morgan-D vs Bergman*-R	REP 81.6%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Michigan, 5th Kildee-D vs Wines-R	DEM 99.9%			DEM Likely
Michigan, 6th Longjohn-D vs Upton*-R	REP 85.8%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Lean
Michigan, 7th Driskell-D vs Walberg*-R	REP 60.7%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Lean
Michigan, 8th Slotkin-D vs Bishop*-R	REP 54.3%	REP 63%	50/50	50/50	50/50
Michigan, 11th Stevens-D vs Epstein-R	DEM 71.1%	DEM 66%	DEM Lean	50/50	50/50
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Minnesota, 1st Feehan-D vs Hagedorn-R	REP 63.7%	DEM 48%	50/50	50/50	50/50
Minnesota, 2nd Craig-D vs Lewis*-R	DEM 75.8%		50/50	50/50	50/50
Minnesota, 3rd Phillips-D vs Paulsen*-R	DEM 85.0%	DEM 73%	50/50	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
Minnesota, 7th Peterson*-D vs Hughes-R	DEM 89.4%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
Minnesota, 8th Radinovich-D vs Stauber-R	REP 53.8%	REP 54%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50	REP 58%
Montana – AL Williams-D vs Gianforte*-R	REP 72.9%		REP Likely	REP Likely	50/50
Nebraska, 2nd Eastman-D vs Bacon*-R	DEM 60.1%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
Nevada, 3rd Lee-D vs Tarkanian-R	DEM 73.0%	DEM 85%	DEM Lean	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
Nevada, 4th Horsford-D vs Hardy-R	DEM 87.1%	DEM 79%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
New Hampshire, 1st Sullivan-D vs Sanborn-R	DEM 84.1%	DEM 77%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
New Hampshire, 2nd Kuster-D vs Levenson-R	DEM 98.9%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
New Jersey, 2nd Drew-D vs Grossman-R	DEM 97.3%	DEM 94%	DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
New Jersey, 3rd Kim-D vs MacArthur*-R	REP 55.7%	REP 53%	50/50	50/50	50/50
New Jersey, 4th Welle-D vs Smith-R	REP 93.7%			REP Likely
New Jersey, 5th Gottheimer*-D vs McCann-R	DEM 95.7%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
New Jersey, 7th Malinowski-D vs Lance*-R	DEM 60.8%	DEM 68%	50/50	50/50	50/50
New Jersey, 11th Sherrill-D vs Webber-R	DEM 76.4%	DEM 80%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
New Mexico, 2nd Small-D vs Herrell-R	REP 65.1%		REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 55%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
New York, 1st Gershon-D vs Zeldin*-R	REP 87.2%	REP 83%	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Lean
New York, 2nd Shirley-D vs King-R	REP 80.8%			REP Likely
New York, 3rd Suozzi*-D vs DeBono-R	DEM 99.4%		DEM Solid	DEM	DEM Likely
New York, 11th Rose-D vs Donovan*-R	REP 74.9%		REP Lean	REP Likely	REP Lean
New York, 18th Maloney*-D vs O’Donnell-R	DEM 98.9%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
New York, 19th Delgado-D vs Faso*-R	DEM 52.7%	DEM 62%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 52%
New York, 21st Cobb-D vs Stefanik-R	REP 93.6%			REP Likely
New York, 22nd Brindisi-D vs Tenney*-R	DEM 67.9%	DEM 74%	50/50	50/50	50/50
New York, 23rd -D vs -R	REP 96.0%			REP Likely
New York, 24th Balter-D vs Katko*-R	REP 83.9%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
New York, 27th McMurray-D vs Collins*-R	REP 80.5%		REP	REP Lean	50/50
North Carolina, 2nd Coleman-D vs Holding-R	REP 66.6%		REP Likely	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
North Carolina, 8th McNeill-D vs Hudson*-R	REP 85.3%		REP Solid	REP Solid	REP Likely
North Carolina, 9th McCready-D vs Harris-R	DEM 64.8%	DEM 72%	50/50	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
North Carolina, 13th Manning-D vs Budd*-R	REP 50.1%	REP 58%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
Ohio, 1st Pureval-D vs Chabot*-R	DEM 57.9%	REP 60%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Ohio, 7th Harbaugh-D vs Gibbs-R	REP 89.6%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Ohio, 12th O’Connor-D vs Balderson*-R	REP 67.5%	REP 63%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50
Ohio, 14th Rader-D vs Joyce*-R	REP 81.5%		REP Lean	REP Likely	REP Likely
Ohio, 15th Neal-D vs Stivers-R	REP 97.5%			REP Likely
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Oklahoma, 5th Horn-D vs Russell-R	REP 80.2%			REP Likely	REP Likely
Oregon, 2nd McLeod-Skinner-D vs Walden-R	REP 99.8%			REP Likely
Oregon, 5th Schrader-D vs Callahan-R	DEM 99.8%			DEM	DEM Likely
Pennsylvania, 1st Wallace-D vs Fitzpatrick*-R	REP 74.0%	REP 55%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 52%
Pennsylvania, 5th Scanlon-D vs Kim-R	DEM 99.9%		DEM Likely	DEM	DEM Likely
Pennsylvania, 6th Houlahan-D vs McCauley-R	DEM 98.8%	DEM 94%	DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
Pennsylvania, 7th Wild-D vs Nothstein-R	DEM 93.3%		DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
