Tag Archives: predictit prediction market

2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Predictions

Announcing: Political Contest Horary AstroProbability* for the General Election This new page will track the probabilities for the winner of the seven battleground states in the 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election generated by a team of political contest horary astrologers led by mundane astrologer William Stickevers. Probabilities from other sources will be tracked as well, including Nate Silver’s Five Thirty

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Super Saturday: 2016 Primary Election Projections

The table below displays the winning projections for the 2016 Primary Elections on March 5, “Super Saturday,” from FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver, the online prediction market PredictIt, and my own projections using a composite set of mundane astrology forecasting methods. March 5 FiveThirtyEight PredictIt William Stickevers’ AstroProbability* Kansas (D) n/a Trump 51% Sanders 91% Cruz 99% Sanders 99% Cruz 60% Kentucky (R)

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