What is the Probability of Israel to Executing an overt Air Strike against Iran before midnight ET 31 Dec 2012?
The meeting on May 23rd among the world powers (U.S. UK, France, Germany, Russia, China and Iran) in Iraq concerning Iran’s nuclear program was a big bust. This meeting, once again, ended the same way the last one did—with a date for another meeting. The next one is is scheduled next month, in Moscow. Israel has called the meetings a stalling tactic by Iran and is not ruling out military action, even though Iran has tentatively agreed to allow international inspectors.
Israel is now arming submarines supplied and largely financed by Germany with nuclear-tipped cruise missiles, influential German news weekly Der Spiegel reports in its issue to be published on Monday.
During a Brookings Institution speech at the end of April, Mark Rubio not only called for attacking Iran, but also advocated a military assault on Syria. Rubio stated, “We should also be preparing our allies, and the world, for the reality that unfortunately, if all else fails, preventing a nuclear Iran may, tragically, require a military solution.
Based on the latest horary snapshot upon hearing the news report, “After the failed talks in Bagdad, how much closer is Israel to executing an overt Air Strike against Iran before midnight ET 31 Dec 2012?”, to probability for regional war in the Middle East went from a 32% to to 53%. Israel has withdrawn its pledge to US President Barack Obama not to strike Iran’s nuclear sites before the November presidential election after he rejected its minimal demands for nuclear negotiations with Iran.
The horary testimonies in the figure below, make it clear that Israel’s military option is now back and the matter has reached the “tipping point”.
Stay tuned because the Uranus-Pluto square alignment begins on June 24th month and will make a direct hit to Iran’s Sun in May of 2013!
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