Pennsylvania, 8th Cartwright*-D vs Chrin-R	DEM 88.0%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
Pennsylvania, 10th Scott-D vs Perry*-R	REP 75.8%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
Pennsylvania, 14th Boerio*-D vs Reschenthaler-R	REP 98.7%		REP	REP	REP Likely
Pennsylvania, 16th DiNocola-D vs Kelly*-R	REP 97.2%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Pennsylvania, 17th Lamb-D vs Rothfus*-R	DEM 98.2%	DEM 86%	DEM Lean	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
South Carolina, 1st Cunningham-D vs Arrington-R	REP 87.0%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Texas, 2nd Litton-D vs Crenshaw-R	REP 90.4%			REP Likely
Texas, 3rd Burch-D vs Taylor-R	REP 99.1%			REP Likely
Texas, 6th Sanchez-D vs Wright-R	REP 92.4%			REP Likely
Texas, 7th Fletcher-D vs Culberson*-R	REP 53.4%	REP 58%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 60%
Texas, 21st Kopser-D vs Roy-R	REP 79.3%	REP 80%	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Texas, 22nd Kulkarni-D vs Olson-R	REP 85.0%			REP Likely
Texas, 23rd Jones-D vs Hurd-R	DEM 50.1%	DEM 65%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50
Texas, 24th McDowell-D vs Marchant-R	REP 95.4%			REP Likely
Texas, 31st Hegar-D vs Carter-R	REP 79.4%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Texas, 32nd Allred-D vs Sessions-R	REP 82.5%	REP 53%	REP Lean	50/50	50/50
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Utah, 4th McAdams-D vs Love*-R	REP 80.5%		REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50
Virginia, 2nd Luria-D vs Taylor*-R	REP 63.6%	REP 58%	50/50	50/50	50/50
Virginia, 5th Cockburn-D vs Riggleman-R	DEM 54.4%		REP Likely	REP Likely	50/50
Virginia, 7th Spanberger-D vs Brat*-R	REP 68.5%	REP 60%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Virginia, 10th Wexton-D vs Comstock*-R	DEM 78.5%	DEM 86%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
Washington, 3rd Long-D vs Herrera Beutler*-R	REP 83.2%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean
Washington, 5th Brown-D vs Rodgers*-R	REP 74.4%		REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50
Washington, 8th Schrier-D vs Rossi-R	DEM 55.1%	DEM 58%	50/50	DEM Lean	50/50
Wisconsin, 1st Bryce-D vs Steil-R	REP 78.8%	REP 64%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 60%
Wisconsin, 3rd -D vs -R	DEM 99.6%				DEM Likely
Wisconsin, 6th Kohl-D vs Grothman-R	REP 72.2%		REP Lean	REP Lean
Wisconsin, 8th Liegeois-D vs Gallagher-R	REP 99.3%			REP Likely
West Virginia, 3rd Ojeda-D vs Miller-R	REP 89.9%	REP 72%	50/50	50/50	50/50

as of September 13, 2018:

State, District *incumbent	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability as of Sep 20
Alaska, At Large Galvin-D vs Young-R				REP Likely
Arizona, 1st O’Halleran*-D vs Rogers-R	DEM 97.8%		DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
Arizona, 2nd Kirkpatrick-D vs Peterson-R	DEM 94.0%		DEM Lean	50/50	DEM Lean
Arizona, 6th Malik-D vs Schweikert-R	REP 81.0%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Arizona, 8th Tipirneni-D vs Lesko*-R	REP 83.9%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Arizona, 9th Stanton-D vs Ferrara-R	DEM 99.4%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
Arkansas, 2nd Tucker-D vs Hill*-R	REP 78.5%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
California, 4th Morse-D vs McClintock*-R	REP 83.3%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
California, 7th Bera*-D vs Grant-R	DEM 98.9%		DEM Likely	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
California, 10th Harder-D vs Denham*-R	DEM 72.2%	DEM 58%	50/50	50/50	50/50
California, 16th Costa-D vs Heng-R	DEM 99.6%		DEM Solid	DEM Likely
California, 21st Cox-D vs Valadao*-R	REP 60.7%	REP 76%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean
California, 22nd Janz-D vs Nunes-R				REP Likely	REP Likely
California, 24th Carbajal-D vs Fareed-R				DEM Likely	DEM Likely
California, 25th Hill-D vs Knight*-R	DEM 78.5%	DEM 63%	50/50	DEM Lean	50/50	REP 51%
California, 39th Cisneros-D vs Kim-R	DEM 55.0%	DEM 59%	50/50	50/50	REP Lean	REP 54%
California, 45th Porter-D vs Walters*-R	DEM 61.0%	DEM 70%	50/50	50/50	50/50
California, 48th Rouda-D vs Rohrabacher*-R	DEM 66.8%	DEM 71%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 51%
California, 49th Levin-D vs Harkey-R	DEM 84.4%	DEM 84%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
California, 50th Campa-Najjar-D vs Hunter*-R	REP 82.1%	REP 59%	REP Likely	REP Lean	50/50
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Colorado, 3rd Bush-D vs Tipton-R				REP Likely
Colorado, 6th Crow-D vs Coffman-R	DEM 82.4%		50/50	50/50	DEM Lean
Connecticut, 5th Hayes-D vs Santos-R				DEM Likely
