Tag Archives: 2016 presidential election prediction

2016 Presidential Election Winner: Analysis

As the Primary race transitions into a General Election campaign, I have to say something before a certain astrologer puts words in my mouth about the election. So please bear with me here. Based on my political black box model forecast projections and the excellent mundane forecasting work of Theodore White, it’s highly likely Trump will win the popular vote.  (Surprised?

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Trump vs. Cruz: GOP Nomination

Even though Donald Trump has been dominating the polls over the past several weeks, many establishment conservatives and pundits still insist that either Marco Rubio or Ted Cruz will end up winning the GOP nomination.  However, the predictions markets (what Vegas oddsmakers use to bet on the outcomes of political contest) state Donald Trump odds at 63% for winning, and

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