Florida, 6th Soderberg-D vs Watlz-R	REP 68.3%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Florida, 7th Murphy*-D vs Miller-R	DEM 94.4%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
Florida, 13th Crist*-D vs Buck-R	DEM 99.8%		DEM Solid	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
Florida, 15th Carlson-D vs Spano-R	REP 64.1%	REP 69%	REP Likely	REP
Florida, 16th Shapiro-D vs Buchanan*-R	REP 84.8%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean
Florida, 18th Baer-D vs Mast*-R	REP 89.6%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Florida, 25th Flores-D vs Diaz-Balart*-R	REP 69.7%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Florida, 26th Mucarsel-Powell-D vs Curbelo*-R	REP 55.0%	REP 62%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50	REP 52%
Florida, 27th Shalala-D vs Salazar*-R	DEM 98.3%	DEM 88%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
Georgia, 6th McBath-D vs Handel*-R	REP 92.6%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean
Georgia, 7th Bourdeaux-D vs Woodall*-R	REP 65.2%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Likely
Illinois, 6th Casten-D vs Roskam*-R	REP 66.8%	REP 53%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50
Illinois, 12th Kelly-D vs Bost*-R	REP 53.6%	DEM 51%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50
Illinois, 13th Londrigan-D vs Davis*-R	REP 65.7%	REP 65%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean
Illinois, 14th Underwood-D vs Hultgren*-R	REP 60.9%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
Illinois, 17th Bustos-D vs Fawell-R				DEM Likely
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Indiana, 2nd Hall-D vs Walorski*-R	REP 93.0%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Indiana, 9th Watson-D vs Hollingsworth*-R	REP 76.0%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Iowa, 1st Finkenauer-D vs Blum*-R	DEM 83.2%	DEM 74%	50/50	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
Iowa, 2nd Loebsack*-D vs Peters-R	DEM 98.7%		DEM Solid	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
Iowa, 3rd Axne-D vs Young*-R	REP 53.8%	DEM 59%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 55%
Iowa, 4th Scholten-D vs King*-R	REP 83.8%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Kansas, 2nd Davis-D vs Watkins-R	REP 54.6%		50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 51%
Kansas, 3rd Davids-D vs Yoder*-R	REP 69.5%		50/50	50/50	50/50
Kansas, 4th Thompson-D vs Estes-R				REP Likely
Kentucky, 6th McGrath-D vs Barr*-R	REP 58.8%		50/50	DEM Lean	50/50
Maine, 2nd Golden-D vs Poliquin*-R	REP 50.6%		50/50	REP Lean	50/50	REP 55%
Maryland, 6th Trone-D vs Hoeber-R				DEM Likely
Massachusetts, 9th Keating-D vs Tedeschi-R				DEM Likely
Michigan, 1st Morgan-D vs Bergman*-R	REP 80.7%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Michigan, 5th Kildee-D vs Wines-R				DEM Likely
Michigan, 6th Longjohn-D vs Upton*-R	REP 84.7%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Lean
Michigan, 7th Driskell-D vs Walberg*-R	REP 58.6%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Lean
Michigan, 8th Slotkin-D vs Bishop*-R	REP 53.5%	REP 63%	50/50	50/50	50/50
Michigan, 11th Stevens-D vs Epstein-R	DEM 72.3%	DEM 66%	DEM Lean	50/50	50/50
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Minnesota, 1st Feehan-D vs Hagedorn-R	REP 61.9%	DEM 48%	50/50	50/50	50/50
Minnesota, 2nd Craig-D vs Lewis*-R	DEM 83.4%		50/50	50/50	50/50
Minnesota, 3rd Phillips-D vs Paulsen*-R	DEM 80.0%	DEM 73%	50/50	50/50	DEM Lean
Minnesota, 7th Peterson*-D vs Hughes-R	DEM 89.9%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
Minnesota, 8th Radinovich-D vs Stauber-R	50/50	REP 54%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50
Montana – AL Williams-D vs Gianforte*-R	REP 71.5%		REP Likely	REP Likely	50/50
Nebraska, 2nd Eastman-D vs Bacon*-R	DEM 62.3%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
Nevada, 3rd Lee-D vs Tarkanian-R	DEM 74.2%	DEM 85%	DEM Lean	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
Nevada, 4th Horsford-D vs Hardy-R	DEM 88.1%	DEM 79%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
New Hampshire, 1st Sullivan-D vs Sanborn-R	DEM 84.6%	DEM 77%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
New Hampshire, 2nd Kuster-D vs Levenson-R	DEM 99.1%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
New Jersey, 2nd Drew-D vs Grossman-R	DEM 91.6%	DEM 94%	DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
New Jersey, 3rd Kim-D vs MacArthur*-R	REP 54.7%	REP 53%	50/50	50/50	50/50
New Jersey, 4th Welle-D vs Smith-R				REP Likely
New Jersey, 5th Gottheimer*-D vs McCann-R	DEM 96.0%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
New Jersey, 7th Malinowski-D vs Lance*-R	DEM 66.5%	DEM 68%	50/50	50/50	50/50
New Jersey, 11th Sherrill-D vs Webber-R	DEM 76.3%	DEM 80%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
New Mexico, 2nd Small-D vs Herrell-R	REP 70.8%		REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 55%
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
New York, 1st Gershon-D vs Zeldin*-R	REP 88.5%	REP 83%	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Lean
New York, 2nd Shirley-D vs King-R				REP Likely
New York, 3rd Suozzi*-D vs DeBono-R	DEM 99.5%		DEM Solid	DEM	DEM Likely
New York, 11th Rose-D vs Donovan*-R	REP 74.0%		REP Lean	REP Likely	REP Lean
New York, 18th Maloney*-D vs O’Donnell-R	DEM 99.0%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
New York, 19th Delgado-D vs Faso*-R	DEM 54.0%	DEM 62%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM 52%
New York, 21st Cobb-D vs Stefanik-R				REP Likely
New York, 22nd Brindisi-D vs Tenney*-R	DEM 70.7%	DEM 74%	50/50	50/50	50/50
New York, 23rd -D vs -R				REP Likely
New York, 24th Balter-D vs Katko*-R	REP 81.8%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
New York, 27th McMurray-D vs Collins*-R	REP 79.6%		REP Solid	REP Lean	50/50
North Carolina, 2nd Coleman-D vs Holding-R			REP Likely	REP Lean	50/50	REP 55%
North Carolina, 8th McNeill-D vs Hudson*-R	REP 84.9%		REP Solid	REP Solid	REP Likely
North Carolina, 9th McCready-D vs Harris-R	DEM 64.7%	DEM 72%	50/50	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
North Carolina, 13th Manning-D vs Budd*-R	REP 55.7%	REP 58%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
Ohio, 1st Pureval-D vs Chabot*-R	DEM 62.4%	REP 60%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Ohio, 7th Harbaugh-D vs Gibbs-R	REP 89.4%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Ohio, 12th O’Connor-D vs Balderson*-R	DEM 50.8	REP 63%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50
Ohio, 14th Rader-D vs Joyce*-R	REP 79.9%		REP Lean	REP Likely	REP Likely
Ohio, 15th Neal-D vs Stivers-R				REP Likely
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Oklahoma, 5th Horn-D vs Russell-R				REP Likely	REP Likely
Oregon, 2nd McLeod-Skinner-D vs Walden-R				REP Likely
Oregon, 5th Schrader-D vs Callahan-R				DEM	DEM Likely
Pennsylvania, 1st Wallace-D vs Fitzpatrick*-R	REP 73.6%	REP 55%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 52%
Pennsylvania, 5th Scanlon-D vs Kim-R	DEM 99.9%		DEM Likely	DEM	DEM Likely
Pennsylvania, 6th Houlahan-D vs McCauley-R	DEM 98.8%	DEM 94%	DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
Pennsylvania, 7th Wild-D vs Nothstein-R	DEM 93.5%		DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
Pennsylvania, 8th Cartwright*-D vs Chrin-R	DEM 89.5%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
Pennsylvania, 10th Scott-D vs Perry*-R	REP 75.5%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
Pennsylvania, 14th Boerio*-D vs Reschenthaler-R	REP 98.7%		REP Solid	REP	REP Likely
Pennsylvania, 16th DiNocola-D vs Kelly*-R	REP 96.9%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Pennsylvania, 17th Lamb-D vs Rothfus*-R	DEM 98.2%	DEM 86%	DEM Lean	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
South Carolina, 1st Cunningham-D vs Arrington-R	REP 85.9%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Texas, 2nd Litton-D vs Crenshaw-R				REP Likely
Texas, 3rd Burch-D vs Taylor-R				REP Likely
Texas, 6th Sanchez-D vs Wright-R				REP Likely
Texas, 7th Fletcher-D vs Culberson*-R	DEM 54.7%	REP 58%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 60%
Texas, 21st Kopser-D vs Roy-R	REP 77.4%	REP 80%	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Texas, 22nd Kulkarni-D vs Olson-R				REP Likely
Texas, 23rd Jones-D vs Hurd-R	DEM 53.4%	DEM 65%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50
Texas, 24th McDowell-D vs Marchant-R				REP Likely
Texas, 31st Hegar-D vs Carter-R	REP 78.6%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Texas, 32nd Allred-D vs Sessions-R	REP 86.3%	REP 53%	REP Lean	50/50	50/50
	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Horary AstroProbability
Utah, 4th McAdams-D vs Love*-R	REP 78.1%		REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50
Virginia, 2nd Luria-D vs Taylor*-R	REP 74.8%	REP 58%	50/50	50/50	50/50
Virginia, 5th Cockburn-D vs Riggleman-R	DEM 56.5%		REP Likely	REP Likely	50/50
Virginia, 7th Spanberger-D vs Brat*-R	REP 65.5%	REP 60%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP 52%
Virginia, 10th Wexton-D vs Comstock*-R	DEM 78.8%	DEM 86%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
Washington, 3rd Long-D vs Herrera Beutler*-R	REP 82.0%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean
Washington, 5th Brown-D vs Rodgers*-R	REP 72.4%		REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50
Washington, 8th Schrier-D vs Rossi-R	DEM 56.6%	DEM 58%	50/50	DEM Lean	50/50
Wisconsin, 1st Bryce-D vs Steil-R	REP 68.0%	REP 64%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 60%
Wisconsin, 3rd -D vs -R				REP
Wisconsin, 6th Kohl-D vs Grothman-R	REP 71.0%		REP Lean	REP Lean
Wisconsin, 8th Liegeois-D vs Gallagher-R				REP Likely
West Virginia, 3rd Ojeda-D vs Miller-R	REP 93.5%	REP 72%	50/50	50/50	50/50

as of September 13, 2018:

State, District *incumbent	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability
Alaska, At Large *-D vs -R				REP Likely
Arizona, 1st O’Halleran*-D vs Rogers-R	DEM – 97.8%		DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
Arizona, 2nd Kirkpatrick-D vs Peterson-R	DEM – 94.0%		DEM Lean	50/50	DEM Lean
Arizona, 6th Malik-D vs Schweikert-R	REP – 81.0%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Arizona, 8th Tipirneni-D vs Lesko*-R	REP – 83.9%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Arizona, 9th Stanton-D vs Ferrara-R	DEM – 99.4%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
Arkansas, 2nd Tucker-D vs Hill*-R	REP – 78.5%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
California, 4th Morse-D vs McClintock*-R	REP – 83.3%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
California, 7th Bera*-D vs Grant-R	DEM – 98.9%		DEM Likely	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
California, 10th Harder-D vs Denham*-R	DEM – 72.2%	DEM – 58%	50/50	50/50	50/50
California, 16th Costa-D vs Heng-R	DEM 99.6%		DEM Solid	DEM Likely
California, 21st Cox-D vs Valadao*-R	REP 60.7%	REP – 76%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean
California, 22nd -D vs -R				REP Likely
California, 24th -D vs -R				REP Likely
California, 25th Hill-D vs Knight*-R	DEM 78.5%	DEM – 63%	50/50	DEM Lean	50/50
California, 39th Cisneros-D vs Kim-R	DEM 55.0%	DEM 59%	50/50	50/50	50/50
California, 45th Porter-D vs Walters*-R	DEM – 61.0%	DEM – 70%	50/50	50/50	50/50
California, 48th Rouda-D vs Rohrabacher*-R	DEM 66.8%	DEM 71%	50/50	50/50	50/50
California, 49th Levin-D vs Harkey-R	DEM 84.4%	DEM – 84%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
California, 50th Campa-Najjar-D vs Hunter*-R	REP 82.1%	REP – 59%	REP Likely	REP Lean	50/50
Colorado, 3rd -D vs -R				REP Likely
Colorado, 6th Crow-D vs Coffman-R	DEM 82.4%		50/50	50/50	50/50
Connecticut, 5th -D vs -R				REP Likely
Florida, 6th Soderberg-D vs Watlz-R	REP 68.3%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Florida, 7th Murphy*-D vs Miller-R	DEM 94.4%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
Florida, 13th Crist*-D vs Buck-R	DEM 99.8%		DEM Solid	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
Florida, 15th Carlson-D vs Spano-R	REP 64.1%	REP 69%	REP Likely	REP Solid
Florida, 16th Shapiro-D vs Buchanan*-R	REP 84.8%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean
Florida, 18th Baer-D vs Mast*-R	REP 89.6%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Florida, 25th Flores-D vs Diaz-Balart*-R	REP 69.7%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Florida, 26th Mucarsel-Powell-D vs Curbelo*-R	REP 55.0%	REP – 62%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50
Florida, 27th Shalala-D vs Salazar*-R	DEM 98.3%	DEM – 88%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Likely
Georgia, 6th McBath-D vs Handel*-R	REP 92.6%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean
Georgia, 7th Bourdeaux-D vs Woodall*-R	REP 65.2%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Likely
Illinois, 6th Casten-D vs Roskam*-R	REP 66.8%	REP – 53%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50
Illinois, 12th Kelly-D vs Bost*-R	REP 53.6%	DEM 51%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50
Illinois, 13th Londrigan-D vs Davis*-R	REP 65.7%	REP – 65%	REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Likely
Illinois, 14th Underwood-D vs Hultgren*-R	REP 60.9%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
Illinois, 17th -D vs -R				REP Likely
Indiana, 2nd Hall-D vs Walorski*-R	REP 93.0%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Indiana, 9th Watson-D vs Hollingsworth*-R	REP 76.0%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Iowa, 1st Finkenauer-D vs Blum*-R	DEM 83.2%	DEM – 74%	50/50	DEM Lean	50/50
Iowa, 2nd Loebsack*-D vs Peters-R	DEM 98.7%		DEM Solid	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
Iowa, 3rd Axne-D vs Young*-R	REP 53.8%	DEM – 59%	50/50	50/50	50/50
Iowa, 4th Scholten-D vs King*-R	REP 83.8%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Kansas, 2nd Davis-D vs Watkins-R	REP 54.6%		50/50	50/50	50/50
Kansas, 3rd Davids-D vs Yoder*-R	REP 69.5%		50/50	50/50	50/50
Kansas, 4th -D vs -R				REP Likely
Kentucky, 6th McGrath-D vs Barr*-R	REP 58.8%		50/50	DEM Lean	50/50
Maine, 2nd Golden-D vs Poliquin*-R	REP 50.6%		50/50	REP Lean	50/50
Maryland, 6th -D vs -R				REP Likely
Massachusetts, 9th -D vs -R				REP Likely
Michigan, 1st Morgan-D vs Bergman*-R	REP 80.7%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Michigan, 5th -D vs -R				REP Likely
Michigan, 6th Longjohn-D vs Upton*-R	REP 84.7%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Lean
Michigan, 7th Driskell-D vs Walberg*-R	REP 58.6%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Lean
Michigan, 8th Slotkin-D vs Bishop*-R	REP 53.5%	REP 63%	50/50	50/50	50/50
Michigan, 11th Stevens-D vs Epstein-R	DEM 72.3%	DEM – 66%	DEM Lean	50/50	50/50
Minnesota, 1st Feehan-D vs Hagedorn-R	REP 61.9%	DEM 48%	50/50	50/50	50/50
Minnesota, 2nd Craig-D vs Lewis*-R	DEM 83.4%		50/50	50/50	50/50
Minnesota, 3rd Phillips-D vs Paulsen*-R	DEM 80.0%	DEM – 73%	50/50	50/50	DEM Lean
Minnesota, 7th Peterson*-D vs Hughes-R	DEM 89.9%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
Minnesota, 8th Radinovich-D vs Stauber-R	50/50	REP 54%	50/50	REP Lean	50/50
Montana – AL Williams-D vs Gianforte*-R	REP 71.5%		REP Likely	REP Likely	50/50
Nebraska, 2nd Eastman-D vs Bacon*-R	DEM 62.3%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
Nevada, 3rd Lee-D vs Tarkanian-R	DEM 74.2%	DEM – 85%	DEM Lean	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
Nevada, 4th Horsford-D vs Hardy-R	DEM 88.1%	DEM 79%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
New Hampshire, 1st Sullivan-D vs Sanborn-R	DEM 84.6%	DEM – 77%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
New Hampshire, 2nd Kuster-D vs Levenson-R	DEM 99.1%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
New Jersey, 2nd Drew-D vs Grossman-R	DEM 91.6%	DEM 94%	DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
New Jersey, 3rd Kim-D vs MacArthur*-R	REP 54.7%	REP – 53%	50/50	50/50	50/50
New Jersey, 4th -D vs -R				REP Likely
New Jersey, 5th Gottheimer*-D vs McCann-R	DEM 96.0%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
New Jersey, 7th Malinowski-D vs Lance*-R	DEM 66.5%	DEM – 68%	50/50	50/50	50/50
New Jersey, 11th Sherrill-D vs Webber-R	DEM 76.3%	DEM – 80%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	50/50
New Mexico, 2nd Small-D vs Herrell-R	REP 70.8%		REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50
New York, 1st Gershon-D vs Zeldin*-R	REP 88.5%	REP – 83%	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Lean
New York, 2nd -D vs -R				REP Likely
New York, 3rd Suozzi*-D vs DeBono-R	DEM 99.5%		DEM Solid	DEM Solid	DEM Likely
New York, 11th Rose-D vs Donovan*-R	REP 74.0%		REP Lean	REP Likely	REP Lean
New York, 18th Maloney*-D vs O’Donnell-R	DEM 99.0%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
New York, 19th Delgado-D vs Faso*-R	DEM 54.0%	DEM 62%	50/50	50/50	50/50	DEM – 52%
New York, 21st -D vs -R				REP Likely
New York, 22nd Brindisi-D vs Tenney*-R	DEM 70.7%	DEM – 74%	50/50	50/50	50/50
New York, 23rd -D vs -R				REP Likely
New York, 24th Balter-D vs Katko*-R	REP 81.8%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
New York, 27th McMurray-D vs Collins*-R	REP 79.6%		REP Solid	REP Lean
North Carolina, 2nd -D vs -R			REP Likely	REP Likely
North Carolina, 8th McNeill-D vs Hudson*-R	REP 84.9%		REP Solid	REP Solid	REP Likely
North Carolina, 9th McCready-D vs Harris-R	DEM 64.7%	DEM 72%	50/50	DEM Lean	50/50
North Carolina, 13th Manning-D vs Budd*-R	REP 55.7%	REP – 58%	REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
Ohio, 1st Pureval-D vs Chabot*-R	DEM 62.4%	REP – 60%	50/50	50/50	50/50
Ohio, 7th Harbaugh-D vs Gibbs-R	REP 89.4%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Ohio, 12th O’Connor-D vs Balderson*-R	DEM 50.8	REP 63%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50
Ohio, 14th Rader-D vs Joyce*-R	REP 79.9%		REP Lean	REP Likely	REP Likely
Ohio, 15th -D vs -R				REP Likely
Oklahoma, 5th -D vs -R				REP Likely
Oregon, 2nd -D vs -R				REP Likely
Oregon, 5th -D vs -R				REP Likely
Pennsylvania, 1st Wallace-D vs Fitzpatrick*-R	REP 73.6%	REP – 55%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50	REP 52%
Pennsylvania, 5th Scanlon-D vs Kim-R	DEM 99.9%		DEM Likely	DEM Solid	DEM Likely
Pennsylvania, 6th Houlahan-D vs McCauley-R	DEM 98.8%	DEM – 94%	DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
Pennsylvania, 7th Wild-D vs Nothstein-R	DEM 93.5%		DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
Pennsylvania, 8th Cartwright*-D vs Chrin-R	DEM 89.5%		DEM Likely	DEM Likely	DEM Likely
Pennsylvania, 10th Scott-D vs Perry*-R	REP 75.5%		REP Lean	REP Lean	REP Lean
Pennsylvania, 14th Boerio*-D vs Reschenthaler-R	REP 98.7%		REP Solid	REP Solid	REP Likely
Pennsylvania, 16th DiNocola-D vs Kelly*-R	REP 96.9%		REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Pennsylvania, 17th Lamb-D vs Rothfus*-R	DEM 98.2%	DEM 86%	DEM Lean	DEM Likely	DEM Lean
South Carolina, 1st Cunningham-D vs Arrington-R	REP 85.9%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Texas, 2nd -D vs -R				REP Likely
Texas, 3rd -D vs -R				REP Likely
Texas, 6th -D vs -R				REP Likely
Texas, 7th Fletcher-D vs Culberson*-R	DEM 54.7%	REP – 58%	50/50	50/50	50/50
Texas, 21st Kopser-D vs Roy-R	REP 77.4%	REP – 80%	REP Likely	REP Likely	REP Likely
Texas, 22nd -D vs -R				REP Likely
Texas, 23rd Jones-D vs Hurd-R	DEM 53.4%	DEM – 65%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50
Texas, 24th -D vs -R				REP Likely
Texas, 31st Hegar-D vs Carter-R	REP 78.6%		REP Likely	REP Likely
Texas, 32nd Allred-D vs Sessions-R	REP 86.3%	REP – 53%	REP Lean	50/50	50/50
Utah, 4th McAdams-D vs Love*-R	REP 78.1%		REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50
Virginia, 2nd Luria-D vs Taylor*-R	REP 74.8%	REP – 58%	50/50	50/50	REP Lean
Virginia, 5th Cockburn-D vs Riggleman-R	DEM 56.5%		REP Likely	REP Likely	50/50
Virginia, 7th Spanberger-D vs Brat*-R	REP 65.5%	REP – 60%	50/50	50/50	50/50	REP – 52%
Virginia, 10th Wexton-D vs Comstock*-R	DEM 78.8%	DEM – 86%	DEM Lean	DEM Lean	DEM Lean
Washington, 3rd Long-D vs Herrera Beutler*-R	REP 82.0%		REP Likely	REP Lean	REP Lean
Washington, 5th Brown-D vs Rodgers*-R	REP 72.4%		REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50
Washington, 8th Schrier-D vs Rossi-R	DEM 56.6%	DEM – 58%	50/50	DEM Lean	50/50
Wisconsin, 1st Bryce-D vs Steil-R	REP 68.0%	REP – 64%	REP Lean	REP Lean	50/50
Wisconsin, 3rd -D vs -R				REP Likely
Wisconsin, 6th Kohl-D vs Grothman-R	REP 71.0%		REP Lean	REP Lean	DEM Likely
Wisconsin, 8th -D vs -R				REP Likely
West Virginia, 3rd Ojeda-D vs Miller-R	REP 93.5%	REP 72%	50/50	50/50	50/50

as of September 7, 2018:

State, District *incumbent	Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver	PredictIt	CNN Politics	Politico	Real Clear Politics	Political Contest Horary AstroProbability
Arkansas, 2nd Tucker-D vs Hill*-R	REP – 77.6%		Lean REP	50/50	Lean REP
Arizona, 1st O’Halleran*-D vs Rogers-R	DEM – 96.7%		Lean DEM	50/50	Lean DEM
Arizona, 2nd Kirkpatrick-D vs Peterson-R	DEM – 92.3%		50/50	50/50	Lean DEM
Arizona, 6th -D vs Schweikert-R	REP – 96.0%			50/50
Arizona, 8th Tipirneni-D vs Lesko*-R	REP – 84.6%		Likely REP	50/50	Likely REP
Arizona, 9th Stanton-D vs Ferrara-R	DEM – 99.3%			50/50	Likely DEM
California, 4th McClintock*-D vs Morse-R	REP – 84.6%		Likely REP	50/50	Likely REP
California, 7th Bera*-D vs Grant-R	DEM – 98.7%		Likely DEM	50/50	Lean DEM
California, 10th Harder-D vs Denham*-R	DEM – 73.2%	DEM – 58%	Lean REP	50/50	50/50
California, 21st Cox-D vs Valadao*-R	REP – 64.3%	REP – 76%	Likely REP	Lean DEM	Lean REP
California, 25th Hill-D vs Knight*-R	DEM – 75.5%	DEM – 63%	50/50	Lean DEM	50/50
California, 39th Cisneros-D vs Kim-R	REP – 50.2%	DEM – 61%		50/50	50/50
California, 45th Porter-D vs Walters*-R	DEM – 57.3%	DEM – 70%	Lean REP	50/50	50/50
California, 48th Rouda-D vs Rohrabacher*-R	DEM – 66.3%	DEM – 62%	50/50	50/50	50/50
California, 49th Levin-D vs Harkey-R	DEM – 82.6%	DEM – 78%		50/50	Lean DEM
California, 50th Campa-Najjar-D vs Hunter*-R	REP – 86.4%	REP – 59%	Likely REP	50/50	50/50
Colorado, 6th Crow-D vs Coffman-R	DEM – 65.3%		50/50	50/50	50/50
Florida, 6th Soderberg-D vs Watlz-R	REP – 73.0%		50/50	Lean REP
Florida, 7th Murphy*-D vs Miller-R	DEM – 92.1%		Likely DEM	Lean REP	Lean DEM
Florida, 13th Crist*-D vs Buck-R	DEM – 99.7%		Likely DEM	Lean REP
Florida, 15th Carlson-D vs Spano-R	REP – 71.3%	REP – 69%		Lean REP
Florida, 16th Shapiro-D vs Buchanan*-R	REP – 85.5%		Likely REP	Lean REP	Lean REP
Florida, 18th Baer-D vs Mast*-R	REP – 92.3%		Likely REP	Lean REP	Likely REP
Florida, 25th Flores-D vs Balart*-R	REP – 71.6%			Lean REP	Likely REP
Florida, 26th Mucarsel-Powell-D vs Curbelo*-R	REP – 58.1%	REP – 62%	50/50	Lean REP	50/50
Florida, 27th Shalala-D vs Salazar*-R	DEM – 98.2%	DEM – 86%		Lean REP	Lean DEM
Georgia, 6th McBath-D vs Handel*-R	REP – 95.7%		Likely REP	Lean REP	Lean REP
Georgia, 7th Bourdeaux-D vs Woodall*-R	REP – 68.8%		Likely REP	Lean REP	Likely REP
Illinois, 6th Casten-D vs Roskam*-R	REP – 67.1%	REP – 53%	Lean REP	Lean REP	50/50
Illinois, 12th Kelly-D vs Bost*-R	REP – 53.9%	REP – 53%	50/50	Lean REP	50/50
Illinois, 13th Londrigan-D vs Davis*-R	REP – 68.1%	REP – 65%	Likely REP	Lean REP	Likely REP
Illinois, 14th Underwood-D vs Hultgren*-R	REP – 63.7%		Lean REP	Lean REP	Lean REP
Iowa, 1st Finkenauer-D vs Blum*-R	DEM – 75.7%	DEM – 74%	50/50	Lean DEM	50/50
Iowa, 2nd Loebsack*-D vs Peters-R	DEM – 97.7%			Lean DEM	Likely DEM
Iowa, 3rd Axne-D vs Young*-R	DEM – 67.5%	DEM – 59%	Lean REP	50/50	50/50
Iowa, 4th Scholten-D vs King*-R vs Aldrich-L(libertarian)	REP – 84.2%			50/50
Indiana, 2nd Hall-D vs Walorski*-R	REP – 92.9%			50/50
Indiana, 9th Watson-D vs Hollingsworth*-R	REP – 78.4%			50/50
Kansas, 2nd Davis-D vs Watkins-R	REP – 58.0%			50/50	50/50
Kansas, 3rd Davids-D vs Yoder*-R	REP – 71.6%		Lean REP	50/50	50/50
Kentucky, 6th McGrath-D vs Barr*-R	REP – 62.1%		Lean REP	Lean DEM	50/50
Maine, 2nd Golden-D vs Poliquin*-R	REP – 57.8%		Lean REP	Lean REP	50/50
Michigan, 1st Morgan-D vs Bergman*-R	REP – 81.8%		Likely REP	50/50	50/50
Michigan, 6th Longjohn-D vs Upton*-R	REP – 86.0%		Likely REP	50/50	Lean REP
Michigan, 7th Driskell-D vs Walberg*-R	REP – 60.3%		Likely REP	50/50	Lean REP
Michigan, 8th Slotkin-D vs Bishop*-R	REP – 56.7%	REP – 63%	50/50	50/50	Lean REP
Michigan, 11th Stevens-D vs Epstein-R	DEM – 69.4%	DEM – 70%		50/50	50/50
Minnesota, 1st Feehan-D vs Hagedorn-R	REP – 64.4%	50/50		50/50	50/50
Minnesota, 2nd Craig-D vs Lewis*-R	DEM – 77.0%		50/50	50/50	50/50
Minnesota, 3rd Phillips-D vs Paulsen*-R	DEM – 75.0%	DEM – 73%	50/50	50/50	50/50
Minnesota, 7th Peterson*-D vs Hughes-R	DEM – 86.8%			Lean REP	Lean DEM
Minnesota, 8th Radinovich-D vs Stauber-R	REP – 52.4%	DEM – 56%		Lean REP	50/50
Montana – AL Williams-D vs Gianforte*-R	REP – 82.0%		Likely REP	Lean REP	50/50
Nebraska, 2nd Eastman-D vs Bacon*-R	DEM – 60.2%		50/50	50/50	Lean REP
Nevada, 3rd Lee-D vs Tarkanian-R	DEM – 71.2%	DEM – 85%		50/50	Lean DEM
Nevada, 4th Horsford-D vs Hardy-R	DEM – 84.5%	DEM – 84%		50/50	Lean DEM
New Hampshire, 1st Sullivan-D vs Sanborn-R	DEM – 79.4%	DEM – 77%		50/50
New Hampshire, 2nd Kuster-D vs Levenson-R	DEM – 98.9%			50/50
New Jersey, 2nd Drew-D vs Grossman-R	DEM – 89.9%	DEM – 94%		50/50	Lean DEM
New Jersey, 3rd Kim-D vs MacArthur*-R	REP – 56.0%	REP – 53%	Lean REP	50/50	50/50
New Jersey, 5th Gottheimer*-D vs McCann-R	DEM – 95.1%		Likely DEM	50/50	Lean DEM
New Jersey, 7th Malinowski-D vs Lance*-R	DEM – 64.3%	DEM – 63%	50/50	50/50	50/50
New Jersey, 11th Sherrill-D vs Webber-R	DEM – 76.3%	DEM – 79%		50/50	50/50
New Mexico, 2nd Small-D vs Herrell-R	REP – 72.6%			50/50	50/50
New York, 1st Gershon-D vs Zeldin*-R	REP – 88.9%	REP – 83%	Likely REP	50/50	Lean REP
New York, 3rd Suozzi*-D vs DeBono-R	DEM – 99.4%			50/50	Likely DEM
New York, 11th Rose-D vs Donovan*-R	REP – 74.6%		Lean REP	50/50	Lean REP
New York, 18th Maloney*-D vs O’Donnell-R	DEM – 98.5%			50/50	Likely DEM
New York, 19th Delgado-D vs Faso*-R	REP – 53.2%	DEM – 53%	50/50	50/50	50/50
New York, 22nd Brindisi-D vs Tenney*-R	DEM – 68.9%	DEM – 74%	50/50	50/50	50/50
New York, 24th Balter-D vs Katko*-R	REP – 83.7%		Likely REP	50/50	Likely REP
New York, 27th McMurray-D vs Mychajliw*-R	REP – 80.9%		DEM – 80%	50/50
North Carolina, 8th McNeill-D vs Hudson*-R	REP – 86.2%			Lean DEM	Likely REP
North Carolina, 9th McCready-D vs Harris-R	DEM – 55.3%	DEM – 65%		Lean DEM	50/50
North Carolina, 13th Manning-D vs Budd*-R	REP – 62.3%	REP – 58%	Lean REP	Lean DEM	Lean REP
Ohio, 1st Pureval-D vs Chabot*-R	DEM – 59.2%	REP – 60%	Lean REP	50/50	50/50
Ohio, 7th Harbaugh-D vs Gibbs-R	REP – 89.6%			50/50
Ohio, 12th O’Connor-D vs Balderson*-R	REP – 51.4%	REP – 89%		50/50	50/50
Ohio, 14th Rader-D vs Joyce*-R	REP – 81.9%		Likely REP	50/50	Likely REP
Pennsylvania, 1st Wallace-D vs Fitzpatrick*-R	REP – 75.1%	REP – 55%	50/50	50/50	50/50
Pennsylvania, 5th Scanlon-D vs Kim-R	DEM – 99.9%			50/50	Likely DEM
Pennsylvania, 6th Houlahan-D vs McCauley-R	DEM – 98.4%	DEM – 94%		50/50	Likely DEM
Pennsylvania, 7th Wild-D vs Nothstein-R	DEM – 97.4%			50/50	50/50
Pennsylvania, 8th Cartwright*-D vs Chrin-R	DEM – 86.0%			50/50	50/50
Pennsylvania, 10th Scott-D vs Perry*-R	REP – 78.1%		Likely REP	50/50	Lean REP
Pennsylvania, 14th Boerio*-D vs Reschenthaler-R	REP – 98.8%			50/50	Likely REP
Pennsylvania, 16th DiNocola-D vs Kelly*-R	REP – 95.5%			50/50	Likely REP
Pennsylvania, 17th Lamb-D vs Rothfus*-R	DEM – 97.6%		50/50	50/50	50/50
South Carolina, 1st Cunningham-D vs Arrington-R	REP – 87.6%			50/50
Texas, 7th Fletcher-D vs Culberson*-R	DEM – 51.8%	REP – 58%	Lean REP	50/50	50/50
Texas, 21st Kopser-D vs Roy-R	REP – 83.7%	REP – 90%		50/50	Likely REP
Texas, 23rd Ortiz Jones-D vs Hurd-R	DEM – 74.0%	DEM – 65%	50/50	50/50	50/50
Texas, 31st Hegar-D vs Carter-R	REP – 79.7%			50/50
Texas, 32nd Allred-D vs Sessions-R	REP – 87.6%	REP – 53%	Lean REP	50/50	50/50
Utah, 4th McAdams-D vs Love*-R	REP – 83.4%		Lean REP	50/50	50/50
Virginia, 2nd Luria-D vs Taylor*-R	REP – 93.5%	REP – 58%	Lean REP	50/50	Lean REP
Virginia, 5th Cockburn-D vs Riggleman-R	DEM – 52.3%			50/50	50/50
Virginia, 7th Spanberger-D vs Brat*-R	REP – 68.1%	REP – 60%		50/50	50/50
Virginia, 10th Wexton-D vs Comstock*-R	DEM – 77.5%	DEM – 86%	50/50	50/50	Lean DEM
Washington, 3rd Long-D vs Herrera Beutler*-R	REP – 84.3%			Lean DEM	Lean REP
Washington, 5th Brown-D vs Rodgers*-R	REP – 75.8%		Lean REP	Lean DEM	50/50
Washington, 8th Schrier-D vs Rossi-R	DEM – 50.6%	DEM – 64%		Lean DEM	50/50
Wisconsin, 1st Bryce-D vs Steil-R	REP – 72.2%	REP – 69%		Lean DEM	50/50
Wisconsin, 6th Kohl-D vs Grothman-R	REP – 72.2%		Likely DEM	Lean DEM	Likely DEM
West Virginia, 3rd Ojeda-D vs Miller-R	REP – 93.7%	REP – 69%		50/50	50/50